TailMyPicks
Market

Premier League · resolved market

AFC Bournemouth vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$85,559
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$107,128

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,559 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9cb9…32f2backed Under38c11,835$4,529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,529.1720140.8%82 W · 119 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under27c7,420$1,969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,968.546,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5d71…8da4backed Under38c5,704$2,173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,172.684841.7%20 W · 28 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under43c4,654$2,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,001.1515757.3%90 W · 67 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Over74c3,415$2,527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$887.927955.9%156 W · 123 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over57c2,621$1,494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,126.892,55847.7%1,221 W · 1,337 L+44.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over68c2,283$1,562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$721.584,76841.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefdd…017fbacked Over58c2,177$1,263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$914.371172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.25per pick48cpaid+49.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over57c2,000$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86013630.9%42 W · 94 L-7.4wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-10.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0def…4ddbbacked Over57c1,700$969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7313655.6%20 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7479…e171backed Under25c1,266$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.99246.7%43 W · 49 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Over57c1,191$679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512.1940655.2%224 W · 182 L+12.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7409…65a6backed Over52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48010679.2%84 W · 22 L+23.2wins+0.22per pick57cpaid+54.3%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0x4c1d…4c70backed Under48c890.26$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under16c639.34$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.4713250.8%67 W · 65 L+8.0wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+6.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over57c600$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2588637.2%32 W · 54 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab9f…75f1backed Under31c542.37$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.133531.4%11 W · 24 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-35.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf009…43d0backed Over57c526.32$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.322955.2%16 W · 13 L+4.0wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+34%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe843…0699backed Under23c465$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.951020%2 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-55.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over57c451$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.931,93842.5%823 W · 1,115 L-41.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under43c431.99$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.7627752.3%145 W · 132 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3234…8b1abacked Under34c395.58$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.553348.5%16 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b24…4247backed Over57c350.88$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.884557.8%26 W · 19 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under41c313.18$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.46139.3%24 W · 37 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a08…2e25backed Over66c299.99$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1024252.4%22 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under22c298.72$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.4172442.7%309 W · 415 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Over63c250$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.513554.8%74 W · 61 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over80c250$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5015263.2%96 W · 56 L-8.1wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-7.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under43c239.1$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.8141850.7%212 W · 206 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70b2…92d6backed Over57c236.84$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.84944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.15per pick29cpaid+32.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5fc3…0670backed Under43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008831.8%28 W · 60 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+16%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c7f…4c60backed Under44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003644.4%16 W · 20 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-22.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa2c6…d14dbacked Over59c214$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.742157.1%12 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick59cpaid+1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Under42c200$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8430%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc11…c87bbacked Over57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$862650%13 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc253…5800backed Over56c196.43$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.4310550.5%53 W · 52 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under14c195.86$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.941343.3%179 W · 234 L-2.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa163…2719backed Under44c195.45$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$864447.7%21 W · 23 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd16e…c43ebacked Under10c191.95$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under13c190.7$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.6320440.7%83 W · 121 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf32a…b9a4backed Over56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.577352.1%38 W · 35 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x505a…bb61backed Over56c177.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.322766.7%18 W · 9 L+4.9wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+39.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Under20c176.61$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.4921350.2%107 W · 106 L+10.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8ce2…7e4cbacked Over57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.4411636.2%42 W · 74 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf83b…44a2backed Over57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.443050%15 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+16.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under36c174.83$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.1474644.8%334 W · 412 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x882a…cde2backed Under38c167.41$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.444932.7%16 W · 33 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under43c159.79$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.7156051.4%288 W · 272 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under20c153.83$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.7739555.9%221 W · 174 L+17.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+3.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked Over57c153.56$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.0314658.2%85 W · 61 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Over56c149.98$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.4933751.3%173 W · 164 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x412a…802cbacked Under43c125.58$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$546344.4%28 W · 35 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed Over57c125$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.759061.1%55 W · 35 L+10.8wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+18.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc582…853cbacked Under13c119.99$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.24712.8%6 W · 41 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick15cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x419b…6ea1backed Over59c118.64$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.6410343.7%45 W · 58 L-8.8wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-18.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Over77c117.49$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.0228859.7%172 W · 116 L+19.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under9c115.37$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4922744.1%100 W · 127 L+12.3wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+6.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over56c113.64$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5085748.5%416 W · 441 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc56d…c484backed Under25c110$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.58041.3%33 W · 47 L-6.4wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-15.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcbef…0c11backed Over57c103.51$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.511275%9 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over73c102.74$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.7435347.6%168 W · 185 L-15.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x859d…b336backed Under37c100$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371776.5%13 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.13per pick64cpaid+15.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaaf5…e71cbacked Over54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462962.1%18 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4fbc…095ebacked Over59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.9wins-0.26per pick45cpaid-66.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked Under42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4219834.8%69 W · 129 L-17.3wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-26.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x97b3…4a85backed Under42c89.98$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.799953.5%53 W · 46 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xce7a…fef0backed Over57c87.72$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.72742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3bcd…1a94backed Over57c87.72$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.726354%34 W · 29 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Over57c86.74$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.321254.2%115 W · 97 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Over58c86.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.216357.1%36 W · 27 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over57c85.86$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.9259847.7%285 W · 313 L+18.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over80c78$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.612954.3%70 W · 59 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Over59c77.36$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.5327948%134 W · 145 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa00…3cf9backed Over59c67.8$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.81154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0356…5273backed Under38c66.51$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252825%7 W · 21 L-4.4wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-46.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x66f0…1229backed Under31c64.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-57.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c3d…3681backed Over80c62.5$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.52176.2%16 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.13per pick63cpaid+34.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8b5f…2f5ebacked Under25c60$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.152962.1%18 W · 11 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over56c60$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.41,63652.9%866 W · 770 L+32.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under41c59.8$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.5269851.1%357 W · 341 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ddc…e874backed Under22c58.66$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.685543.6%24 W · 31 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-15.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Under41c57.16$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4435941.5%149 W · 210 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Under20c54.54$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8512020.8%25 W · 95 L-9.0wins-0.07per pick28cpaid-39.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9bae…5c82backed Over57c52.63$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.6316946.2%78 W · 91 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdfb5…8740backed Over57c52.63$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.633740.5%15 W · 22 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Under42c52.59$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.0915738.9%61 W · 96 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb00…5461backed Over57c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.51650%8 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Over58c49.99$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.2521250.9%108 W · 104 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e4e…2564backed Under41c48.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44b8…a2d7backed Under42c47.62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2021043.8%92 W · 118 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x058a…ed5cbacked Under44c45.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205632.1%18 W · 38 L-6.7wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-31.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1f59…3a50backed Over58c43.1$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.12560%15 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe7c…41c1backed Under49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c71…c0e5backed Over57c40$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.22853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under41c39.99$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.411753%62 W · 55 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f46…1db8backed Under42c35.71$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152825%7 W · 21 L-5.7wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-39.8%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xd8d9…1059backed Over57c35.61$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.314353.5%23 W · 20 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd28e…a78fbacked Over57c35.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.098362.7%52 W · 31 L+5.7wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Over57c35$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.0511842.4%50 W · 68 L-8.0wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-15.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5c5f…8eadbacked Over58c34.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.483151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.