UFC · resolved market
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcc90e6e56d0e70e5b439709cd9b88a53ee79a6057d95bb6919108a2c4dfd7c3a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Walker of Walker , Zhang
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $146,894
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $153,927
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $146,894 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 200 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc56f…75efbacked Walker | 24c | 20,466$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,466.12 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01ba…b77abacked Walker | 24c | 11,497$2,729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,767.42 | 222 | 59.5%132 W · 90 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Walker | 21c | 11,122$2,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,790.9 | 148 | 57.4%85 W · 63 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed Zhang | 75c | 10,775$8,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,081.16 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f8…0f11backed Walker | 73c | 7,499$5,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,004.54 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31d8…e99bbacked Zhang | 79c | 7,032$5,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,555.13 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebc3…2626backed Zhang | 76c | 6,100$4,636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,635.99 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Zhang | 74c | 5,000$3,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,699.99 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61bf…647ebacked Walker | 23c | 4,823$1,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,713.61 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.28per pick | 62cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…6c45backed Walker | 26c | 4,640$1,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,441.62 | 280 | 43.2%121 W · 159 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf21a…b6e3backed Zhang | 79c | 4,584$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,600 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5c…0b1abacked Zhang | 79c | 4,306$3,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,400 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Zhang | 77c | 4,021$3,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,105.52 | 171 | 58.5%100 W · 71 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d8…012abacked Walker | 25c | 4,002$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,001.94 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd35…71bcbacked Zhang | 78c | 3,970$3,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,096.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bae…3a9bbacked Walker | 26c | 3,885$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,884.62 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +120.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Walker | 24c | 3,730$895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,834.4 | 358 | 26%93 W · 265 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0af…e499backed Zhang | 76c | 3,718$2,813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,812.54 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5172…0581backed Zhang | 7c | 3,428$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.96 | 34 | 2.9%1 W · 33 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Walker | 24c | 3,257$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,467.25 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd36…aac2backed Zhang | 77c | 3,142$2,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,435.29 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Zhang | 75c | 2,712$2,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,030 | 149 | 29.5%44 W · 105 L | -15.2wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdecc…9d36backed Zhang | 77c | 2,600$2,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,001.88 | 169 | 51.5%87 W · 82 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Zhang | 77c | 2,597$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba4…c08bbacked Zhang | 76c | 2,500$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,899.5 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Walker | 25c | 2,479$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,859.61 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +4.0wins | +0.29per pick | 43cpaid | +90.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Walker | 22c | 2,416$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,874.62 | 235 | 37%87 W · 148 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc202…2afdbacked Walker | 25c | 2,000$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,494.76 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae5…53c8backed Walker | 23c | 2,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,539.99 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd986…1320backed Zhang | 75c | 1,925$1,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,443.8 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked Walker | 23c | 1,913$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,473.01 | 122 | 62.3%76 W · 46 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8b…b1c8backed Zhang | 76c | 1,673$1,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,271.48 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Zhang | 76c | 1,653$1,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,263.54 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Zhang | 44c | 1,598$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.67 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -4.9wins | -0.17per pick | 41cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee1…9801backed Walker | 22c | 1,566$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,221.13 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed Walker | 23c | 1,472$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,133.24 | 82 | 20.7%17 W · 65 L | -12.6wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -48%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1d64…5c93backed Walker | 25c | 1,392$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,042.31 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +4.8wins | +0.34per pick | 44cpaid | +97%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…58dfbacked Zhang | 12c | 1,346$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.58 | 33 | 9.1%3 W · 30 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | +291.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Zhang | 76c | 1,335$1,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,017.4 | 248 | 62.5%155 W · 93 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Walker | 22c | 1,325$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,038.26 | 221 | 44.3%98 W · 123 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…e2d8backed Zhang | 78c | 1,219$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 356 | 64.6%230 W · 126 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Zhang | 77c | 1,100$847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$847 | 130 | 39.2%51 W · 79 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Walker | 22c | 1,100$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.97 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd19e…fabbbacked Walker | 23c | 1,092$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840.84 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22c7…ca3ebacked Walker | 22c | 1,004$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784.52 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd353…f6acbacked Walker | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760 | 252 | 51.2%129 W · 123 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Walker | 22c | 999.99$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.99 | 367 | 45.8%168 W · 199 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3751…7dfdbacked Zhang | 76c | 999.92$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.94 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -5.8wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Zhang | 62c | 990$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.4 | 309 | 64.7%200 W · 109 L | +24.