UFC · resolved market

UFC 318: Costa vs. Kopylov

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x783638df954a241e21efeba7139dd1035b48282618e8cede19f38ecc0bd17b83

Rebuilt 22 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Costaof Costa, Kopylov
Resolved: Jul 20, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $481,756
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $503,636

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $481,756 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 281 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in UFC
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x5edb…6ff1backed Costa	35c	157,310$54,597 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102,712.81	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	+38.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x134a…9e42backed Kopylov	56c	56,328$31,542 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31,541.96	78	41%32 W · 46 L	-2.3wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Costa	33c	54,052$17,713 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36,338.47	352	53.1%187 W · 165 L	+27.7wins	+0.08per pick	45cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Kopylov	68c	34,155$23,276 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23,275.83	130	39.2%51 W · 79 L	-6.4wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6fdb…7ea3backed Kopylov	66c	33,826$22,353 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22,353.47	19	36.8%7 W · 12 L	-1.0wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Kopylov	65c	30,969$20,211 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20,210.63	40	67.5%27 W · 13 L	+4.3wins	+0.11per pick	57cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Kopylov	64c	30,630$19,603 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19,603.18	30	66.7%20 W · 10 L	+2.6wins	+0.09per pick	58cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Kopylov	65c	25,206$16,504 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16,503.89	148	57.4%85 W · 63 L	+5.5wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdecc…9d36backed Costa	37c	24,539$9,129 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15,410.24	169	51.5%87 W · 82 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x242e…ee63backed Kopylov	67c	22,475$14,947 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,947.19	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-2.2wins	-0.17per pick	63cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x86e7…613ebacked Costa	32c	17,000$5,360 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,640.26	134	53%71 W · 63 L	+7.0wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Kopylov	68c	14,499$9,813 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,813.17	149	29.5%44 W · 105 L	-15.2wins	-0.10per pick	40cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xae30…d0a3backed Kopylov	67c	14,326$9,537 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,537	16	75%12 W · 4 L	+3.1wins	+0.19per pick	56cpaid	+37%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1de3…0321backed Costa	33c	12,000$3,910 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,089.99	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	-1.3wins	-0.09per pick	45cpaid	-15%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2873…ad0abacked Kopylov	54c	11,988$6,528 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,527.6	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-0.7wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f91…907fbacked Costa	33c	10,153$3,351 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,802.82	36	61.1%22 W · 14 L	+4.7wins	+0.13per pick	48cpaid	+29.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4d9a…4e25backed Kopylov	66c	8,944$5,942 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,942.07	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-1.1wins	-0.08per pick	41cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaee8…6eebbacked Costa	35c	7,561$2,629 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,932.17	39	38.5%15 W · 24 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-10%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Kopylov	64c	4,533$2,901 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,901.3	78	53.8%42 W · 36 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x63a6…f308backed Kopylov	66c	4,407$2,908 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,908.38	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.3wins	-0.67per pick	67cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9f7d…cd1cbacked Costa	33c	4,267$1,408 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,858.81	47	42.6%20 W · 27 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Costa	33c	4,100$1,353 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,747	358	26%93 W · 265 L	-7.5wins	-0.02per pick	28cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf22e…f52cbacked Kopylov	45c	3,824$1,720 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,719.81	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	+2.2wins	+0.15per pick	42cpaid	+69.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Kopylov	65c	3,779$2,441 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,441.42	184	53.8%99 W · 85 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06d0…254fbacked Kopylov	68c	3,595$2,444 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,443.58	41	61%25 W · 16 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	58cpaid	+15.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20a8…f004backed Costa	63c	3,254$2,034 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,219.82	209	54.1%113 W · 96 L	+3.7wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebc3…2626backed Kopylov	65c	2,750$1,795 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,795.45	82	56.1%46 W · 36 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Kopylov	68c	2,730$1,861 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,861.06	171	58.5%100 W · 71 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	59cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Kopylov	66c	2,420$1,596 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,596.2	145	30.3%44 W · 101 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-38.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5172…0581backed Kopylov	10c	2,400$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240	34	2.9%1 W · 33 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	5cpaid	-73.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Costa	71c	2,392$1,703 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$688.45	104	43.3%45 W · 59 L	-5.5wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-21%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Kopylov	53c	2,346$1,243 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,243.32	169	55.6%94 W · 75 L	+23.8wins	+0.14per pick	42cpaid	+59.8%equal weight	64+0.12 edge/pick
