Fifa International · resolved market
Will Portugal win on 2025-09-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xac180eac8af403f3c6db38eb9a9f22f5d87d428d6cd769d56cdda39856da7231
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $267,707
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $328,999
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $267,707 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 284 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 32c | 28,848$9,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,135.98 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbb…05a8backed Yes | 70c | 28,382$19,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,647.05 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x823c…0425backed Yes | 72c | 25,270$18,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,040.64 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked No | 32c | 21,045$6,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,660.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 33c | 16,506$5,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,382.89 | 281 | 33.1%93 W · 188 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 31c | 15,277$4,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,684.28 | 246 | 47.6%117 W · 129 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa742…68c5backed Yes | 68c | 12,396$8,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,966.74 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 33c | 11,910$3,895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,895 | 125 | 25.6%32 W · 93 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 30c | 8,542$2,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,564.63 | 173 | 45.7%79 W · 94 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 66c | 5,405$3,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,835.55 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x736f…d0c5backed Yes | 70c | 4,893$3,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,457.96 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed No | 31c | 4,645$1,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,434.47 | 96 | 18.8%18 W · 78 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x571c…c16abacked Yes | 70c | 4,290$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,289.84 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x699d…7b47backed Yes | 63c | 3,672$2,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,358.46 | 57 | 21.1%12 W · 45 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Yes | 68c | 3,665$2,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,176.7 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed No | 35c | 3,547$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,225.45 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed No | 29c | 3,414$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.24 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc29…7774backed Yes | 69c | 3,114$2,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$965.23 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Yes | 71c | 2,700$1,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.34 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 31c | 2,548$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784.83 | 120 | 47.5%57 W · 63 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Yes | 71c | 2,508$1,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.54 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed No | 31c | 2,500$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked No | 31c | 2,367$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.9 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 66c | 2,350$1,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.5 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd16a…7691backed Yes | 58c | 2,035$1,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858.36 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.18per pick | 43cpaid | +114.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8189…fa33backed Yes | 70c | 2,002$1,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.4 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 73c | 2,000$1,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.36 | 103 | 66%68 W · 35 L | +12.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1e86…93c2backed No | 33c | 2,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 30c | 2,000$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.87 | 211 | 40.3%85 W · 126 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed No | 37c | 1,811$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.94 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…fa00backed No | 30c | 1,720$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.89 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a4…819fbacked Yes | 70c | 1,719$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.53 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4db0…e467backed Yes | 70c | 1,643$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.86 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked No | 32c | 1,617$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.04 | 98 | 29.6%29 W · 69 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9375…1dbdbacked Yes | 71c | 1,538$1,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x486e…c403backed No | 32c | 1,500$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.28per pick | 42cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked No | 30c | 1,500$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x967d…ef6abacked Yes | 71c | 1,409$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.51 | 64 | 73.4%47 W · 17 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 49c | 1,389$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.43 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -6.7wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed No | 34c | 1,313$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.79 | 287 | 31%89 W · 198 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 68c | 1,254$853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.19 | 134 | 61.9%83 W · 51 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…8026backed Yes | 65c | 1,230$805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.72 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…fd7fbacked Yes | 68c | 1,143$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.77 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 36c | 1,022$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.65 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 29c | 1,020$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.8 | 140 | 40.7%57 W · 83 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Yes | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf763…414fbacked Yes | 69c | 975.8$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked No | 29c | 967.06$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.45 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 29c | 966.59$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.21 | 319 | 45.1%144 W · 175 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 31c | 964$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.48 | 162 | 44.4%72 W · 90 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4e…62d5backed Yes | 68c | 948.53$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.53 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +85.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Yes | 64c | 914.53$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.23 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c7e…3748backed Yes | 70c | 889.23$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.39 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed Yes | 64c | 864.5$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.5 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +85.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 33c | 830.25$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.9 | 423 | 52%220 W · 203 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 32c | 806.06$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.27 | 358 | 48.3%173 W · 185 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b25…b5ccbacked Yes | 66c | 762.86$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.37 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…ca3cbacked Yes | 69c | 721.29$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.29 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3022…59c1backed Yes | 69c | 699.98$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.99 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8b…63b2backed Yes | 69c | 681.99$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.42 | 131 | 59.5%78 W · 53 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…ee5cbacked Yes | 67c | 679.27$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.16 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x467e…c62dbacked Yes | 71c | 647.89$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.89 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1402…4853backed Yes | 59c | 627.6$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.58 | 153 | 17%26 W · 127 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 72c | 625$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.36 | 88 | 55.7%49 W · 39 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed No | 34c | 600$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 134 | 19.4%26 W · 108 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2230…a66cbacked Yes | 59c | 595.8$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.28 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07a0…a950backed Yes | 68c | 577.74$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.37 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7428…e742backed Yes | 66c | 562.14$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.55 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…be32backed Yes | 62c | 552.34$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.89 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d1…32b8backed Yes | 67c | 545.96$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.68 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa614…da1abacked Yes | 68c | 535.52$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.42 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c6…09b5backed Yes | 70c | 507.89$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.29 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57f2…d036backed Yes | 69c | 502.13$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.13 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a32…6d7ebacked No | 28c | 500$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.71 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 30c | 499.94$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.98 | 215 | 42.8%92 W · 123 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a43…9b60backed No | 38c | 498.88$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 78c | 492.92$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.2 | 229 | 59.4%136 W · 93 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e7…4dc9backed Yes | 70c | 479.39$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.39 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4944…e4c7backed Yes | 64c | 470.77$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.77 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…22d9backed Yes | 67c | 447.65$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.65 | 59 | 66.1%39 W · 20 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…95a6backed Yes | 68c | 441.18$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.18 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 70c | 428.57$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.57 | 360 | 38.1%137 W · 223 L | -15.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…e316backed Yes | 72c | 416.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.4wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +81.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x50f7…7272backed Yes | 70c | 414.29$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.29 | 132 | 58.3%77 W · 55 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Yes | 71c | 414.08$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.08 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…7becbacked No | 13c | 381.01$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.24per pick | 43cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…9ff9backed Yes | 70c | 369.93$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.93 | 69 | 65.2%45 W · 24 L | +9.6wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x51c8…5c6bbacked Yes | 69c | 362.32$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.32 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf267…0a4cbacked No | 28c | 350$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.4 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd74f…ff78backed Yes | 71c | 350$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 73cpaid | +38%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92a5…eb80backed Yes | 72c | 347.22$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.22 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 32c | 339.96$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.26 | 202 | 45.5%92 W · 110 L | -13.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba28…8d2cbacked Yes | 51c | 335.08$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.08 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +82.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked No | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 225 | 51.6%116 W · 109 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b2…c24ebacked Yes | 70c | 321.43$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.43 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x384a…39c0backed No | 30c | 319.97$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.59 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1037…413fbacked No | 32c | 319.59$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.71 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58f2…a3e2backed Yes | 64c | 318.27$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.58 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1324…3931backed Yes | 64c | 314.52$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.23 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x040d…1a5ebacked Yes | 77c | 307.68$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.55 | 124 | 32.3%40 W · 84 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Portugal win on 2025-09-09?this page
- Will Hungary vs. Portugal end in a draw?No won
- Will Hungary win on 2025-09-09?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.