South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Club Puebla vs. Mazatlán FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7b2935531b2a2b1afe709432f90233ac3d91ec75899d1ce4bc96dc3dbed2669c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,116
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,549
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,116 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Yes | 4c | 4,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x352d…ef4bbacked No | 73c | 1,407$1,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6540…d055backed Yes | 27c | 1,405$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.35 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +43%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 109 | 22%24 W · 85 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -37%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…9a3bbacked Yes | 25c | 800$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 9c | 770.41$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.14 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0364…f19bbacked No | 75c | 643$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 25c | 576.31$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.09 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 78c | 575.44$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.14 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 75c | 384.29$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.07 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4597…272bbacked Yes | 27c | 375.56$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9161…622ebacked Yes | 3c | 310.44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Yes | 22c | 259$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.98 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 6c | 208.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 105 | 13.3%14 W · 91 L | -8.4wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2298…ac49backed Yes | 11c | 190.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x503d…cd16backed Yes | 25c | 160$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce6…de1fbacked Yes | 8c | 152.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a58…149dbacked Yes | 10c | 130.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b80…b3b2backed Yes | 9c | 126.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Yes | 25c | 122.91$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.67 | 163 | 47.9%78 W · 85 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Yes | 21c | 96.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 27c | 95$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.03 | 234 | 35%82 W · 152 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Yes | 18c | 93$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 169 | 60.9%103 W · 66 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 76c | 56.75$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.62 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2382…4628backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad8…9bc1backed No | 74c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a67…0355backed No | 79c | 25.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ee…6899backed No | 76c | 15.66$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.76 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked No | 79c | 13.94$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.9 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -7.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Club Puebla vs. Mazatlán FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Club Puebla win on 2026-01-13?Yes won
- Will Mazatlán FC win on 2026-01-13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.