0x309f…9282backed Kopylov	67c	2,257$1,512 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,512.14	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-2.0wins	-0.20per pick	60cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Kopylov	66c	2,000$1,320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,320	399	59.6%238 W · 161 L	+6.1wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d7f…a878backed Costa	36c	2,000$710 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,290	100	41%41 W · 59 L	-3.3wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3a6…fd55backed Costa	31c	2,000$620 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,379.99	63	49.2%31 W · 32 L	+5.0wins	+0.08per pick	41cpaid	+27.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed Costa	30c	2,000$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,399.97	167	45.5%76 W · 91 L	-6.8wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-13%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f69…7df1backed Kopylov	56c	1,900$1,064 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,064	215	54.4%117 W · 98 L	+8.2wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Kopylov	57c	1,884$1,074 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,074.41	235	37%87 W · 148 L	-3.8wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fa9…2491backed Costa	52c	1,832$958 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$874.05	85	44.7%38 W · 47 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa02f…e4b1backed Kopylov	41c	1,701$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$700.04	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	-1.3wins	-0.10per pick	41cpaid	-54.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0113…6f26backed Costa	36c	1,700$612 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,088	33	42.4%14 W · 19 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb81…1cf3backed Kopylov	13c	1,538$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.94	50	12%6 W · 44 L	+2.4wins	+0.05per pick	7cpaid	+272.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2cde…5b98backed Kopylov	13c	1,538$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.94	61	9.8%6 W · 55 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	8cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1b0…6eaebacked Costa	35c	1,525$540 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$984.65	34	58.8%20 W · 14 L	+1.5wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6404…f250backed Kopylov	67c	1,500$1,005 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,005	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+1.0wins	+0.17per pick	50cpaid	+109%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf8d6…0062backed Costa	34c	1,446$495 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$950.71	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+1.5wins	+0.26per pick	41cpaid	+57.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf635…e876backed Costa	35c	1,429$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$928.57	66	45.5%30 W · 36 L	+2.4wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x76c8…ba09backed Kopylov	65c	1,427$928 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$927.84	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb033…bedbbacked Kopylov	67c	1,200$806 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$806	17	58.8%10 W · 7 L	-0.8wins	-0.05per pick	63cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x021a…56cbbacked Costa	34c	1,176$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$776.47	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Costa	66c	1,105$733 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$371.8	45	48.9%22 W · 23 L	-2.2wins	-0.05per pick	54cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc567…04bfbacked Costa	35c	1,029$360 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$668.57	16	50%8 W · 8 L	+2.0wins	+0.12per pick	38cpaid	+38.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9ce…691abacked Kopylov	43c	1,010$429 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$429.43	178	50%89 W · 89 L	+3.9wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda44…2b09backed Costa	35c	1,000$350 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$650	69	43.5%30 W · 39 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-10%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c9d…d327backed Costa	35c	1,000$350 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$650	31	71%22 W · 9 L	+6.2wins	+0.20per pick	51cpaid	+47%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0xfeec…aa69backed Costa	30c	1,000$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$700	32	75%24 W · 8 L	+9.5wins	+0.30per pick	45cpaid	+84.9%equal weight	69+0.17 edge/pick
0xd353…f6acbacked Costa	33c	999.99$330 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$670	252	51.2%129 W · 123 L	+9.1wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7e9…ee46backed Costa	34c	995.82$340 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$656.23	106	50.9%54 W · 52 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x80d6…d716backed Costa	32c	936.52$297 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$639.67	27	51.9%14 W · 13 L	+1.9wins	+0.07per pick	45cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf5f2…0234backed Costa	31c	900$279 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$621	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-2.6wins	-0.16per pick	54cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Kopylov	65c	897.24$583 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$583.21	420	42.6%179 W · 241 L	-7.3wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Kopylov	31c	819.35$253 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$253.06	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdb71…10cdbacked Costa	35c	800$280 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$520	515	33.6%173 W · 342 L	-7.2wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Kopylov	66c	788$518 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$518.08	139	53.2%74 W · 65 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4af…c998backed Costa	34c	767.65$261 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$506.65	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+2.1wins	+0.36per pick	48cpaid	+96.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Kopylov	65c	755.36$491 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$490.98	332	53.3%177 W · 155 L	+6.