TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xbe7c…41c1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
72
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: World Politics, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 55 out of 100; worst Tennis at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1952.6%10 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Andrey Rublevbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonsecabacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+37%+$65.68
Jesper de Jong vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 3.5backed Under 3.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$61.29
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$26.58
Roland Garros ATP: Jaime Faria vs Frances Tiafoebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$25.57
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Noemi Basiletti vs Ajla Tomljanovicbacked Noemi Basiletti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$54.17
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Alexei Popyrin vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Matteo Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$170
Santos: Guido Justo vs Luis Felipe Miguelbacked Guido Justo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$53.33
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Matteo Arnaldi vs Jaume Munarbacked Jaume Munar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Wuxi: Bernard Tomic vs Alafia Ayenibacked Bernard Tomic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.59
Wuxi: Alex Bolt vs Fajing Sunbacked Alex Bolt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Leylah Fernandez vs Zeynep Sonmezbacked Zeynep Sonmez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.26
Tallahassee: Oliver Crawford vs Jack Kennedybacked Oliver Crawford · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.55
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Liudmila Samsonova vs Coco Gauffbacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$37.35
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Hailey Baptiste vs Iryna Shymanovichbacked Iryna Shymanovich · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$57.43
Barcelona Open: Cameron Norrie vs Ethan Quinnbacked Cameron Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$52.72
BMW Open: Vit Kopriva vs Luciano Darderibacked Luciano Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.35
BMW Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Fabian Marozsan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$64.01
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Carlos Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.69
All 19 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick65cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$43.08
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$38.36
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$48.64
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Pistons (-8.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$56.25
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$31.12
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.08
Magic vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$89.65
Trail Blazers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.48
Magic vs. Celtics: O/U 222.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$35.86
All 11 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
AFC Bournemouth vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+52.4%+$26.21
AFC Bournemouth vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Manchester United FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.78
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$46.63
Sunderland AFC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$46.13
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$26.43
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$70.59
All 10 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.24per pick59cpaid+38.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+24.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+36.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-2.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+79%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+201.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-31.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CD Tondela vs. Gil Vicente FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+37.1%+$42.62
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
World Championships: Switzerland vs. Finlandbacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.