TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0364…f19b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
93
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Lol, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 55 out of 100; worst Bundesliga at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Sep 14, 2025, EDT1942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dodgers vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$377Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$377.29
Reds vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$370Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$630
Spread: Cubs (-1.5)backed Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$390Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$390
Dodgers vs. Giantsbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$235Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$265
Cardinals vs. Brewersbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$190
White Sox vs. Guardians: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$215
Yankees vs. Red Sox: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$260
Orioles vs. Blue Jays: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$255Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$245
Rays vs. Cubsbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$255
Dodgers vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,047Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$1,332.8
Spread: Yankees (-1.5)backed Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$410Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+150%+$615.6
Rangers vs. Metsbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$600
Pirates vs. Nationals: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$245
Spread: Cubs (-1.5)backed Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$285Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$285
Angels vs. Marinersbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$340
Spread: Phillies (-1.5)backed Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$703Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$1,197
Nationals vs. Marlinsbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$235
Astros vs. Blue Jaysbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$765Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$765
Pirates vs. Oriolesbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$925Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$925
All 19 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST1353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+52.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Warriors (-10.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$3,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$3,799.58
Trail Blazers vs. Warriorsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$760Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$759.98
Hawks vs. Lakersbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,077Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$2,076.92
Suns vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,863Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+95.7%+$2,739.02
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$2,880Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+38.9%+$1,120
Nuggets vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$4,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$4,500.15
Timberwolves vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$8,328Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$8,328.48
Hornets vs. Clippersbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$4,320Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$4,320
Lakers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,920Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+316.7%+$6,080
Nets vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$8,483Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+72.4%+$6,142.97
76ers vs. Raptorsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$4,560Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+75.4%+$3,440
Celtics vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$5,480Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+192%+$10,520
Jazz vs. Cavaliersbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$680Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+488.2%+$3,320
All 13 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST1040%4 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-01-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,768Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+132.7%+$2,346.29
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-01-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,661Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+195.7%+$3,251.97
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$177.3
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-01-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$7,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$7,800
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-01-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$7,045Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+57.8%+$4,073.17
Sevilla FC vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$203.03
Will Atletico Madrid vs. Villarreal end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+37%+$66.14
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$189.98
Will Real Sociedad win on 2025-09-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$75
Will Getafe win on 2025-09-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$255
All 10 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Sep 13, 2025, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick33cpaid-28.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs. Team Falconsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$220
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs. Heroicbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$149.99
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs. BetBoom Teambacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$560Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$560
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs. PARIVISIONbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$145
Dota 2: Team Tidebound vs. Nigma Galaxybacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$435Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT+244.8%+$1,064.97
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs. HEROICbacked HEROIC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT+194.9%+$337.83
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs. Nigma Galaxybacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$435Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$435.03
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs. HEROICbacked HEROIC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$480
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs. Tundra Esportsbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$600
All 9 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST825%2 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-49.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Sep 14, 2025, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.15per pick29cpaid+42.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Sep 14, 2025, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-22.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick25cpaid+30.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Sep 14, 2025, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-60%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Sep 13, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick26cpaid+468.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+51.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Puebla vs. Mazatlán FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$482Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+33.3%+$160.75
Will Club Puebla win on 2026-01-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,175Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+69.5%+$816.44
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Sep 15, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Falcons vs. Vikings: O/U 44.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$147.68
Jaguars vs. Bengalsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$175
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maple Leafs vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$650Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+96.1%+$624.13
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.