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce34…565abacked Zhang | 77c | 985.47$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.69 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ede…c417backed Walker | 24c | 945$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe07c…551dbacked Zhang | 76c | 921.05$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -5.6wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Walker | 24c | 856.17$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.69 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa53a…e4f1backed Zhang | 77c | 850$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.47 | 121 | 59.5%72 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e25…043ebacked Zhang | 77c | 837.98$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.25 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -4.4wins | -0.37per pick | 70cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3d…351dbacked Walker | 22c | 799.99$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.99 | 120 | 55.8%67 W · 53 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…f004backed Walker | 26c | 772$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.28 | 209 | 54.1%113 W · 96 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1cd…a252backed Zhang | 77c | 753.74$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…d2e5backed Zhang | 79c | 752.71$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.03 | 226 | 61.9%140 W · 86 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Walker | 23c | 699$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.35 | 192 | 30.7%59 W · 133 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…9b08backed Walker | 49c | 632$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.98 | 291 | 51.9%151 W · 140 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc6…f0f8backed Zhang | 76c | 615.28$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.61 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…c5f2backed Zhang | 77c | 611.74$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20dd…f6acbacked Zhang | 78c | 533.91$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.25 | 318 | 55%175 W · 143 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2910…71b2backed Zhang | 76c | 526.08$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed Zhang | 80c | 501.25$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd685…8be9backed Zhang | 75c | 500$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9363…3608backed Zhang | 76c | 500$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed Walker | 25c | 500$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377 | 487 | 49.1%239 W · 248 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd11f…48a6backed Zhang | 76c | 500$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Walker | 25c | 499.98$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.98 | 137 | 35.8%49 W · 88 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2105…c514backed Walker | 23c | 492.76$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.68 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 24cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Zhang | 19c | 483.82$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.31 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Zhang | 75c | 472.44$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.38 | 339 | 48.1%163 W · 176 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Zhang | 75c | 471.82$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.87 | 177 | 52%92 W · 85 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Walker | 23c | 450$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.5 | 185 | 60%111 W · 74 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x465b…41c3backed Walker | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.78 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Walker | 24c | 419.33$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.69 | 515 | 33.6%173 W · 342 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Walker | 67c | 411.65$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.38 | 539 | 56.6%305 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd700…7d04backed Walker | 25c | 393.97$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.97 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…e969backed Zhang | 77c | 390$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.3 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe219…d8afbacked Zhang | 78c | 385.38$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +67%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x468f…c2a7backed Walker | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.62 | 140 | 45.7%64 W · 76 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5d…91d8backed Zhang | 78c | 380$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.4 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -34%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf66…e823backed Walker | 21c | 332$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.28 | 248 | 47.2%117 W · 131 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fda…588dbacked Zhang | 76c | 326.52$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceb8…9177backed Zhang | 77c | 325.17$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Walker | 24c | 321.51$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.5 | 195 | 44.6%87 W · 108 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36bc…ec72backed Walker | 25c | 321.2$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.2 | 158 | 48.1%76 W · 82 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x101c…4392backed Zhang | 76c | 300$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Walker | 22c | 300$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234 | 141 | 44.7%63 W · 78 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x843d…e617backed Zhang | 74c | 260.29$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.56 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd353…2ffabacked Walker | 25c | 260.14$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.89 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe03c…6ee9backed Zhang | 76c | 259.21$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Zhang | 79c | 250$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.5 | 399 | 59.6%238 W · 161 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb533…3313backed Walker | 25c | 247.56$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.67 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -30%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Walker | 24c | 246.83$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.59 | 355 | 39.4%140 W · 215 L | -19.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda10…ffeabacked Walker | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.39 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Walker | 22c | 214.4$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.24 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed Walker | 24c | 210.36$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.08 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +75.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhangthis page
- UFC Fight Night: Kavanagh vs. JohnsonJohnson won
- UFC Fight Night: Long vs. YouYou won
- UFC Fight Night: Maheshate vs. YoungYoung won
- UFC Fight Night: Nueraji vs. CrosbieNueraji won
- UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. SterlingSterling won
- UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Cortes-AcostaPavlovich won
- UFC Fight Night: Pereira vs. DaukausDaukaus won
- UFC Fight Night: Rongzhu vs. HubbardRongzhu won
- UFC Fight Night: Satybaldiev vs. NurgozhaySatybaldiev won
- UFC Fight Night: Sumudaerji vs. BorjasSumudaerji won
- UFC Fight Night: Yizha vs. WilsonYizha won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.