UFC · resolved market
UFC 318: Holland vs. Rodriguez
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x57b634fe421b49ad2ca1a8ca801fc7b0a6a0ffd954996308e76674f087acba68
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rodriguez of Holland, Rodriguez
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $638,098
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $666,077
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $638,098 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 143 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5edb…6ff1backed Rodriguez | 17c | 407,341$71,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336,075.37 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce77…35d5backed Rodriguez | 48c | 22,177$10,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,552.09 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaee8…6eebbacked Rodriguez | 17c | 11,517$1,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,532.25 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed Holland | 43c | 11,383$4,873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,872.91 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Holland | 60c | 7,773$4,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,684.42 | 149 | 29.5%44 W · 105 L | -15.2wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Rodriguez | 18c | 7,000$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,775 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Holland | 68c | 6,846$4,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,633.41 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Rodriguez | 19c | 5,150$957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,192.5 | 358 | 26%93 W · 265 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Rodriguez | 33c | 4,162$1,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,779.72 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14c3…df68backed Holland | 63c | 3,853$2,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,426.97 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Holland | 28c | 3,097$881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880.98 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…f004backed Rodriguez | 58c | 2,935$1,709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,226.47 | 209 | 54.1%113 W · 96 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Rodriguez | 15c | 2,567$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,181.95 | 202 | 49%99 W · 103 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Rodriguez | 37c | 2,538$952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,586.32 | 235 | 37%87 W · 148 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked Holland | 69c | 2,438$1,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,688.15 | 88 | 26.1%23 W · 65 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5172…0581backed Holland | 10c | 2,367$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.67 | 34 | 2.9%1 W · 33 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2873…ad0abacked Rodriguez | 17c | 2,342$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,944.15 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Rodriguez | 58c | 2,145$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$895.31 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +37%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x309f…9282backed Holland | 71c | 2,116$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed Rodriguez | 20c | 2,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Rodriguez | 17c | 2,000$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,649.99 | 221 | 44.3%98 W · 123 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb81…1cf3backed Holland | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 50 | 12%6 W · 44 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 7cpaid | +272.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87f4…49e7backed Rodriguez | 18c | 1,812$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,479.06 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63a6…f308backed Holland | 68c | 1,633$1,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,103.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d6…0062backed Rodriguez | 30c | 1,625$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,130.46 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf22e…f52cbacked Rodriguez | 25c | 1,505$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,129 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +69.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe842…27d6backed Holland | 3c | 1,200$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 101 | 2%2 W · 99 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0113…6f26backed Rodriguez | 18c | 1,170$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.5 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Holland | 75c | 1,116$839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839 | 105 | 22.9%24 W · 81 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc567…04bfbacked Rodriguez | 19c | 1,061$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860.95 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Holland | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 145 | 30.3%44 W · 101 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda44…2b09backed Holland | 48c | 1,000$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Rodriguez | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf635…e876backed Holland | 30c | 995.43$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc31a…174ebacked Rodriguez | 22c | 924.84$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.84 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Rodriguez | 17c | 900$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee1…9801backed Rodriguez | 16c | 837.5$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.5 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Rodriguez | 60c | 819.99$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 539 | 56.6%305 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Holland | 70c | 800$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 248 | 62.5%155 W · 93 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Holland | 55c | 742.59$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.52 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cde…5b98backed Holland | 10c | 730.66$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.07 | 61 | 9.8%6 W · 55 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0434…a98cbacked Holland | 56c | 700$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394 | 263 | 52.1%137 W · 126 L | +23.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3d…351dbacked Holland | 72c | 700$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501 | 120 | 55.8%67 W · 53 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d8…012abacked Rodriguez | 16c | 625$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2360…1c1cbacked Rodriguez | 16c | 625$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.26per pick | 47cpaid | +123.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5024…fdb2backed Rodriguez | 16c | 618.75$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.75 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Holland | 68c | 604.27$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.95 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4243…35d1backed Rodriguez | 18c | 555.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.51 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +142.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Rodriguez | 17c | 500$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.41per pick | 26cpaid | +191.