UFC · resolved market
UFC 318: Vettori vs. Allen
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0f34c544422ae494f31861a84345b42cfd21bca5076fa977c85d12d424e914dc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Allen of Vettori , Allen
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $226,022
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $256,578
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $226,022 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 160 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5edb…6ff1backed Vettori | 40c | 131,715$52,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,321.71 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Allen | 60c | 59,223$35,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,644.72 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Allen | 60c | 29,249$17,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,700.3 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Allen | 61c | 24,809$15,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,632.19 | 148 | 57.4%85 W · 63 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdecc…9d36backed Vettori | 38c | 15,002$5,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,738.14 | 169 | 51.5%87 W · 82 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Allen | 70c | 14,129$9,868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,260.33 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Allen | 60c | 10,000$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Allen | 62c | 3,649$2,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,370.49 | 184 | 53.8%99 W · 85 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Vettori | 29c | 3,341$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$964.4 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37d2…45eebacked Allen | 62c | 3,210$1,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,219.8 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d6…d716backed Vettori | 36c | 3,163$1,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,145.48 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc607…4e9abacked Vettori | 38c | 2,634$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.58 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06d0…254fbacked Allen | 64c | 2,372$1,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845.4 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Vettori | 4c | 2,258$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.99 | 167 | 45.5%76 W · 91 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3843…b77cbacked Vettori | 5c | 2,160$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2a…2aaebacked Vettori | 37c | 1,634$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.67 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Allen | 61c | 1,504$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.47 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Allen | 63c | 1,434$903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.59 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd684…1a34backed Allen | 65c | 1,375$892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.66 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Allen | 63c | 1,100$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.99 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51a4…b613backed Vettori | 37c | 1,086$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe842…27d6backed Vettori | 2c | 1,031$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.67 | 101 | 2%2 W · 99 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Allen | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 399 | 59.6%238 W · 161 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Allen | 77c | 1,000$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a33…2534backed Allen | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7f…a878backed Vettori | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Vettori | 40c | 999.99$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 355 | 39.4%140 W · 215 L | -19.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Vettori | 36c | 999.97$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.99 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Allen | 60c | 997$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.8 | 420 | 42.6%179 W · 241 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Allen | 66c | 929.58$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.26 | 539 | 56.6%305 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…6c45backed Allen | 63c | 910.08$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.55 | 280 | 43.2%121 W · 159 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee4…80f2backed Allen | 71c | 848.78$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.78 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Allen | 61c | 820$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.8 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x468f…c2a7backed Vettori | 16c | 802.62$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 140 | 45.7%64 W · 76 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Vettori | 35c | 799.99$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 235 | 37%87 W · 148 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Allen | 59c | 765.11$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.7 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc31a…174ebacked Vettori | 39c | 753.13$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.09 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2105…c514backed Vettori | 21c | 713$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.07 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 24cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Allen | 69c | 700$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 181 | 45.3%82 W · 99 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Allen | 63c | 624.24$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.97 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa147…3fccbacked Allen | 65c | 615.38$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.38 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Allen | 65c | 600$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 130 | 41.5%54 W · 76 L | -9.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7842…4d91backed Vettori | 37c | 570$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.9 | 80 | 36.3%29 W · 51 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Allen | 63c | 534$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.69 | 332 | 53.3%177 W · 155 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9e…239fbacked Vettori | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Allen | 61c | 510.26$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.2 | 515 | 33.6%173 W · 342 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…d2e5backed Allen | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 226 | 61.9%140 W · 86 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7836…6bc4backed Vettori | 13c | 500$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 32cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Vettori | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.77 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +6.2wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +47%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Allen | 61c | 499.98$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.99 | 171 | 58.5%100 W · 71 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ce…691abacked Allen | 62c | 499.97$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.99 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…f004backed Allen | 59c | 469.65$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.45 | 209 | 54.1%113 W · 96 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f8…0f11backed Vettori | 5c | 435$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Allen | 62c | 400$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 325 | 45.2%147 W · 178 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb653…85a4backed Vettori | 35c | 400$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Vettori | 36c | 399.99$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…4f5abacked Vettori | 20c | 382.38$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.3 | 181 | 41.4%75 W · 106 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2467…c702backed Vettori | 15c | 379.65$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.09 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd14c…17bebacked Allen | 64c | 339.96$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.59 | 131 | 60.3%79 W · 52 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Vettori | 13c | 334.55$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.49 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda10…ffeabacked Allen | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…ab3ebacked Allen | 64c | 300.14$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.34 | 287 | 43.9%126 W · 161 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x429d…39a7backed Vettori | 15c | 300$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Allen | 63c | 289.96$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.79 | 564 | 50.5%285 W · 279 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Allen | 73c | 288$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.08 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf87b…180abacked Vettori | 37c | 271.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c72…5c26backed Vettori | 37c | 267$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.65 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked Vettori | 38c | 266.89$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.42 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed Vettori | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65d4…4e71backed Allen | 77c | 250$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.5 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x413f…67c3backed Allen | 64c | 249.98$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.99 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Allen | 61c | 248.48$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.91 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked Vettori | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 298 | 48.7%145 W · 153 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacd3…9e40backed Vettori | 12c | 215.36$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0186…defdbacked Vettori | 40c | 213$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.2 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +6.6wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Vettori | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 141 | 44.7%63 W · 78 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Allen | 63c | 199.98$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.99 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb33…aaadbacked Vettori | 19c | 192.61$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.19 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0434…a98cbacked Allen | 75c | 185.07$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.27 | 264 | 51.9%137 W · 127 L | +23.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed Vettori | 42c | 170$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.32 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed Vettori | 35c | 169.97$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.79 | 487 | 49.1%239 W · 248 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e24…51afbacked Vettori | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74e2…cc43backed Vettori | 30c | 166$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.8 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.22per pick | 45cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Allen | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2c…4ae8backed Allen | 63c | 151.47$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.47 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea6f…0c0abacked Vettori | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…89c2backed Allen | 62c | 134.39$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.44 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac1e…ea39backed Vettori | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 324 | 31.8%103 W · 221 L | -9.6wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97cc…bbbfbacked Vettori | 37c | 131.57$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Allen | 63c | 129.25$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.93 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Vettori | 38c | 125.36$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.64 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9083…d27bbacked Vettori | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 151 | 39.7%60 W · 91 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x126b…a516backed Vettori | 40c | 116.81$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.33 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…ec60backed Vettori | 35c | 114.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 246 | 49.6%122 W · 124 L | +14.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1f…94aabacked Allen | 62c | 109.99$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.8 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87f4…49e7backed Allen | 64c | 105.28$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.99 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01ee…9b19backed Vettori | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfee3…58b2backed Allen | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Vettori | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked Allen | 63c | 99.99$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +7.2wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC 318: Vettori vs. Allen this page
- UFC 318: Costa vs. KopylovCosta won
- UFC 318: Crute vs. PrachnioCrute won
- UFC 318: Ferreira vs. McVeyFerreira won
- UFC 318: Fugitt vs. DulatovDulatov won
- UFC 318: Gautier vs. ValentinGautier won
- UFC 318: Holland vs. Rodriguez Rodriguez won
- UFC 318: Holloway vs. PoirierHolloway won
- UFC 318: Ige vs. Pitbull Pitbull won
- UFC 318: Johnson vs. ZellhuberJohnson won
- UFC 318: Judice vs. CaliariJudice won
- UFC 318: Phillips vs. OliveiraOliveira won
- UFC 318: Prado vs. VeretennikovVeretennikov won
- UFC 318: Spann vs. BrzeskiSpann won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.