TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

UFC · resolved market

UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Walker of Walker , Zhang
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$146,894
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$153,927

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $146,894 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 200 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in UFC
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc56f…75efbacked Walker 24c20,466$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,466.12757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+46.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01ba…b77abacked Walker 24c11,497$2,729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,767.4222259.5%132 W · 90 L+15.1wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Walker 21c11,122$2,331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,790.914857.4%85 W · 63 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x134a…9e42backed Zhang 75c10,775$8,081 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,081.167841%32 W · 46 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd8f8…0f11backed Walker 73c7,499$5,495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,004.544533.3%15 W · 30 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick39cpaid+20.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x31d8…e99bbacked Zhang 79c7,032$5,555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,555.131662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+42.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xebc3…2626backed Zhang 76c6,100$4,636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,635.998256.1%46 W · 36 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick57cpaid+3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc5b…5b15backed Zhang 74c5,000$3,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,699.99825%2 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x61bf…647ebacked Walker 23c4,823$1,109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,713.611090%9 W · 1 L+2.8wins+0.28per pick62cpaid+63.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x477f…6c45backed Walker 26c4,640$1,199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,441.6228043.2%121 W · 159 L+10.6wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf21a…b6e3backed Zhang 79c4,584$3,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,600862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+62.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b5c…0b1abacked Zhang 79c4,306$3,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,40030%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Zhang 77c4,021$3,106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,105.5217158.5%100 W · 71 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2d8…012abacked Walker 25c4,002$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,001.943745.9%17 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd35…71bcbacked Zhang 78c3,970$3,096 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,096.4250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-29.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7bae…3a9bbacked Walker 26c3,885$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,884.625100%5 W · 0 L+2.4wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+120.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Walker 24c3,730$895 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,834.435826%93 W · 265 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0af…e499backed Zhang 76c3,718$2,813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,812.54560%3 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick68cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5172…0581backed Zhang 7c3,428$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.96342.9%1 W · 33 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick5cpaid-73.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Walker 24c3,257$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,467.255950.8%30 W · 29 L+5.3wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+14.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdd36…aac2backed Zhang 77c3,142$2,435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,435.29450%2 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Zhang 75c2,712$2,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,03014929.5%44 W · 105 L-15.2wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-39.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xdecc…9d36backed Zhang 77c2,600$2,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,001.8816951.5%87 W · 82 L-0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Zhang 77c2,597$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00010443.3%45 W · 59 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-21%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0ba4…c08bbacked Zhang 76c2,500$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,899.52445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0fae…3488backed Walker 25c2,479$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,859.611471.4%10 W · 4 L+4.0wins+0.29per pick43cpaid+90.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Walker 22c2,416$541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,874.6223537%87 W · 148 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc202…2afdbacked Walker 25c2,000$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,494.761241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ae5…53c8backed Walker 23c2,000$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,539.995253.8%28 W · 24 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+23.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd986…1320backed Zhang 75c1,925$1,444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,443.81850%9 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0d7…f9fabacked Walker 23c1,913$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,473.0112262.3%76 W · 46 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a8b…b1c8backed Zhang 76c1,673$1,271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,271.4813650%68 W · 68 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed Zhang 76c1,653$1,264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,263.545945.8%27 W · 32 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x197f…dc8dbacked Zhang 44c1,598$703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702.672924.1%7 W · 22 L-4.9wins-0.17per pick41cpaid-60.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5ee1…9801backed Walker 22c1,566$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,221.132564%16 W · 9 L+2.8wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+50.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9c95…ed41backed Walker 23c1,472$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,133.248220.7%17 W · 65 L-12.6wins-0.15per pick36cpaid-48%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x1d64…5c93backed Walker 25c1,392$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,042.311478.6%11 W · 3 L+4.8wins+0.34per pick44cpaid+97%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xf1f0…58dfbacked Zhang 12c1,346$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.58339.1%3 W · 30 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick8cpaid+291.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Zhang 76c1,335$1,017 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,017.424862.5%155 W · 93 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Walker 22c1,325$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,038.2622144.3%98 W · 123 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4889…e2d8backed Zhang 78c1,219$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95035664.6%230 W · 126 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Zhang 77c1,100$847 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84713039.2%51 W · 79 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-8.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x96df…4caabacked Walker 22c1,100$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$854.974953.1%26 W · 23 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+28.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd19e…fabbbacked Walker 23c1,092$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$840.841662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+39.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x22c7…ca3ebacked Walker 22c1,004$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$784.525736.8%21 W · 36 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd353…f6acbacked Walker 24c1,000$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76025251.2%129 W · 123 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Walker 22c999.99$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$779.9936745.8%168 W · 199 L-1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3751…7dfdbacked Zhang 76c999.92$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$759.946142.6%26 W · 35 L-5.8wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-31.