TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe219…d8af

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
113
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Champions League, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 60 out of 100; worst Token Launches at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT3745.9%17 W · 20 L+5.6wins+0.15per pick31cpaid+33%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Champions League — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$42.59
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.8
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.62
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$186.43
Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$64.01
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-03-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$103.23
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-03-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+106.8%+$80.08
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Juventus FC vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+376.2%+$199.38
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+161.5%+$121.15
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Will SSC Napoli win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+334.8%+$167.39
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+300%+$75
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+270.4%+$89.22
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT1942.1%8 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick32cpaid+21.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$316.67
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$170.27
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+114.7%+$114.66
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+100%+$100
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$401Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$315.25
Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Portugal vs. Croatia: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Portugal vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$111.29
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$213.16
Spread: England (-1.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Vinícius Júnior: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Portugal win on 2025-09-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT+80.6%+$80.65
All 19 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT1747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-15.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-05-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+100.5%+$57.8
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$59.89
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.73
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$75
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-02-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$75
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Celta Vigo win on 2025-12-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Barcelona win on 2025-12-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+177.8%+$88.89
Will Sevilla win on 2025-10-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$75
Will Real Sociedad win on 2025-09-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$53.16
Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+82.5%+$41.27
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT+79.7%+$79.66
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-08-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$29.37
Will Barcelona win on 2025-08-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$56.25
All 17 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick33cpaid-77.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2025, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+25.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-19.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Oct 5, 2025, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+67%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ankalaev vs. Pereirabacked Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+212.5%+$212.5
UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralhobacked Imavov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT+110.5%+$107.17
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhangbacked Zhang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaevbacked Chimaev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$306Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$137.64
All 4 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 8, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Another dildo thrown at WNBA game by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT+65.2%+$130.31
Another dildo thrown at WNBA game by August 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT+42.6%+$61.32
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Aug 18, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+35.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$305Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$305
Iran strike on Israel before November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$50
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+270.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+270.4%+$135.19
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain win on 2026-08-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$96.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 12, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will a Democrat win Arizona US Senate Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2024, EST-100%-$84.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum reach $5000 in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Aug 31, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Udinese win on 2025-08-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Sep 14, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boxing: Canelo Álvarez vs. Terence Crawford backed Canelo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$350
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.