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe44b…4982backed Kopylov	67c	746.27$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	61cpaid	+3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe356…437ebacked Costa	34c	735.29$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$485.29	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+3.2wins	+0.53per pick	30cpaid	+225.9%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Costa	32c	700.04$224 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$476.03	51	47.1%24 W · 27 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+27.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9b7…60a4backed Kopylov	58c	650$376 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$375.5	325	45.2%147 W · 178 L	-5.9wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb90…1917backed Costa	35c	626.5$219 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$407.23	115	40.9%47 W · 68 L	-10.2wins	-0.09per pick	50cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2360…1c1cbacked Costa	36c	613.89$221 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$392.89	11	72.7%8 W · 3 L	+2.8wins	+0.26per pick	47cpaid	+123.8%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Kopylov	67c	597.15$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	64	62.5%40 W · 24 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	61cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa147…3fccbacked Kopylov	69c	576.81$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	19	68.4%13 W · 6 L	+0.9wins	+0.05per pick	64cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf9e…239fbacked Costa	35c	572.6$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$372.6	25	36%9 W · 16 L	-3.4wins	-0.13per pick	49cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9e7a…1eecbacked Costa	35c	571.43$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$371.43	298	48.7%145 W · 153 L	-10.7wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd49b…abffbacked Costa	36c	555.56$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$355.56	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+1.6wins	+0.26per pick	40cpaid	+67.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6333…e00bbacked Kopylov	68c	552.07$375 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$375	20	60%12 W · 8 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	59cpaid	+21.4%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xd14c…17bebacked Kopylov	68c	550$374 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$374	131	60.3%79 W · 52 L	+6.8wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x477f…6c45backed Kopylov	10c	543$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.3	280	43.2%121 W · 159 L	+10.6wins	+0.04per pick	39cpaid	+7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x433f…a0dcbacked Kopylov	31c	535.91$166 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$166.13	88	26.1%23 W · 65 L	-4.5wins	-0.05per pick	31cpaid	-38.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc31a…174ebacked Kopylov	67c	521.76$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350	97	44.3%43 W · 54 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xf96c…40e1backed Costa	35c	508.28$177 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$331.77	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed10…d2e5backed Kopylov	68c	500$340 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$340	226	61.9%140 W · 86 L	+4.7wins	+0.02per pick	60cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7055…9717backed Kopylov	55c	500$275 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$275	29	58.6%17 W · 12 L	+3.7wins	+0.13per pick	46cpaid	+49.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Kopylov	38c	500$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190	23	30.4%7 W · 16 L	-3.5wins	-0.15per pick	46cpaid	-36.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed Costa	35c	500$175 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$325	130	41.5%54 W · 76 L	-9.1wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked Costa	34c	500$170 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$330	106	51.9%55 W · 51 L	+7.1wins	+0.07per pick	45cpaid	+17.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Costa	33c	500$165 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$335	68	29.4%20 W · 48 L	-2.9wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Costa	33c	499.99$165 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$334.99	367	45.8%168 W · 199 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x20dd…f6acbacked Kopylov	67c	450.02$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	318	55%175 W · 143 L	+5.3wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9212…2ff6backed Kopylov	66c	439.86$290 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$290.31	24	70.8%17 W · 7 L	+5.7wins	+0.24per pick	47cpaid	+81.4%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0x89ca…5b45backed Kopylov	66c	409.09$270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$270	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.09per pick	57cpaid	+63.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbffc…1f45backed Kopylov	63c	400$252 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$252	83	48.2%40 W · 43 L	+2.9wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xddce…6c35backed Costa	55c	395.35$217 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$177.91	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.21per pick	61cpaid	-38%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked Costa	34c	385.71$133 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$252.71	31	54.8%17 W · 14 L	+1.2wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93b4…2486backed Kopylov	67c	385.04$258 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$257.98	33	45.5%15 W · 18 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+13%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xda87…4e9bbacked Costa	30c	372.54$112 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$260.78	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+1.4wins	+0.17per pick	45cpaid	+36.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x36bc…ec72backed Costa	33c	366.89$121 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$245.89	158	48.1%76 W · 82 L	+9.1wins	+0.06per pick	42cpaid	+10%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

UFC 318: Costa vs. Kopylovthis page
UFC 318: Crute vs. PrachnioCrute won
UFC 318: Ferreira vs. McVeyFerreira won
UFC 318: Fugitt vs. DulatovDulatov won
UFC 318: Gautier vs. ValentinGautier won
UFC 318: Holland vs. Rodriguez Rodriguez won
UFC 318: Holloway vs. PoirierHolloway won
UFC 318: Ige vs. Pitbull Pitbull won
UFC 318: Johnson vs. ZellhuberJohnson won
UFC 318: Judice vs. CaliariJudice won
UFC 318: Phillips vs. OliveiraOliveira won
UFC 318: Prado vs. VeretennikovVeretennikov won
UFC 318: Spann vs. BrzeskiSpann won
UFC 318: Vettori vs. Allen Allen won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

UFC 318: Costa vs. Kopylov

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event