TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5172…0581

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
243
Categories scored
29
Categories below 50
16

Best Category: World Politics, grading 65 out of 100 (+0.14 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 65 out of 100; worst Earnings at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST342.9%1 W · 33 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick5cpaid-73.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$120
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$120
UFC Fight Night: Oki vs. Jonesbacked Oki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$240
UFC Fight Night: Tavares vs. Bryczekbacked Tavares · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$120
UFC Fight Night: Will Walker win by KO/TKO/DQ?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$120
UFC Fight Night: Walker and Sumudaerjibacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$120
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhangbacked Zhang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$239.96
UFC Fight Night: Kavanagh vs. Johnsonbacked Kavanagh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$120
UFC Fight Night: Pereira vs. Daukausbacked Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
UFC 319: Will Chimaev win by decision?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$79.92
UFC 319: Elliott vs. Asakurabacked Asakura · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
UFC 319: Hooper vs. Hernandezbacked Hooper · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.32
UFC 319: Silva vs. Barbosa backed Barbosa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$120
UFC Fight Night: Will Hernandez win by submission?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$120
UFC Fight Night: Will Hernandez win by KO/TKO/DQ?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2025, EDT+809.1%+$1,940.2
UFC Fight Night: Rębecki vs. Duncan backed Rębecki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$120
UFC Fight Night: Krylov vs. Guskovbacked Krylov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$239.94
UFC Fight Night: Salikhov vs. Lealbacked Leal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$120
UFC Fight Night: Grant vs. Blackshearbacked Blackshear · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$239.88
UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Riccibacked Ribas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$120
UFC Fight Night: Aslan vs. Elekanabacked Aslan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$120
UFC 318: Costa vs. Kopylovbacked Kopylov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$240
UFC 318: Holland vs. Rodriguez backed Holland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$237Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$236.67
UFC 318: Ige vs. Pitbull backed Ige · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$237Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$237.41
UFC 318: Johnson vs. Zellhuberbacked Zellhuber · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$120
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST3112.9%4 W · 27 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick8cpaid+96.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump pardon Elizabeth Holmes in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+2,464.1%+$2,956.04
Will Trump pardon Rudy Giuliani in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$120
Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$120
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during Australia PM events on October 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Eric Adams drop out by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$239.88
Trump x Epstein files made public in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$240
Will Kevin Spacey be named in newly released Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$120
Will Prince Andrew be named in newly released Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$120
Will Bill Clinton be named in newly released Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.59
Will Trump say B-2 during his Iran address on June 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
US military action against Iran by Monday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$239.94
US military action against Iran by Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$479.88
US military action against Iran by Sunday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$479.74
Trump x Elon talk by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$240
Will courts block Trump's tariffs before June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$119.97
Trump trade deal in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT+646.3%+$1,550.14
Will TikTok be banned again before May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$112.83
Record low border encounters in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$120
Trump releases JFK files by Tuesday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$119.95
Will Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$120
Will Trump issue an executive order on Day 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Trump declassifies JFK files in first week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2025, EST-100%-$119.98
Will Trump mention DeepSeek by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2025, EST-100%-$102.73
Will Trump issue 40 or more executive orders on Day 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2025, EST+2,400%+$1,771.72
TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$159.96
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST2634.6%9 W · 17 L+7.0wins+0.27per pick8cpaid+854.8%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
World Politics — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Dutch government be GL/PvdA + D66 + CDA?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+9,900%+$4,123.21
Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$144.29
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$240
Will LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$239.93
Will LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+3,233.3%+$1,053.21
Cho Tae-yong in jail by November 30? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$239.8
Will Trump say "Tariff" 10+ times during Korea CEOs Luncheon on October 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Shinjirō Koizumi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$120
Will Sanae Takaichi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$120
Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+4,900%+$665.13
Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the most votes in the first round of the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$111.89
Will Samuel Doria Medina win the most votes in the first round of the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$705Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$704.88
Will Kim Moon-soo win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+900%+$1,693.31
Will Lee Jae-myung win by between 5-8%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$239.82
Will voter turnout in the 2025 Polish presidential election be between 70-72%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT+1,150%+$2,760
Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 0-4%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$239.8
Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal minority?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$239.8
Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal majority?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$239.8
Will the next Pope be from Europe?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$120
