TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb6c5…7bec

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
160
Categories scored
21
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: MLB, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 57 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT6949.3%34 W · 35 L+5.6wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+16.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 69 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$2,228Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,228.42
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$4,541Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,541.48
Texas Rangers vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$3,413Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$2,275.52
Baltimore Orioles vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,956Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$1,475.76
Angels vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$259Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT+95.4%+$247.19
Cubs vs. Redsbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$415Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+80.7%+$335
Padres vs. Metsbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$215
Guardians vs. Tigersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$270.27
Phillies vs. Dodgersbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$255.32
Padres vs. Metsbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$270
Angels vs. Brewersbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$225
Braves vs. Nationalsbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$454Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$453.99
Giants vs. Diamondbacksbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$177
Orioles vs. White Soxbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$120
Reds vs. Cardinalsbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+190.8%+$223.52
Phillies vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$899Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$899.46
Giants vs. Diamondbacksbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$780Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$1,220
Angels vs. Brewersbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$186.01
Guardians vs. Tigersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$380Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$380.17
Padres vs. Metsbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$196.24
Braves vs. Nationalsbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$65.94
Phillies vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$220
Reds vs. Cardinalsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$283Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$283.12
Blue Jays vs. Raysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$351Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+82.2%+$288.8
Braves vs. Nationalsbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Showing 25 of 69 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Sep 19, 2025, EDT1723.5%4 W · 13 L-2.2wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-53.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dolphins vs. Billsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$120
Chargers vs. Raidersbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$280
Buccaneers vs. Texansbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$257Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$256.5
Spread: Vikings (-3.5)backed Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$115
Panthers vs. Cardinalsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$208.38
Eagles vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$487Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$487.04
Broncos vs. Coltsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$390Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+182.4%+$710.5
Giants vs. Cowboysbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$120
Bears vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$312Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$121.24
Jaguars vs. Bengalsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$174.99
Seahawks vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$316Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$315.7
Rams vs. Titansbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$299Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$134.23
49ers vs. Saintsbacked Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$170
Bills vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$220
Commanders vs. Packersbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$120
Vikings vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$368Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$367.81
Dolphins vs. Ramsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$440Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2024, EST+127.3%+$559.98
All 17 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Sep 18, 2025, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$309.98
Will Newcastle United win on 2025-09-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$92.5
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-09-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$168
Will Manchester City win on 2025-09-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$211.96
Will Bayer Leverkusen win on 2025-09-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$236Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$163.86
Will Inter win on 2025-09-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$285Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$215
Will Slavia Praha win on 2025-09-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+300%+$300
Will Olympiakos Piraeus win on 2025-09-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$207
Will Benfica win on 2025-09-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$313Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$312.95
Will Tottenham Hotspur win on 2025-09-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$570Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+73.3%+$417.35
Will PSV Eindhoven win on 2025-09-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$223Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+124.7%+$277.5
All 11 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT1118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.7wins-0.24per pick43cpaid-64.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.74
Will Portugal win on 2025-09-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$49.95
Will Romania win on 2025-09-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$181Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT+134.5%+$243.75
Will England win on 2025-09-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$61.25
Will Ukraine win on 2025-09-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$58.51
Will Maldives win on 2025-09-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$34.99
Will Sri Lanka win on 2025-09-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$39
Will Australia win on 2025-09-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$217Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$216.99
Will Sweden win on 2025-09-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$125
Will Kosovo win on 2025-09-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$104.73
Will Croatia win on 2025-09-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$39.06
All 11 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Nov 8, 2025, EST771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+37.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Sep 20, 2025, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick37cpaid+112.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 7, 2025, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Celtics vs. Magicbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$978Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$978.21
Warriors vs. Timberwolvesbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$554Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST+156.4%+$866.76
Clippers vs. Rocketsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,786Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2024, EST-100%-$1,785.64
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2024, EST+78.6%+$785.68
Nets vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$531Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2024, EST-100%-$530.97
Hornets vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2024, EST+56.3%+$88.18
Rockets vs. Pistonsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$443Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST+63.9%+$283.14
All 7 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 7, 2025, EST475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.33per pick42cpaid+57%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
College Football — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Georgia Southern vs. Appalachian Statebacked Georgia Southern · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+185.7%+$464.75
Georgia vs. Tennesseebacked Tennessee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$38
Clemson vs. Georgia Techbacked Georgia Tech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$169Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+89.8%+$151.4
Colorado vs. Houstonbacked Houston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+52.3%+$68.7
All 4 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Sep 13, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Noche UFC: Garcia vs. Gordonbacked Garcia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$385Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+160.1%+$615.5
Noche UFC: Gastelum vs. Stoltzfusbacked Stoltzfus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$51
Noche UFC: Hernandez vs. Ferreirabacked Hernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$127.5
Noche UFC: Puelles vs. Silvabacked Puelles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$540Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$540
All 4 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Sep 21, 2025, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-43.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Sep 14, 2025, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-53.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Sep 9, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick55cpaid+89.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
League of Legends: Invictus Gaming vs. Bilibili Gamingbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$137.5
League of Legends: Movistar KOI vs. Fnaticbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$180
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+48.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$23.24
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+26.9%+$11.49
All 2 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Sep 14, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Turkey win the 2025 EuroBasket Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$184Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$216
Euro Basket: Turkey vs Greecebacked Greece · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$71
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Sep 12, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs. PARIVISIONbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$75
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs. Nigma Galaxybacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$125
All 2 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Sep 14, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boxing: Canelo Álvarez vs. Terence Crawford backed Crawford · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$103.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Sep 13, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will OGC Nice win on 2025-09-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$87.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Sep 14, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will New York Red Bulls win on 2025-09-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Sep 16, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dream vs. Feverbacked Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$177.49
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tesla deliver 475000 or more vehicles in Q2 2026backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.45
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.