UFC · resolved market
UFC 318: Phillips vs. Oliveira
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb511f51210607fdea5ea042eb69711e5dd5438e410ec733f1ef1a9c1c550a950
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oliveiraof Phillips , Oliveira
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $278,280
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $316,708
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $278,280 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 182 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5edb…6ff1backed Phillips | 41c | 51,424$21,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,083.83 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Oliveira | 59c | 46,833$27,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,201.56 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x12af…ff78backed Phillips | 43c | 42,714$18,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,367.18 | 105 | 42.9%45 W · 60 L | -8.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Oliveira | 57c | 34,263$19,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,729.19 | 352 | 53.1%187 W · 165 L | +27.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Oliveira | 57c | 30,000$17,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,900 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1de3…0321backed Phillips | 43c | 23,378$10,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,052.63 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01ba…b77abacked Phillips | 40c | 22,714$9,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,085.62 | 222 | 59.5%132 W · 90 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86e7…613ebacked Oliveira | 57c | 15,000$8,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,389.99 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7d…cd1cbacked Phillips | 43c | 12,000$5,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,160 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Oliveira | 57c | 6,556$3,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,819 | 148 | 57.4%85 W · 63 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eed…5a28backed Phillips | 44c | 6,008$2,623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,623.33 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2873…ad0abacked Phillips | 42c | 5,980$2,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,511.39 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Phillips | 30c | 5,635$1,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,695.1 | 167 | 45.5%76 W · 91 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37d2…45eebacked Oliveira | 58c | 5,447$3,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,269.55 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf635…e876backed Oliveira | 58c | 5,172$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,172.41 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Phillips | 41c | 4,271$1,751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,751.25 | 195 | 44.6%87 W · 108 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d6…d716backed Phillips | 43c | 4,183$1,788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,787.97 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Oliveira | 57c | 4,173$2,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,794.3 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3503…b8babacked Phillips | 41c | 3,168$1,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,298.84 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa0…7894backed Oliveira | 58c | 2,648$1,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,112.16 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 62cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1331…3d82backed Oliveira | 57c | 2,543$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,093.07 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Phillips | 42c | 2,358$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.33 | 184 | 53.8%99 W · 85 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Phillips | 35c | 2,312$817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$817.16 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebc3…2626backed Oliveira | 58c | 2,300$1,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$977 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f76…3e05backed Phillips | 37c | 2,222$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.75 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe89e…bb74backed Phillips | 42c | 2,208$927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$927.22 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -4.3wins | -0.29per pick | 42cpaid | -67.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked Oliveira | 60c | 2,179$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.09 | 298 | 48.7%145 W · 153 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Oliveira | 58c | 1,977$1,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831.54 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Oliveira | 79c | 1,902$1,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.19 | 235 | 37%87 W · 148 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…5781backed Oliveira | 57c | 1,772$1,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.55 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Oliveira | 57c | 1,670$951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.25 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Oliveira | 45c | 1,627$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$895.5 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc092…0cd9backed Phillips | 43c | 1,519$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653 | 121 | 34.7%42 W · 79 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Phillips | 42c | 1,500$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.98 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x907b…d4c3backed Phillips | 16c | 1,200$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Oliveira | 76c | 1,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 420 | 42.6%179 W · 241 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Oliveira | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06d0…254fbacked Oliveira | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe842…27d6backed Phillips | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 101 | 2%2 W · 99 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Oliveira | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 355 | 39.4%140 W · 215 L | -19.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…e2d8backed Oliveira | 57c | 964.91$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.91 | 356 | 64.6%230 W · 126 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…6c45backed Phillips | 55c | 894.39$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.96 | 280 | 43.2%121 W · 159 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2360…1c1cbacked Oliveira | 57c | 877.19$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.19 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.26per pick | 47cpaid | +123.