Will the next Pope be from North America?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$239.82
Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT+900%+$820.36
Will Pierbattista Pizzaballa be the next pope?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT+825.9%+$131.26
Will Robert Francis Prevost be the next pope?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$239.82
Yoon released from custody before April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST-100%-$119.94
Will Micheal Martin be the next Prime Minister of Ireland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2025, EST+549.4%+$88.2
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST229.1%2 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick7cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 49-50°F on December 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C on December 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$29.92
Will the highest temperature in London be between 56-57°F on December 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$29.96
Will the highest temperature in London be between 51-52°F on November 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$29.9
Will the highest temperature in London be between 45-46°F on November 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$29.97
Will the highest temperature in London be between 59-60°F on November 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will the highest temperature in London be between 63-64°F on October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.55
Will the highest temperature in London be between 61-62°F on October 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.99
Will the highest temperature in London be between 59-60°F on October 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.97
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on October 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.99
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on September 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Will the highest temperature in London be between 72-73°F on September 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will the highest temperature in London be between 70-71°F on September 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Megaquake before August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$239.9
Will the highest temperature in London be between 71-72°F on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.94
Will the highest temperature in London be between 76-77°F on July 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.94
Will the highest temperature in London be between 59–60°F on May 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT+719.7%+$431.1
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 61-62°F on May 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$239.82
Will the highest temperature in London be between 60-61°F on April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$119.94
Will the highest temperature in London be between 62-63°F on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2025, EDT+900%+$92.24
Will the highest temperature in London be between 60-61°F on March 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.97
Will the highest temperature in London be between 46-47°F on March 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$119.99
All 22 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1631.3%5 W · 11 L+3.9wins+0.24per pick7cpaid+413.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
Middle East — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+1,900%+$2,280
Will Trump say "China" 3+ times during Saudi Investment Forum on November 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$11.16
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$180.96
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$119.99
Will Israel first announce ceasefire on October 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$162.07
Will Israel first announce ceasefire on October 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$239.94
Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$283Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$282.66
Israel military action against Qatar in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$239.8
Israel strike on Damascus by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$120
Strike on Israel's Dimonah nuclear base in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+1,566.7%+$685.98
Israel strike on Iran on June 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$105.52
Israel military action against Iraq by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT+890.1%+$1,733.32
Israel military action against Iran by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$360
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT+2,464.1%+$2,956.04
Another Israel military action on Yemen by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT+896.6%+$1,046.06
Another Israel military action on Yemen by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$119.98
All 16 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Nov 20, 2025, EST160%0 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Earnings — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bath & Body Works (BBWI) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Will Getty Images Holdings (GETY) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will eToro Group (ETOR) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will DraftKings (DKNG) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Celsius Holdings (CELH) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will McDonald’s (MCD) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Harley-Davidson (HOG) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$94.94
Will Meta Platforms (META) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$59.94
Will Carvana (CVNA) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Will MGM Resorts International (MGM) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Penske Automotive Group (PAG) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Blackstone (BX) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Netflix (NFLX) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$120
Will Texas Instruments (TXN) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$120
Will Factset Research (FDS) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$120
All 16 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1315.4%2 W · 11 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick5cpaid+220.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Will Powell say "Tariff inflation" during December press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will one person dissent the October Fed decision?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$120
Will two people dissent the October Fed decision?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$120
Will Powell say "Pandemic" during September press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will no one dissent September Fed decision?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+2,400%+$2,855.04
Will one person dissent the September Fed decision?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$120
Will Powell say "Trump" during July Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$59.95
Will the ECB announce no change at the July meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$239.87
Will Powell say "Unemployment" 15+ times during June Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT+1,566.7%+$939.06
Will Jerome Powell say "inflation" 40 or more times during the May meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Jerome Powell say "tariff" 20 or more times during the May meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.94
