Serie A · resolved market
Will US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Lazio end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x62a134eab6f1a0a2d6e41f1aa895b3dcd418c6b034090b42d779cd5982e348c3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,781
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,349
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,781 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa987…141dbacked Yes | 28c | 9,500$2,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,660 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +4.0wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 72c | 9,500$6,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,660 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 75c | 1,422$1,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.62 | 246 | 57.3%141 W · 105 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdce…a1d1backed Yes | 29c | 779.9$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +92.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 13c | 574.89$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.74 | 175 | 43.4%76 W · 99 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 29c | 544.28$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.73 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 68c | 467.3$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.94 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62c6…55acbacked Yes | 31c | 313.52$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.19 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb7…04d8backed Yes | 25c | 210.25$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 15c | 210$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.7 | 201 | 43.8%88 W · 113 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa4…17c0backed No | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 73c | 160$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 285 | 56.1%160 W · 125 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7308…c177backed Yes | 17c | 153.82$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.15 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -56%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 66c | 151.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.48 | 71 | 66.2%47 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e1…7edabacked Yes | 17c | 116.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97df…3088backed No | 53c | 113.4$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.3 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9d3…f492backed No | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +83.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a50…ff53backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 225 | 51.6%116 W · 109 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb27b…5d6bbacked Yes | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 73c | 56.52$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.31 | 284 | 58.1%165 W · 119 L | +12.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 147 | 40.8%60 W · 87 L | -14.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked No | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4de9…4ab1backed Yes | 27c | 44.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 47c | 43.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 200 | 33%66 W · 134 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5677…2ce9backed No | 53c | 35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.45 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7272…7135backed Yes | 47c | 35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…a825backed No | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2173…7b17backed No | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed No | 72c | 17.57$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.92 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Lazio end in a draw?this page
- Will Lazio win on 2025-09-14?No won
- Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2025-09-14?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.