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Oliveira | 59c | 856.2$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.04 | 515 | 33.6%173 W · 342 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Phillips | 43c | 800$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +6.2wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +47%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7f…a878backed Phillips | 41c | 778$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.26 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97be…416dbacked Oliveira | 58c | 761.95$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.02 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Oliveira | 57c | 724.98$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.74 | 339 | 48.1%163 W · 176 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20dd…f6acbacked Oliveira | 56c | 714.29$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.29 | 318 | 55%175 W · 143 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb33…aaadbacked Phillips | 13c | 704.74$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.21 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa147…3fccbacked Oliveira | 58c | 691.47$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.47 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Phillips | 42c | 690.65$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.07 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22c7…ca3ebacked Phillips | 33c | 655$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.94 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd14c…17bebacked Oliveira | 56c | 649.99$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286 | 131 | 60.3%79 W · 52 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0434…a98cbacked Phillips | 40c | 595.95$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.03 | 264 | 51.9%137 W · 127 L | +23.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd8…2ee5backed Phillips | 6c | 594.83$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.69 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2105…c514backed Phillips | 12c | 579.99$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.5 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 24cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…56cbbacked Oliveira | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.32 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed Oliveira | 58c | 510.34$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.34 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87f4…49e7backed Oliveira | 56c | 500.45$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.58 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Oliveira | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.41per pick | 26cpaid | +191.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7055…9717backed Oliveira | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +3.7wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Phillips | 37c | 500$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Oliveira | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 367 | 45.8%168 W · 199 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Oliveira | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 58 | 67.2%39 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ce…691abacked Oliveira | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59e9…4660backed Phillips | 39c | 500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 26cpaid | +79%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Phillips | 41c | 478.29$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.35 | 564 | 50.5%285 W · 279 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf909…2b17backed Oliveira | 56c | 456.75$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a56…ef97backed Oliveira | 56c | 446.43$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e2b…97b2backed Oliveira | 59c | 441.99$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.5 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc31a…174ebacked Oliveira | 58c | 429.33$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.32 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Oliveira | 58c | 400$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 399 | 59.6%238 W · 161 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaee8…6eebbacked Phillips | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb653…85a4backed Oliveira | 57c | 400$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Phillips | 44c | 399.97$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.99 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Phillips | 40c | 389$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.6 | 105 | 22.9%24 W · 81 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2467…c702backed Oliveira | 57c | 360.47$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.9 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9e…239fbacked Oliveira | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Phillips | 27c | 350$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 325 | 45.2%147 W · 178 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Oliveira | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 58cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…5c56backed Oliveira | 57c | 340.61$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.46 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…a825backed Oliveira | 61c | 327.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.64 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0113…6f26backed Phillips | 50c | 310$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.8 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…ab3ebacked Oliveira | 59c | 299.99$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 287 | 43.9%126 W · 161 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed Oliveira | 57c | 290.39$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.87 | 82 | 20.7%17 W · 65 L | -12.6wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -48%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Phillips | 24c | 288.37$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.85 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x429d…39a7backed Phillips | 14c | 283.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.41 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4243…35d1backed Oliveira | 58c | 280.55$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.83 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +142.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7fa…16cbbacked Oliveira | 74c | 271.09$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.09 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Oliveira | 56c | 255.68$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 171 | 58.5%100 W · 71 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Oliveira | 59c | 244.07$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.07 | 91 | 24.2%22 W · 69 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Phillips | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 186 | 44.1%82 W · 104 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda10…ffeabacked Phillips | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…ca45backed Oliveira | 75c | 220$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.4 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6771…b783backed Oliveira | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x944b…c0c8backed Phillips | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e17…e4d4backed Oliveira | 58c | 193.61$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.85 | 79 | 60.8%48 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0679…bebbbacked Phillips | 43c | 186.05$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb90…1917backed Phillips | 43c | 186.05$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 115 | 40.9%47 W · 68 L | -10.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC 318: Phillips vs. Oliveirathis page
- UFC 318: Costa vs. KopylovCosta won
- UFC 318: Crute vs. PrachnioCrute won
- UFC 318: Ferreira vs. McVeyFerreira won
- UFC 318: Fugitt vs. DulatovDulatov won
- UFC 318: Gautier vs. ValentinGautier won
- UFC 318: Holland vs. Rodriguez Rodriguez won
- UFC 318: Holloway vs. PoirierHolloway won
- UFC 318: Ige vs. Pitbull Pitbull won
- UFC 318: Johnson vs. ZellhuberJohnson won
- UFC 318: Judice vs. CaliariJudice won
- UFC 318: Prado vs. VeretennikovVeretennikov won
- UFC 318: Spann vs. BrzeskiSpann won
- UFC 318: Vettori vs. Allen Allen won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.