Will West Ham win on 2025-09-29?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbc7ae9ff5946d33d34b95aafb6c3095958d80c114b14baea274657fea7c13854

Rebuilt 2 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Sep 29, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $124,672
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $125,449

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $124,672 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xe5f4…55c1backed Yes	17c	12,997$2,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,200	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	-0.9wins	-0.07per pick	23cpaid	-36.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Yes	17c	12,426$2,113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,112.5	248	46.8%116 W · 132 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3b9c…107cbacked Yes	18c	9,000$1,620 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,620	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.17per pick	42cpaid	-67.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes	16c	5,000$810 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$810	178	33.7%60 W · 118 L	+8.2wins	+0.05per pick	29cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes	19c	4,250$806 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$805.5	680	26.3%179 W · 501 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	25cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes	17c	4,217$704 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$704.43	6,117	45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L	-28.6wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes	17c	4,179$709 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$708.96	272	35.7%97 W · 175 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Yes	18c	3,119$561 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$561.42	145	44.8%65 W · 80 L	-11.4wins	-0.08per pick	53cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2ef5…39edbacked Yes	18c	2,778$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	21cpaid	-27.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Yes	8c	2,675$214 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$214	74	36.5%27 W · 47 L	-4.7wins	-0.06per pick	43cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x70c4…7ef8backed Yes	18c	2,601$468 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$468.13	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.8wins	-0.14per pick	31cpaid	-66%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Yes	17c	2,500$425 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$424.99	184	33.7%62 W · 122 L	+9.0wins	+0.05per pick	29cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x164f…deb3backed Yes	17c	2,000$340 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$340	50	42%21 W · 29 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes	17c	1,890$321 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$321.3	1,146	42.8%490 W · 656 L	-8.5wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e49…63f2backed Yes	17c	1,684$286 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$286.44	294	27.9%82 W · 212 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2dd2…b035backed Yes	18c	1,667$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	56	14.3%8 W · 48 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-28.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed Yes	17c	1,657$280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$280.12	253	29.2%74 W · 179 L	+11.3wins	+0.04per pick	25cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb90c…9a6abacked Yes	19c	1,579$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	52	46.2%24 W · 28 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Yes	17c	1,551$269 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$268.64	30	50%15 W · 15 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f78…7954backed Yes	18c	1,451$260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$260.18	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.17per pick	33cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Yes	16c	1,200$194 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$194	118	28%33 W · 85 L	-3.3wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a2a…4945backed Yes	18c	1,111$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.9wins	+0.23per pick	27cpaid	+66.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1256…fc6cbacked Yes	15c	1,014$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147	52	32.7%17 W · 35 L	+2.8wins	+0.05per pick	27cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb701…7cf6backed Yes	20c	1,001$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	229	32.3%74 W · 155 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xac43…4925backed Yes	18c	833.33$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	193	36.8%71 W · 122 L	-14.9wins	-0.08per pick	44cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x46f5…30bcbacked Yes	18c	814.87$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.32	35	40%14 W · 21 L	+1.9wins	+0.05per pick	35cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x41e0…a8e0backed Yes	18c	650$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	+0.8wins	+0.06per pick	33cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed Yes	17c	587$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.79	94	50%47 W · 47 L	+4.4wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9170…a3b7backed Yes	18c	555.56$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.30per pick	30cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes	18c	555.56$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	184	33.7%62 W · 122 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a86…5664backed Yes	18c	555.56$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	246	30.5%75 W · 171 L	+4.0wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x55ef…2516backed Yes	18c	555.56$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-0.8wins	-0.10per pick	23cpaid	-50%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf575…e0ebbacked Yes	19c	526.42$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	51	27.5%14 W · 37 L	-2.8wins	-0.05per pick	33cpaid	-27%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xece7…6979backed Yes	19c	526.32$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	19	63.2%12 W · 7 L	+3.5wins	+0.18per pick	45cpaid	+59.5%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Yes	18c	500$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	440	36.8%162 W · 278 L	+5.4wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Yes	17c	499.98$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85	62	25.8%16 W · 46 L	-4.2wins	-0.07per pick	33cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdce0…2dafbacked Yes	18c	478.12$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.22	204	25%51 W · 153 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Yes	18c	430.39$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.47	77	32.5%25 W · 52 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed Yes	6c	344.15$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.65	564	53.9%304 W · 260 L	+27.6wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xceab…bbfabacked Yes	18c	343.97$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.91	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8cb7…04d8backed Yes	8c	300$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	31	45.2%14 W · 17 L	+1.8wins	+0.06per pick	39cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe25…ce67backed