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x59e9…4660backed Rodriguez | 18c | 500$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 26cpaid | +79%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6404…f250backed Rodriguez | 16c | 500$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +109%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2095…8521backed Rodriguez | 17c | 499.99$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7055…9717backed Rodriguez | 17c | 499.99$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.99 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +3.7wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfee3…58b2backed Rodriguez | 55c | 473.49$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.59 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c77…ad93backed Rodriguez | 20c | 472.1$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.68 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x126b…a516backed Rodriguez | 69c | 431.94$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.94 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb33…aaadbacked Rodriguez | 20c | 420$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.27 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9212…2ff6backed Rodriguez | 16c | 419.12$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.06 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +5.7wins | +0.24per pick | 47cpaid | +81.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Rodriguez | 15c | 402.81$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.85 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x101c…4392backed Rodriguez | 15c | 400$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf66…e823backed Rodriguez | 16c | 399.91$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.92 | 248 | 47.2%117 W · 131 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Rodriguez | 16c | 397.5$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.9 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Rodriguez | 40c | 395.66$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.22 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5879…bb5dbacked Rodriguez | 25c | 386.21$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.21 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86e7…613ebacked Rodriguez | 17c | 362.9$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.21 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x468f…c2a7backed Rodriguez | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 140 | 45.7%64 W · 76 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x804a…6c38backed Rodriguez | 18c | 333.33$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.33 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Rodriguez | 17c | 330$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.7 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Rodriguez | 16c | 315$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.6 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09d6…0fdabacked Rodriguez | 16c | 300$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +73.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43e4…fd34backed Rodriguez | 22c | 276.52$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.12 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdecc…9d36backed Rodriguez | 16c | 273.21$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.5 | 169 | 51.5%87 W · 82 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe356…437ebacked Rodriguez | 17c | 235.29$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.29 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +3.2wins | +0.53per pick | 30cpaid | +225.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5532…c6dbbacked Rodriguez | 15c | 234.61$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.43 | 60 | 31.7%19 W · 41 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa317…4ae3backed Rodriguez | 16c | 230$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.2 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +3.1wins | +0.52per pick | 31cpaid | +211.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2467…c702backed Rodriguez | 18c | 224.24$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.24 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d73…3414backed Holland | 46c | 210$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.6 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe20e…5998backed Rodriguez | 55c | 210$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.9 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb90…1917backed Holland | 46c | 210$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.6 | 115 | 40.9%47 W · 68 L | -10.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked Rodriguez | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.33 | 298 | 48.7%145 W · 153 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x395a…f202backed Rodriguez | 31c | 203.75$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.75 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2105…c514backed Rodriguez | 17c | 200$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.5 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 24cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked Rodriguez | 16c | 200$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +7.2wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7842…4d91backed Holland | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 80 | 36.3%29 W · 51 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb34…59eabacked Rodriguez | 17c | 200$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd8…2ee5backed Holland | 47c | 190.99$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.95 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc559…ac69backed Holland | 44c | 188.57$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.51 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97cc…bbbfbacked Rodriguez | 16c | 187.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.5 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Rodriguez | 60c | 180.83$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.33 | 215 | 54.4%117 W · 98 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e2b…97b2backed Rodriguez | 54c | 180$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.8 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…30b5backed Rodriguez | 17c | 176.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.47 | 283 | 33.2%94 W · 189 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Rodriguez | 15c | 170.26$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.11 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Rodriguez | 17c | 166.26$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.89 | 192 | 30.7%59 W · 133 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe063…8a04backed Rodriguez | 16c | 162.59$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.58 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74e2…cc43backed Holland | 60c | 159.99$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.22per pick | 45cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Rodriguez | 16c | 156.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.25 | 111 | 38.7%43 W · 68 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafea…6c85backed Rodriguez | 18c | 150$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +92.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f3…af4cbacked Rodriguez | 17c | 149.94$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.94 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +119.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x079e…2bb8backed Rodriguez | 17c | 147.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.06 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec6…bb5abacked Rodriguez | 24c | 146.79$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.76 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC 318: Holland vs. Rodriguez this page
- UFC 318: Costa vs. KopylovCosta won
- UFC 318: Crute vs. PrachnioCrute won
- UFC 318: Ferreira vs. McVeyFerreira won
- UFC 318: Fugitt vs. DulatovDulatov won
- UFC 318: Gautier vs. ValentinGautier won
- UFC 318: Holloway vs. PoirierHolloway won
- UFC 318: Ige vs. Pitbull Pitbull won
- UFC 318: Johnson vs. ZellhuberJohnson won
- UFC 318: Judice vs. CaliariJudice won
- UFC 318: Phillips vs. OliveiraOliveira won
- UFC 318: Prado vs. VeretennikovVeretennikov won
- UFC 318: Spann vs. BrzeskiSpann won
- UFC 318: Vettori vs. Allen Allen won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.