TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0356…5273

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
112
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Asian League, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Asian League at 55 out of 100; worst Premier League at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT2825%7 W · 21 L-4.4wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-46.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Premier League — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Crystal Palace FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.78
Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$33.33
AFC Bournemouth vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Arsenal FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Arsenal FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+100%+$97
Will Fulham FC win on 2025-12-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+156.4%+$33.55
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$38
Will Everton FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$45.25
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$21.6
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)backed West Ham United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$23.8
Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)backed AFC Bournemouth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+42.9%+$8.57
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-12-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+72.4%+$14.48
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+244.8%+$48.97
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Fulham FC win on 2025-12-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-10-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.97
Will West Ham win on 2025-09-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT2536%9 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-27.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.6
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$12.88
Counter-Strike: B8 vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.2
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs NIP (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffsbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs MOUZ (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$24.44
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+187.2%+$97.36
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$6.12
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis - Map 2 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FaZe (BO5)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+138.1%+$27.62
Will Team Spirit win the StarLadder Budapest Major 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality (BO3)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$30.12
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs TheMongolz (BO3)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+28.2%+$5.64
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+117.4%+$23.48
Will Team Falcons win the 2025 Blast Premier Rivals Season 2 Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality (BO3)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$79
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs paiN (BO3)backed Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Vitality (BO3)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$121.86
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs B8backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$33
All 25 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST2045%9 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bulls vs. Cavaliersbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+156.4%+$62.56
76ers vs. Knicksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+212.5%+$85
Heat vs. Celticsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Spread: Heat (-7.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+127.3%+$27.44
Spread: Knicks (-4.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$24.01
Spread: Timberwolves (-7.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+100%+$20
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 228.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$49.72
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$20.24
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$39.8
Spread: Clippers (-2.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+112.8%+$39.47
Spread: Mavericks (-2.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+85.2%+$12.78
Spread: Celtics (-2.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+85.2%+$25.56
Spread: Timberwolves (-12.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Spread: Hawks (-4.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+112.8%+$45.11
Timberwolves vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Spread: Cavaliers (-14.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+100%+$40
Spread: Bulls (-2.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Bulls vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$69.92
Spread: Pistons (-6.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$33
All 20 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-65.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2025, EST475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+46.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sabres vs. Canucksbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+112.8%+$22.55
Hurricanes vs. Capitalsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+88.7%+$17.74
Senators vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+85.2%+$34.07
Senators vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$40
All 4 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+85.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: KT Rolster vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 3 Winnerbacked CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.2
LoL: KT Rolster vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 1 Winnerbacked CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+113%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+113%+$112.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+105.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Real Salt Lake vs. Portland Timbers: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+105.7%+$31.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami Marlins vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$17.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Merrimack College Warriors vs. Princeton Tigersbacked Merrimack College Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+72.4%+$14.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.23
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.