NFL · resolved market
Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xef0b57daa506121cbeccb8f0e42de439dc2b64b38eab4a2fa6fc1e06255ac4bd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,002,497
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,503,946
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,002,497 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 749 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x042e…247fbacked Yes | 8c | 928,782$72,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72,865.14 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa86c…6ec8backed Yes | 3c | 197,096$6,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,169.05 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | +5.5wins | +0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc693…72dbbacked Yes | 1c | 165,920$1,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,928.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc474…d697backed Yes | 1c | 158,718$1,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,543.75 | 32 | 3.1%1 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Yes | 9c | 121,434$11,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,522.58 | 246 | 52%128 W · 118 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 1c | 108,868$1,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,111.93 | 284 | 36.3%103 W · 181 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee1f…9cedbacked Yes | 1c | 108,841$1,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,236.95 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22fb…d7d6backed Yes | 1c | 98,759$865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864.83 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -82.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Yes | 1c | 95,811$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$973.99 | 224 | 34.4%77 W · 147 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 6c | 83,826$5,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,008.55 | 184 | 35.9%66 W · 118 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 2c | 83,566$1,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,788.96 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9abd…f67bbacked Yes | 1c | 75,999$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.99 | 73 | 4.1%3 W · 70 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8652…3ce4backed Yes | 1c | 73,953$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.72 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6db9…4ab5backed Yes | 2c | 61,875$1,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,457.39 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | +170.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbee0…aa9fbacked Yes | 1c | 60,000$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…ba65backed Yes | 5c | 57,167$2,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,591.9 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d6…d65fbacked Yes | 1c | 56,975$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.04 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x737e…bee0backed Yes | 2c | 54,081$1,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,177.48 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd84b…d4aabacked Yes | 11c | 53,432$5,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,976.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x600b…42dcbacked Yes | 1c | 52,270$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.98 | 32 | 3.1%1 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | +160.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1e…0cd2backed Yes | 3c | 52,263$1,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,454.64 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc935…fde4backed Yes | 8c | 50,836$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7b…f474backed Yes | 1c | 49,546$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.99 | 55 | 7.3%4 W · 51 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9220…e3bcbacked Yes | 1c | 47,000$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe31…fc7fbacked Yes | 1c | 47,000$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6683…80e3backed Yes | 1c | 47,000$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…b67fbacked Yes | 1c | 47,000$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0483…483bbacked Yes | 1c | 47,000$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.27per pick | 50cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x00b7…2138backed Yes | 1c | 47,000$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb060…e778backed Yes | 1c | 47,000$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked Yes | 6c | 40,823$2,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,326.56 | 148 | 37.2%55 W · 93 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeabe…43dcbacked Yes | 1c | 40,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Yes | 6c | 40,000$2,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,240 | 168 | 60.7%102 W · 66 L | +18.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Yes | 9c | 40,000$3,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,740 | 239 | 37.7%90 W · 149 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16d4…6e9bbacked Yes | 1c | 39,600$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.88 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…26ccbacked Yes | 7c | 39,104$2,618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,617.64 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8298…b978backed Yes | 1c | 39,000$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323 | 32 | 3.1%1 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | +66.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf98…0554backed Yes | 7c | 38,748$2,831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,831.26 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb8…3acbbacked Yes | 1c | 38,609$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.7 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked Yes | 5c | 38,405$2,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,094.04 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 11c | 37,450$4,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,124.09 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0d5…6240backed Yes | 1c | 36,540$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.94 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a55…394ebacked Yes | 13c | 35,762$4,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,568.4 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb29f…b308backed Yes | 1c | 35,741$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.99 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1439…5051backed Yes | 1c | 35,462$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.75 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 2cpaid | +208.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 2c | 35,226$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.68 | 176 | 9.1%16 W · 160 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -43%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x858d…1047backed Yes | 3c | 33,704$1,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,148.61 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc76d…2c25backed Yes | 1c | 33,447$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.72 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8af…325ebacked Yes | 6c | 32,064$1,957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,957.45 | 84 | 28.6%24 W · 60 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -35%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bcd…5354backed Yes | 1c | 31,167$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8c…d699backed Yes | 1c | 31,151$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.2 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…5a82backed Yes | 5c | 30,610$1,668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,667.89 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked Yes | 1c | 30,108$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.98 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb194…40e1backed Yes | 1c | 30,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7d…3e9cbacked Yes | 1c | 30,000$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c66…6b66backed Yes | 1c | 29,918$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.43 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +175.