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Zhang 62c990$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$610.430964.7%200 W · 109 L+24.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+16.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xce34…565abacked Zhang 77c985.47$761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$760.691643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-1.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9ede…c417backed Walker 24c945$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$718.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.76per pick24cpaid+316.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe07c…551dbacked Zhang 76c921.05$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7003438.2%13 W · 21 L-5.6wins-0.16per pick55cpaid-35.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6b1e…65c1backed Walker 24c856.17$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$650.696240.3%25 W · 37 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa53a…e4f1backed Zhang 77c850$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$650.4712159.5%72 W · 49 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e25…043ebacked Zhang 77c837.98$645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$645.251233.3%4 W · 8 L-4.4wins-0.37per pick70cpaid-55.8%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xdc3d…351dbacked Walker 22c799.99$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$626.9912055.8%67 W · 53 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x20a8…f004backed Walker 26c772$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$571.2820954.1%113 W · 96 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1cd…a252backed Zhang 77c753.74$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5803342.4%14 W · 19 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xed10…d2e5backed Zhang 79c752.71$592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$592.0322661.9%140 W · 86 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Walker 23c699$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.3519230.7%59 W · 133 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b15…9b08backed Walker 49c632$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.9829151.9%151 W · 140 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cc6…f0f8backed Zhang 76c615.28$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467.611338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8aea…c5f2backed Zhang 77c611.74$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+24.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x20dd…f6acbacked Zhang 78c533.91$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.2531855%175 W · 143 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2910…71b2backed Zhang 76c526.08$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.82250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick77cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x25f4…20e0backed Zhang 80c501.25$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4002254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd685…8be9backed Zhang 75c500$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3758751.7%45 W · 42 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9363…3608backed Zhang 76c500$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3806462.5%40 W · 24 L+5.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+17.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1102…af36backed Walker 25c500$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37748749.1%239 W · 248 L-8.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd11f…48a6backed Zhang 76c500$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+58.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Walker 25c499.98$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.9813735.8%49 W · 88 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2105…c514backed Walker 23c492.76$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.685632.1%18 W · 38 L+4.6wins+0.08per pick24cpaid+7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9fa9…2491backed Zhang 19c483.82$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.318544.7%38 W · 47 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb14…5358backed Zhang 75c472.44$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.3833948.1%163 W · 176 L-16.2wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Zhang 75c471.82$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.8717752%92 W · 85 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Walker 23c450$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.518560%111 W · 74 L+0.9wins0.00per pick60cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x465b…41c3backed Walker 23c434.78$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.786944.9%31 W · 38 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb71…10cdbacked Walker 24c419.33$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.6951533.6%173 W · 342 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6dd6…f5f4backed Walker 67c411.65$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.3853956.6%305 W · 234 L-2.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd700…7d04backed Walker 25c393.97$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.97728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick45cpaid+15.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcdb8…e969backed Zhang 77c390$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.34052.5%21 W · 19 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-5.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe219…d8afbacked Zhang 78c385.38$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+67%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x468f…c2a7backed Walker 26c384.62$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.6214045.7%64 W · 76 L-0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d5d…91d8backed Zhang 78c380$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.4933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-34%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf66…e823backed Walker 21c332$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.2824847.2%117 W · 131 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fda…588dbacked Zhang 76c326.52$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.75450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-0.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xceb8…9177backed Zhang 77c325.17$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25010%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Walker 24c321.51$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.519544.6%87 W · 108 L-0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36bc…ec72backed Walker 25c321.2$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.215848.1%76 W · 82 L+9.1wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x101c…4392backed Zhang 76c300$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2281030%3 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick43cpaid+15.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Walker 22c300$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23414144.7%63 W · 78 L-0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x843d…e617backed Zhang 74c260.29$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.561154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+17.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd353…2ffabacked Walker 25c260.14$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.89540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid+14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe03c…6ee9backed Zhang 76c259.21$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick64cpaid-52.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Zhang 79c250$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.539959.6%238 W · 161 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb533…3313backed Walker 25c247.56$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.671717.6%3 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick28cpaid-30%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Walker 24c246.83$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.5935539.4%140 W · 215 L-19.1wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-15.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xda10…ffeabacked Walker 23c217.39$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.391353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+26.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x098c…1c67backed Walker 22c214.4$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.242740.7%11 W · 16 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+36.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x48e3…c148backed Walker 24c210.36$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.08666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+75.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.