Yes	7c	285.71$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.40per pick	40cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2272…2e9cbacked Yes	16c	267.18$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.75	42	28.6%12 W · 30 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-11%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a61…2accbacked Yes	19c	263.74$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.11	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	+2.6wins	+0.23per pick	40cpaid	+71%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2798…3d88backed Yes	19c	263.16$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	94	36.2%34 W · 60 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e69…bebebacked Yes	8c	250$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	33	15.2%5 W · 28 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	17cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0cf3…2b57backed Yes	14c	227.14$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	35	48.6%17 W · 18 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x261b…7da4backed Yes	8c	225$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.7wins	+0.34per pick	16cpaid	+108.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0c5…8c8abacked Yes	18c	216.37$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	129	35.7%46 W · 83 L	+3.5wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2a4…2f08backed Yes	7c	184.17$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	322	22.4%72 W · 250 L	+5.5wins	+0.02per pick	21cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4021…956abacked Yes	18c	166.67$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	57	42.1%24 W · 33 L	+2.3wins	+0.04per pick	38cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f4f…6dddbacked Yes	19c	163.79$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.12	86	43%37 W · 49 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf526…0146backed Yes	19c	157.89$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	35	34.3%12 W · 23 L	-1.8wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-32.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes	16c	146.84$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.86	262	29.8%78 W · 184 L	+10.2wins	+0.04per pick	26cpaid	+1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcbaa…59b8backed Yes	18c	144.44$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+1.0wins	+0.34per pick	33cpaid	+103.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e7e…425ebacked Yes	18c	139.06$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	51	45.1%23 W · 28 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5543…4195backed Yes	18c	138.89$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	29	27.6%8 W · 21 L	-4.5wins	-0.15per pick	43cpaid	-41.8%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5751…cb3abacked Yes	18c	137.56$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.76	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	+15.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Yes	19c	131.58$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	327	37.6%123 W · 204 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e8…ea32backed Yes	8c	125$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.3wins	+0.07per pick	18cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Yes	8c	125$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	270	24.8%67 W · 203 L	+4.9wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ee5…dcd5backed Yes	17c	117.65$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98f6…79d2backed Yes	18c	111.11$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	64	35.9%23 W · 41 L	-5.7wins	-0.09per pick	45cpaid	-27.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5794…3eefbacked Yes	18c	111.11$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	-19%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked Yes	19c	106.12$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	119	46.2%55 W · 64 L	-9.0wins	-0.08per pick	54cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x897b…151ebacked Yes	19c	105.53$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4d3d…e2afbacked Yes	19c	105.26$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-0.6wins	-0.06per pick	24cpaid	-67.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0356…5273backed Yes	19c	105.26$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	28	25%7 W · 21 L	-4.4wins	-0.16per pick	41cpaid	-46.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x91f0…f8d6backed Yes	19c	105.26$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.15per pick	35cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes	17c	100$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.5	331	24.2%80 W · 251 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf99d…f867backed Yes	17c	100$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	66	43.9%29 W · 37 L	-2.3wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbbcb…575ebacked Yes	14c	98.09$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.9	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.7wins	-0.10per pick	25cpaid	-74.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5be5…8d0cbacked Yes	17c	88.24$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	39	25.6%10 W · 29 L	-4.7wins	-0.12per pick	38cpaid	-35%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3e66…8cf9backed Yes	18c	83.78$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.08	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde5a…2875backed Yes	18c	83.33$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-1.1wins	-0.11per pick	41cpaid	-9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x73a0…3bd0backed Yes	18c	81.39$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.65	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.26per pick	26cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x488c…e1e2backed Yes	18c	79$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.22	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc12…739ebacked Yes	18c	77.78$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.3wins	-0.25per pick	45cpaid	-52.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcbf9…c886backed Yes	18c	73.33$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.2	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	+12%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4417…8d57backed Yes	18c	69.89$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.58	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	-3.3wins	-0.28per pick	44cpaid	-75%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5d2b…66b9backed Yes	18c	66.67$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9263…1999backed Yes	18c	61.72$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.11	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Yes	17c	59$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.03	541	28.3%153 W · 388 L	-7.4wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3982…4befbacked Yes	18c	56.28$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.13	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.9wins	+0.29per pick	38cpaid	+41.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will West Ham win on 2025-09-29?this page
Will Everton vs. West Ham end in a draw?Yes won
Will Everton win on 2025-09-29?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will West Ham win on 2025-09-29?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event