Will Jerome Powell say "Tariff" 10 or more times during the March meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$63.38
All 13 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Nov 21, 2025, EST1127.3%3 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.18per pick9cpaid+321.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Tweets — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$209Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+1,624.1%+$3,397.64
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$239.88
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$239.98
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$239.8
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$239.99
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from September 23 to September 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$239.94
Will Elon tweet 180–194 times July 11–18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$213Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT+1,150%+$2,451.54
Will Elon tweet 165–179 times June 27–July 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$120
Will Elon tweet 150–164 times June 27–July 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$239.98
Will Elon tweet less than 450 times March 7-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2025, EDT+1,566.7%+$1,879.06
Will Elon tweet 400-424 times Dec 27-Jan 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST-100%-$196.49
All 11 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST1030%3 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick13cpaid+70.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
AI — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$239.98
Will KPop Demon Hunters be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$240
Will Kendrick Lamar be the #2 searched person on Google this year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$119.99
Will Tyler Robinson rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$239.8
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$240
Will DeepSeek’s DeepSeek V3.1 Chat win the NOF1.ai competition?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$35.83
Will Sora by OpenAI be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+800.9%+$923.83
Will OpenAi have the top AI model on August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$239.94
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT+233.3%+$932.4
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2025, EST+373.9%+$99.39
All 10 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2025, EDT1010%1 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick3cpaid+40.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "The Naked Gun" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $17m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$120
Will 'King of Kings' make between $15-18m on its domestic opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$338Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$338.38
Will 'King of Kings' make between $18-21m on its domestic opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$431Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT+1,308.5%+$5,639.02
Will Demi Moore win Best Actress at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$19.98
Will "The Wild Robot" win Best Animated Feature at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2025, EST-100%-$120
Will "Flow" win Best Animated Feature at the 2025 Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2025, EST-100%-$120
Will "Conclave" win Best Cast in a Motion Picture at the 2025 SAG Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2025, EST-100%-$80
Will "Only Murders in the Building" win Best Cast in a Comedy Series at the 2025 SAG Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2025, EST-100%-$26.21
Will 'Sing Sing' be nominated for Oscar for Best Picture?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Will 'A Real Pain' be nominated for Oscar for Best Picture?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2025, EST-100%-$60
All 10 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Oct 24, 2025, EDT911.1%1 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick4cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will a dozen eggs be between $3.25-3.50 in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+1,328.6%+$1,032.12
Will the US add less than 50k jobs in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$120
Will annual inflation increase by 2.7% in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$120
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$120
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$240
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$120
Will the June 2025 unemployment rate be 4.1%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$120
Will a dozen eggs be below $4.50 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$120
Will annual inflation increase by 2.4% or less in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$120
All 9 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Sep 22, 2025, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.44per pick6cpaid+2,714.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick9cpaid+371.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Music — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Space Inactivelast resolved Aug 25, 2025, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Space — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 9, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick7cpaid+525%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 25, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick18cpaid+61.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will either Cuomo or Mamdani concede by Wednesday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$119.97
Bernie Sanders votes to confirm RFK Jr?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2025, EST+222.6%+$890.1
All 2 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Golf — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Sep 21, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will The MongolZ win FISSURE Playground 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$89.47
Will FURIA win FISSURE Playground 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$239.88
All 2 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Aug 31, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boxing – Salt Papi vs. Tony Fergusonbacked Salt Papi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$120
Trevvy vs. Oblivionbacked Trevvy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$120
All 2 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
F1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Notre Dame Fighting Irish be the #9 seed in the 2025-2026 College Football Playoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$120
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump and Xi shake hands for 10 seconds or more on October 30, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$120
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea win the 2025 UEFA Conference League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$120
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bitcoin all time high by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$119.88
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Borussia Dortmund or Lille advance in the UCL Round of 16?backed Lille · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$239.94
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Duke win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$239.94
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.