TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9161…622e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
222
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 58 out of 100; worst Tennis at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST6031.7%19 W · 41 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 60 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maple Leafs vs. Utahbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$203.51
Hurricanes vs. Bluesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$47.24
Red Wings vs. Bruinsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Islanders vs. Jetsbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$58.5
Lightning vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Canadiens vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+823.8%+$540.87
Canucks vs. Senatorsbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$27.34
Maple Leafs vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$46
Oilers vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$38
Devils vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$173.22
Hurricanes vs. Red Wingsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$17.82
Spread: Panthers (-1.5)backed Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Kraken vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Golden Knights vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$10.4
Penguins vs. Bruinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$14.81
Devils vs. Jetsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$62.66
Kraken vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+212.5%+$72.23
Blues vs. Utahbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Capitals vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$44.5
Kings vs. Jetsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$37.84
Wild vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$49.5
Blue Jackets vs. Golden Knightsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$35.34
Oilers vs. Jetsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+614.3%+$257.99
Panthers vs. Canadiensbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$186.84
Maple Leafs vs. Flyersbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+275.8%+$146.84
Showing 25 of 60 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST5024%12 W · 38 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick21cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 50 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trail Blazers vs. Warriorsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$485Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$485.05
Hawks vs. Lakersbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$166.08
Suns vs. Heatbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$85
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$76.82
Bulls vs. Rocketsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$57
Hornets vs. Clippersbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$330
Lakers vs. Kingsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$506Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$505.5
Nets vs. Mavericksbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$271Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$271.19
76ers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$38.52
Jazz vs. Cavaliersbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+566.7%+$63.75
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+702.3%+$233.98
Rockets vs. Kingsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$45
Heat vs. Thunderbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Hawks vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$44.82
Bucks vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+300%+$75
76ers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+375%+$75
Knicks vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$44
Nets vs. Grizzliesbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$113.82
Pelicans vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+257.1%+$32.19
Mavericks vs. Bullsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$32
Heat vs. Pacersbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$26
Bucks vs. Lakersbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+251%+$174.71
Rockets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$342Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+716.2%+$2,452.85
Kings vs. Warriorsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$269Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$268.51
Hawks vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$501Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$500.88
Showing 25 of 50 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST4522.2%10 W · 35 L+5.2wins+0.11per pick11cpaid+51.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 45 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Air Force Falcons vs. San Jose State Spartansbacked Air Force Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$61.88
Florida State Seminoles vs. Syracuse Orangebacked Florida State Seminoles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$34
Georgetown Hoyas vs. Creighton Bluejaysbacked Georgetown Hoyas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$140.55
Grand Canyon Antelopes vs. New Mexico Lobosbacked Grand Canyon Antelopes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Connecticut Huskies vs. Seton Hall Piratesbacked Seton Hall Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$50
West Virginia Mountaineers vs. Houston Cougarsbacked West Virginia Mountaineers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Virginia Cavaliers vs. Louisville Cardinalsbacked Louisville Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$45.83
Villanova Wildcats vs. Providence Friarsbacked Providence Friars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Indiana Hoosiers vs. Michigan State Spartansbacked Indiana Hoosiers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$69.49
Kent State Golden Flashes vs. Buffalo Bullsbacked Buffalo Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$19.5
Boston College Eagles vs. Clemson Tigersbacked Boston College Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$46.95
Ball State Cardinals vs. Akron Zipsbacked Ball State Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$10.42
Marquette Golden Eagles vs. St. John's Red Stormbacked Marquette Golden Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$50.19
Southern Jaguars vs. Bethune-Cookman Wildcatsbacked Southern Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+558%+$176.74
Jackson State Tigers vs. Alabama A&M Bulldogsbacked Jackson State Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$27.5
Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils vs. Texas Southern Tigersbacked Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$16.5
Navy Midshipmen vs. American Eaglesbacked Navy Midshipmen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$65
Houston Christian Huskies vs. Lamar Cardinalsbacked Houston Christian Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Alcorn State Braves vs. Alabama State Hornetsbacked Alcorn State Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$72.49
Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros vs. Northwestern State Demonsbacked Northwestern State Demons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+614.3%+$172
Grambling State Tigers vs. Florida A&M Rattlersbacked Grambling State Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$22.38
Incarnate Word Cardinals vs. Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacksbacked Incarnate Word Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Delaware State Hornets vs. Howard Bisonbacked Delaware State Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$32.45
North Carolina Central Eagles vs. Morgan State Bearsbacked Morgan State Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$96.73
Ohio State Buckeyes vs. Washington Huskiesbacked Ohio State Buckeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Showing 25 of 45 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST3132.3%10 W · 21 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick26cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$18.62
Texans vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$263Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$263
Chargers vs. Patriotsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$40
49ers vs. Eaglesbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+291.1%+$439.18
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+174.9%+$38.6
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+736%+$507.81
Rams vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$98.14
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$42.01
Will Lamar Jackson be the Top Fantasy Quarterback of the 2025-26 NFL Regular Season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$17.93
Will the Indianapolis Colts win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$48.7
Will the Detroit Lions win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$95.6
Will the Cincinnati Bengals win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$334Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$333.59
Will the Minnesota Vikings win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$13
Raiders vs. Broncosbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$67
Cardinals vs. Cowboysbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+150%+$75
Seahawks vs. Commandersbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$377Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+72.4%+$273
Texans vs. Seahawksbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Spread: Lions (-6.5)backed Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$85.43
Giants vs. Broncosbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.85
Commanders vs. Cowboysbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Colts vs. Chargersbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$17.61
Spread: Panthers (-1.5)backed Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$16.25
Dolphins vs. Brownsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Rams vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Bears vs. Commandersbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+263.5%+$194.51
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST1010%1 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick16cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Adelaide International: Jelena Ostapenko vs Tereza Valentovabacked Ostapenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$794Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$794.06
Hobart International: Tatjana Maria vs Venus Williamsbacked Williams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$301Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$301.24
Adelaide International: Jacob Fearnley vs Quentin Halysbacked Fearnley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$14
ASB Classic: Alejandro Tabilo vs Camilo Ugo Carabellibacked Carabelli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$17.69
Adelaide International: Thanasi Kokkinakis vs Sebastian Kordabacked Korda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Adelaide International: Paula Badosa vs Marie Bouzkovabacked Badosa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$25.64
Adelaide International, Qualification: Adam Walton vs Quentin Halysbacked Walton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$15
ASB Classic, Qualification: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Juan Manuel Cerundolobacked Mochizuki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$32.94
ASB Classic: Elina Svitolina vs Sonay Kartalbacked Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+809.1%+$94.67
Hellenic Championship: Sebastian Korda vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Korda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$30
All 10 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick17cpaid+91.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+45.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.53per pick13cpaid+342.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick12cpaid+174%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Sep 18, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-31.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump meet with Machado by January 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Puebla vs. Mazatlán FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$10.17
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-01-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$37.21
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Sep 27, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Astros vs. Angelsbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$13
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Melbourne Victory FC win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$70.47
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: BASEMENT BOYS vs 777 (BO3)backed 777 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$39.34
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-01-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$15.28
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.