TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

AFC Bournemouth vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$72,151
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$88,014

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,151 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Over40c19,510$7,879 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,879.034,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6982…a165backed Under76c10,515$8,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,515.09977.8%7 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick71cpaid+14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over48c10,373$4,966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,966.126,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x256b…cd5dbacked Under50c8,924$4,441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,482.678257.3%47 W · 35 L+5.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x479e…91c3backed Under59c8,419$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,419.156066.7%40 W · 20 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Under40c6,051$2,421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,630.920140.8%82 W · 119 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over35c2,182$764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$763.7813630.9%42 W · 94 L-7.4wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-10.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Over47c2,173$1,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,021.256139.3%24 W · 37 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x53fa…83f9backed Over45c1,771$794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$793.551752.9%9 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.15per pick38cpaid+28.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5d71…8da4backed Under41c1,500$615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8854841.7%20 W · 28 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under41c1,336$548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$788.5116753.3%89 W · 78 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over31c990.79$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.1272142.7%308 W · 413 L+15.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over39c754.35$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.091,93442.4%820 W · 1,114 L-43.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e46…60d6backed Under53c565.71$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.716960.9%42 W · 27 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick58cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Under64c549.8$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.9135941.5%149 W · 210 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5634…d81abacked Under58c514.6$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.64151.2%21 W · 20 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x31d8…a9cebacked Over35c500$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1754129.3%12 W · 29 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick24cpaid+39%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over35c500$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17511828%33 W · 85 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over33c442.74$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1479724.7%24 W · 73 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-27%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc29…383bbacked Under44c425$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.052259.1%13 W · 9 L+3.9wins+0.18per pick41cpaid+30.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4946…4004backed Under67c410.45$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.454744.7%21 W · 26 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under65c402.86$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14169851.1%357 W · 341 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under65c400$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14080953.6%434 W · 375 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4363…d6e0backed Under57c400$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1724854.2%26 W · 22 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under65c384$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.485048.4%411 W · 439 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3234…8b1abacked Under40c337.08$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.493348.5%16 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Under65c307.72$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.726160.7%37 W · 24 L+5.2wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+19.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over43c294.11$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.1312020.8%25 W · 95 L-9.0wins-0.07per pick28cpaid-39.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7479…e171backed Over60c278.9$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.959246.7%43 W · 49 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed Over34c235.29$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8019244.3%85 W · 107 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x941e…7863backed Over43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x36b6…ef54backed Under60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0a8…2282backed Over48c161.14$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.721833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.6wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-45.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Over60c159.91$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.0721254.2%115 W · 97 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x33af…288abacked Over36c158.13$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5720336.9%75 W · 128 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a6e…9bc5backed Under65c157.03$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.469265.2%60 W · 32 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Over35c142.86$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5035428.5%101 W · 253 L-20.1wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under65c138$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.31,07445%483 W · 591 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over60c137.42$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.4539555.9%221 W · 174 L+17.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+3.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x97b3…4a85backed Under65c129.99$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.59953.5%53 W · 46 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe891…4b25backed Over39c124.42$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483557.1%20 W · 15 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over34c121.78$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.921,61553%856 W · 759 L+33.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Under66c120$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.86250%31 W · 31 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under66c108.61$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.1141850.7%212 W · 206 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Under66c102.01$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.681,00751.5%519 W · 488 L+4.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d63…2e49backed Over47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475251.9%27 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7418…ab9fbacked Over58c100$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582846.4%13 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e2d…fb60backed Over33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3314351%73 W · 70 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1105…09d0backed Under66c98.48$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.487660.5%46 W · 30 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick68cpaid-8.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under63c97.96$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.5274644.8%334 W · 412 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over27c80$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.622644.2%100 W · 126 L+12.4wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Over33c79.83$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.5733551.3%172 W · 163 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6924…1455backed Under52c77.02$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.022334.8%8 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-28.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe7c…41c1backed Under66c76.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.211050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a05…754abacked Over31c65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.17047.1%33 W · 37 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe29c…a31dbacked Over40c58.62$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.516346%29 W · 34 L+5.5wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+30.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x425b…dbfdbacked Over47c57.45$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271520%3 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-45.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ec2…26d7backed Over37c55.27$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.453231.3%10 W · 22 L0.0wins0.00per pick31cpaid+72.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8006…94dcbacked Over37c54.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203941%16 W · 23 L+3.8wins+0.10per pick31cpaid+54%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3a15…52d6backed Over60c52.27$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.369857.1%56 W · 42 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x859d…b336backed Under79c50.84$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.841776.5%13 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.13per pick64cpaid+15.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2e73…3f4ebacked Over49c50.73$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8218358.5%107 W · 76 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1394…a321backed Under41c48.1$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over23c47.69$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9441343.3%179 W · 234 L-2.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over45c44.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2040841.9%171 W · 237 L-8.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb684…343cbacked Under66c43.72$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.864965.3%32 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-0.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over33c43.25$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2775850%379 W · 379 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb964…927fbacked Under58c42.84$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.992157.1%12 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2b7…37d5backed Over36c41.31$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153740.5%15 W · 22 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Over34c41.05$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8515858.2%92 W · 66 L+10.5wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0be3…0893backed Under44c40.83$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.831127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.21per pick48cpaid-46.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8316…6857backed Under49c40.79$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.79250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fb0…20b4backed Over39c40.72$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.681747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Over37c40.54$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156357.1%36 W · 27 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa00…3cf9backed Over38c39.47$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc338…974ebacked Over52c38.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202744.4%12 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+18.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x882a…cde2backed Under40c37.75$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.654932.7%16 W · 33 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd7f9…29a9backed Over57c32.1$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.424557.6%141 W · 104 L+13.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d50…d283backed Over32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108441.7%35 W · 49 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ddc…e874backed Over37c30.74$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.385543.6%24 W · 31 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-15.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbdf…b8a0backed Under66c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.21457.1%8 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick66cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6769…f8b9backed Under67c29.85$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.855251.9%27 W · 25 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick54cpaid+7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3b4…b052backed Under67c29.85$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.851747.1%8 W · 9 L-3.2wins-0.19per pick66cpaid-27.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x45cf…0f46backed Over36c27.9$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.045240.4%21 W · 31 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Under66c27.61$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.3912854.7%70 W · 58 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Over58c27.58$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1622057.7%127 W · 93 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ee7…9fa2backed Under75c26.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.67650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Over41c25.77$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.595756.1%32 W · 25 L+9.2wins+0.16per pick40cpaid+36.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x3aa7…303dbacked Over56c25$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9312963.6%82 W · 47 L+6.6wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+2.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under53c22.22$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.3443241.9%181 W · 251 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cfd…dfe7backed Under57c21.34$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.131266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+20.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb877…4601backed Over60c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+19.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Under68c15.15$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.857157.7%41 W · 30 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf112…21ebbacked Under76c14.47$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.475046%23 W · 27 L-7.2wins-0.14per pick60cpaid-28.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1d59…2b49backed Under76c13.82$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.321553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-15.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.