Serie A · resolved market
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2025-09-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x13e317d6639bf82b2659c6c1eb6153b1c5c441238cb645af300ac5510c1023b4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,529
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,766
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,529 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 18c | 3,903$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.81 | 2,013 | 39.4%794 W · 1,219 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Yes | 71c | 3,405$2,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$998.97 | 246 | 57.3%141 W · 105 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked No | 29c | 1,379$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc71e…f450backed No | 78c | 841$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.98 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x723c…01ebbacked Yes | 18c | 547.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.21 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed No | 21c | 500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 118 | 37.3%44 W · 74 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0364…f19bbacked Yes | 22c | 499.98$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a4c…6579backed No | 22c | 391.29$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.49 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Yes | 22c | 300$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234 | 125 | 40%50 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked No | 32c | 300$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 22c | 295.33$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.35 | 200 | 33%66 W · 134 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0565…789abacked Yes | 71c | 283.48$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.48 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed No | 76c | 264.29$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…fa00backed No | 77c | 264.11$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.36 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 41c | 250$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.5 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Yes | 25c | 200.19$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.02 | 147 | 42.9%63 W · 84 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb4…0c34backed Yes | 79c | 200$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Yes | 21c | 200$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aaa…0c04backed No | 74c | 179.73$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Yes | 26c | 179.73$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b48…58a6backed No | 79c | 169.62$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d9…98f1backed No | 78c | 169.22$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.99 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.7wins | -0.39per pick | 67cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0709…f2edbacked Yes | 71c | 169.01$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.01 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Yes | 25c | 167.99$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.99 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…9133backed No | 75c | 160.14$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 78c | 141$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.33 | 285 | 56.1%160 W · 125 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1dd…a008backed No | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Yes | 70c | 113.59$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.08 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Yes | 21c | 103.39$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.68 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +6.9wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0b98…d5d8backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc4…701abacked No | 74c | 100$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd574…425dbacked Yes | 23c | 80$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.6 | 103 | 39.8%41 W · 62 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47ca…c7f5backed No | 34c | 73.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bf…345abacked Yes | 27c | 70$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.1 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +67.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yes | 25c | 68.25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.2 | 85 | 58.8%50 W · 35 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50d6…04babacked No | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 38c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.53 | 147 | 40.8%60 W · 87 L | -14.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 78c | 50$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.75 | 284 | 58.1%165 W · 119 L | +12.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 66c | 42.35$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 223 | 73.1%163 W · 60 L | +20.4wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 272 | 26.8%73 W · 199 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x273a…6d54backed Yes | 76c | 39.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed No | 75c | 35$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.21 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Yes | 64c | 17.87$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5acb…e88fbacked No | 75c | 14.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2025-09-14?this page
- Will Lazio win on 2025-09-14?No won
- Will US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Lazio end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.