TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will Lazio win on 2025-09-14?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$987,525
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$984,877

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $987,525 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2635…5408backed No50c905,290$453,632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451,658.072429.2%7 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-25.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yes50c323,401$161,301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161,300.528558.8%50 W · 35 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+18.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed Yes50c246,864$122,962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122,962.135955.9%33 W · 26 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Yes50c115,648$57,824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57,823.951877.8%14 W · 4 L+3.2wins+0.18per pick60cpaid+34.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Yes50c60,000$30,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,0001145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.17per pick62cpaid-34.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa987…141dbacked Yes50c49,103$24,552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,551.72166.7%14 W · 7 L+4.0wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+36.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes49c29,140$14,292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,292.22,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed Yes50c28,449$14,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,224.575240.4%21 W · 31 L-8.6wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-32.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Yes49c21,450$10,551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,550.7124657.3%141 W · 105 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes49c10,000$4,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,90016045%72 W · 88 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Yes49c8,543$4,186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,185.8317543.4%76 W · 99 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd16a…7691backed Yes30c6,590$1,951 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,951.131233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes50c2,950$1,475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,474.9633357.4%191 W · 142 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x016e…c700backed Yes49c2,502$1,222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,222825%2 W · 6 L-2.8wins-0.35per pick60cpaid-53.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf80b…fa00backed Yes50c2,002$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0011650%8 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x48ee…83dabacked Yes52c2,000$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,040250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1250…8f99backed Yes51c1,960$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.5540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No52c1,767$919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$848.3122551.6%116 W · 109 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Yes50c1,500$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$750475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick54cpaid+47.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x27a9…8781backed Yes48c1,449$695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$695.431650%8 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1bbc…f458backed Yes50c923$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463.73836.8%14 W · 24 L-5.9wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-36.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x328e…dc42backed Yes50c863.49$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.741952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No55c843.91$467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.891,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc71e…f450backed Yes48c700$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3362433.3%8 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-33.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb6c5…7becbacked Yes50c525$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.5757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick37cpaid+112.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2506737.3%25 W · 42 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0364…f19bbacked No50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250540%2 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick25cpaid+30.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6324…95b9backed Yes51c443.14$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2261729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-30.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x89d1…6448backed Yes24c416.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001540%6 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-34%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6231…3f29backed Yes51c400$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.23per pick60cpaid-47%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3a32…6d7ebacked No49c390.79$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.31850%9 W · 9 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa721…a850backed Yes51c372.53$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8cb7…04d8backed Yes14c353.33$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513036.7%11 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1037…413fbacked Yes50c336.51$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.262839.3%11 W · 17 L-3.7wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-27.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Yes51c323.33$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.94323.3%10 W · 33 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-27%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed No51c300$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14712540%50 W · 75 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45d1…7017backed No48c299.98$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.994854.2%26 W · 22 L+6.9wins+0.14per pick40cpaid+41.1%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes11c295$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.820033%66 W · 134 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-34.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0d2…0ffebacked No50c290$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe68a…5e25backed Yes52c285$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.22748.1%13 W · 14 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick42cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb2a0…ca0cbacked Yes50c231.31$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.66560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+13.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4eff…8490backed No50c228.56$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.09475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+24.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf208…314ebacked Yes51c220$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.2450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf575…e0ebbacked Yes48c205.09$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.444330.2%13 W · 30 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x60e6…9e8abacked No48c199.99$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.992642.3%11 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+49.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebdf…1fcbbacked Yes51c195.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.852487.5%21 W · 3 L+6.4wins+0.27per pick61cpaid+46.4%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x8aea…c5f2backed Yes52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick66cpaid-35.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes50c181$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.55635.7%20 W · 36 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed Yes52c169.23$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$882955.2%16 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Yes51c166.37$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.853540%14 W · 21 L-5.4wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-30.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xcec6…47c1backed No62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f47…0043backed Yes31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-70.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xad28…770cbacked Yes46c155.39$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.573043.3%13 W · 17 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick51cpaid+11.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes46c136.95$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6310952.3%57 W · 52 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcba6…bb05backed Yes50c122.61$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.819754.6%53 W · 44 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505560%33 W · 22 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Yes40c100.05$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.554522.2%10 W · 35 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-47%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a50…ff53backed Yes48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481650%8 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd82a…5fcfbacked No51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.58958.4%52 W · 37 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x68f9…d046backed Yes51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50425%1 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.42per pick67cpaid-68.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe233…14a3backed Yes52c93.04$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.386553.8%35 W · 30 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97df…3088backed No67c91.79$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.472958.6%17 W · 12 L+3.4wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+40.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Yes37c87.22$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.275754.4%31 W · 26 L+3.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4021…956abacked Yes49c81.63$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402326.1%6 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Yes37c81.08$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305125.5%13 W · 38 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7665…f332backed Yes41c79.2$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.47425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-54.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6adf…f52bbacked Yes38c72.77$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfebd…5c09backed Yes48c62.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302445.8%11 W · 13 L-4.0wins-0.17per pick62cpaid-33.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf18a…7f7bbacked Yes48c52.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Yes49c51.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2512134.7%42 W · 79 L+0.3wins0.00per pick34cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99f9…004dbacked Yes49c51.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-21.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Yes50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.0514740.8%60 W · 87 L-14.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-27.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd574…425dbacked Yes45c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.510339.8%41 W · 62 L+0.5wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00f7…4476backed Yes49c49.99$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.51172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.20per pick53cpaid+49.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No52c49.31$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.7928458.1%165 W · 119 L+12.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f1a…7c47backed Yes47c49.06$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.069353.8%50 W · 43 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb3…f37fbacked No53c49.06$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.066162.3%38 W · 23 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7dce…38ecbacked Yes51c49.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a54…e581backed Yes42c47.62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202462.5%15 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x484f…28cbbacked Yes50c43.29$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.651838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.15per pick54cpaid-29.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x72c6…f769backed Yes48c41.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+29.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x217e…30aebacked Yes49c40.89$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f9e…7293backed No54c40.71$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.73771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.22per pick49cpaid+38.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x04e7…a515backed Yes50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c18…b8cebacked Yes50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xad14…04febacked Yes48c40$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-53.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed No55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.366053.3%32 W · 28 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x639e…a9d4backed Yes36c35.02$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.55812.5%1 W · 7 L-3.1wins-0.38per pick51cpaid-78.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf7d7…0442backed Yes40c34.05$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc327…8b66backed Yes50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-52.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf57f…73dcbacked Yes50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No53c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.428556.1%160 W · 125 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e10…70f4backed No70c15.92$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.785848.3%28 W · 30 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.