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff47…d81fbacked Yes | 1c | 29,098$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…5bc1backed Yes | 1c | 28,571$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 3cpaid | -79.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a66…a371backed Yes | 6c | 28,004$1,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,697.49 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9811…5de5backed Yes | 2c | 27,669$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.67 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 2cpaid | +346.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 1c | 26,300$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.3 | 30 | 3.3%1 W · 29 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 1cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7ea4backed Yes | 2c | 25,087$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.26 | 162 | 26.5%43 W · 119 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 7c | 24,615$1,681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680.89 | 230 | 24.3%56 W · 174 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe6…2770backed Yes | 1c | 24,053$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.76 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x050f…6b27backed Yes | 7c | 21,596$1,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,580.58 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64f0…7b1fbacked Yes | 2c | 21,507$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.22 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Yes | 3c | 21,296$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.9 | 205 | 42%86 W · 119 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47cb…dfdabacked Yes | 1c | 21,174$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.36 | 55 | 23.6%13 W · 42 L | -6.5wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…c9b4backed Yes | 1c | 20,644$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.44 | 181 | 40.9%74 W · 107 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e65…6c95backed Yes | 1c | 20,523$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.3 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8182…3732backed Yes | 1c | 20,522$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.17 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2f…d7fbbacked Yes | 1c | 20,134$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.46 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9809…108fbacked Yes | 1c | 20,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7489…7f27backed Yes | 1c | 19,670$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes | 10c | 19,599$1,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,875.38 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d5e…ca99backed Yes | 4c | 19,183$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$852.13 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes | 3c | 18,495$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.67 | 88 | 18.2%16 W · 72 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbea…51bbbacked Yes | 1c | 18,173$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.38 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5488…4a9ebacked Yes | 1c | 18,020$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.4 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x390d…350bbacked Yes | 2c | 17,056$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.35 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aed…e7bbbacked Yes | 1c | 17,000$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9024…a444backed Yes | 1c | 16,001$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.79 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 8cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x832b…3ae1backed Yes | 8c | 15,241$1,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,185.88 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3657…2665backed Yes | 7c | 15,000$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6480…8dc5backed Yes | 1c | 15,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 32 | 9.4%3 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -77.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf041…034abacked Yes | 1c | 15,000$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b8…ba77backed Yes | 1c | 15,000$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 5c | 13,333$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.84 | 212 | 27.8%59 W · 153 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x741b…0468backed Yes | 1c | 13,206$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.47 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 8cpaid | +156.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked Yes | 7c | 13,100$973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972.83 | 37 | 0%0 W · 37 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 6c | 13,048$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.36 | 67 | 4.5%3 W · 64 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -71.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 11c | 13,000$1,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,425.74 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Yes | 6c | 12,993$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785.57 | 86 | 22.1%19 W · 67 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 8c | 12,969$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$973.75 | 61 | 24.6%15 W · 46 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe8…fc24backed Yes | 7c | 12,700$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$893.4 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 23cpaid | -52%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc85…0642backed Yes | 1c | 12,685$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5be8…2bc0backed Yes | 1c | 12,668$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9106…afcbbacked Yes | 7c | 12,017$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.46 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 10c | 11,963$1,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,247.76 | 368 | 26.9%99 W · 269 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbf…f580backed Yes | 1c | 11,824$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.09 | 29 | 3.4%1 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +229.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026?this page
- Will the Arizona Cardinals win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Atlanta Falcons win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Baltimore Ravens win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Carolina Panthers win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Cincinnati Bengals win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Cleveland Browns win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Dallas Cowboys win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Detroit Lions win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Indianapolis Colts win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Las Vegas Raiders win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Chargers win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Miami Dolphins win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Minnesota Vikings win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the New Orleans Saints win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the New York Giants win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the New York Jets win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?Yes won
- Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Tennessee Titans win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Washington Commanders win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.