TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5543…4195

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
194
Categories scored
25
Categories below 50
18

Best Category: F1, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category F1 at 57 out of 100; worst Premier League at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST2927.6%8 W · 21 L-4.5wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-41.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Premier League — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United win on 2025-12-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Will Chelsea win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$13
Will Arsenal win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+42.9%+$9
Will Brighton win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Will Liverpool vs. Manchester United end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Forest Green Rovers FC win on 2025-10-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$7.2
Will Sutton United FC win on 2025-10-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$64.2
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-10-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$16
Will West Ham win on 2025-10-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$42
Will West Ham win on 2025-09-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-08-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Manchester City win on 2025-08-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$43
Will West Ham win on 2025-08-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT+426.3%+$85.26
Will Liverpool win on 2025-08-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$55
Will Newcastle win on 2025-08-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Manchester United win on 2025-08-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$21
Will Brighton win on 2025-08-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-08-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Arsenal win on 2025-08-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$211Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$70.33
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-08-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-08-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$28.38
Will Everton win on 2025-08-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$46
Will Leeds United vs. Everton end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$42
Will Manchester United win on 2025-08-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$85
Will Nottingham Forest vs. Brentford end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST2653.8%14 W · 12 L+3.4wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+45.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
F1 — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$23
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 United States Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Italian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$18.79
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Italian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$45
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$88
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Dutch Grand Prix pole?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$35
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT+194.1%+$141.68
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$55.38
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix pole?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$48.77
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$102
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$80
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix Pole?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix Pole?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$36.84
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Belgian Sprint Race?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT+214.8%+$81.63
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Belgian Sprint Race?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT+455.6%+$82
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT+334.8%+$53.57
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$19.71
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$104
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix Pole?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+39.8%+$5.97
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix Pole?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+400%+$96
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$22.46
Will George Russell win the 2025 Canadian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2025, EDT+316.7%+$190
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 Canadian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2025, EDT+48.8%+$43.88
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick44cpaid+19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$70
Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during Egypt summit?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Trump say "Reconstruction" during Egypt summit?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+184.6%+$227
Will Trump say "Peace" 5+ times during Egypt summit?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$8.88
Will Trump say "Department of War" during speech to Israeli Parliament on October 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$40.9
Will Trump say "Nobel" or "Peace Prize" during speech to Israeli Parliament on October 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.67
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during speech to Israeli Parliament on October 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+614.3%+$129
Will Trump say "Midnight Hammer" during speech to Israeli Parliament on October 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$11.4
Will Hamas release any more hostages by October 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+164%+$82
Israel strikes Syria by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$247Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$247.08
US military action against Iran before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$156
Iran strike on Israel by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$216
Israel military action against Iran before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 13 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2025, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+41.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. de Ridderbacked Whittaker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$55
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. McGheebacked Yan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$23.97
UFC Fight Night: Magomedov vs. Barriaultbacked Barriault · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$17
UFC Fight Night: Mitchell vs. Nurmagomedovbacked Nurmagomedov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
UFC Fight Night: Ribas and Aslanbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$22
UFC Fight Night: Aslan vs. Elekanabacked Aslan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirierbacked Holloway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$24.55
UFC 318 Parlay – Holloway + Holland backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$59.07
UFC 318: Holland vs. Rodriguez backed Rodriguez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT+489.2%+$72.64
UFC 318: Johnson vs. Zellhuberbacked Johnson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT+525%+$97.13
UFC 318: Vettori vs. Allen backed Vettori · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.2
UFC 318: Crute vs. Prachniobacked Prachnio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.45
All 12 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1225%3 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-25.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$17
Will Emeka Egbuka be the 2025-2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$45.6
Packers vs. Cardinalsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Spread: Steelers (-5.5)backed Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Bengals vs. Packersbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
49ers vs. Ramsbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT+376.2%+$131.67
Titans vs. Broncosbacked Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Lions vs. Packersbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
49ers vs. Seahawksbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$64.74
Giants vs. Commandersbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Raiders vs. Patriotsbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$46.4
Bengals vs. Brownsbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
All 12 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Oct 19, 2025, EDT1118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.15per pick33cpaid-48.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Sociedad win on 2025-10-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Espanyol win on 2025-10-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$11.33
Will Villarreal win on 2025-10-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$19
Will Mallorca win on 2025-10-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Getafe win on 2025-10-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$45
Will Villarreal win on 2025-08-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.5
Will Celta Vigo win on 2025-08-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$16
Will Getafe win on 2025-08-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2025, EDT+300%+$51
Will Real Sociedad win on 2025-08-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$37
Will Valencia win on 2025-08-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will Levante UD win on 2025-08-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
All 11 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-45.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during September press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$56.22
Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during September press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will Powell say "Goal" 15+ times during September press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$45.26
Will Powell say "Recession" during September press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Powell say "Downbeat" during September press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+33.6%+$16.81
Will Powell say "Pandemic" during September press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$80
Will Powell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during September press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Will Powell say "Comment" during September press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$70
All 9 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST850%4 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 26, 2025, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-25.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Oct 19, 2025, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick28cpaid+46.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Nov 27, 2025, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick29cpaid+34.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Oct 19, 2025, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Oct 4, 2025, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick24cpaid-16.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2025, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2025, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-45.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Oct 14, 2025, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.34per pick59cpaid-60.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Oct 18, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+30.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-54.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-54.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-21.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Australia win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+56.3%+$9
Will England win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$10
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boxing: Will Usyk win by Decision?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
Boxing: Will Dubois win by KO/TKO/DQ?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
All 2 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Nov 7, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Central Coast Mariners FC win on 2025-11-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+25%+$6
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.