NFL · resolved market
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc914317b14972d5d15f30740d3bdf32f4028877c13b9d7ccc78b4ba33f67fb1e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,884,421
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,792,415
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,884,421 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 3,707 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa61e…0abdbacked Yes | 1c | 1,195,490$13,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,438.62 | 31 | 9.7%3 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -81.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c66…6b66backed Yes | 2c | 295,319$4,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,544.11 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +175.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked No | 75c | 248,562$186,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62,505.46 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02fc…2c31backed Yes | 1c | 194,077$2,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,067.41 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.21per pick | 38cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed No | 70c | 182,517$127,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54,526.74 | 532 | 53%282 W · 250 L | +19.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…d24dbacked Yes | 32c | 166,348$52,902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,902.35 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Yes | 32c | 146,571$46,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,304.59 | 251 | 37.5%94 W · 157 L | -18.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x22fb…d7d6backed Yes | 1c | 140,287$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080.15 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -82.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2f…3794backed Yes | 8c | 131,733$10,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,627.63 | 81 | 28.4%23 W · 58 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d76…eb01backed Yes | 19c | 131,002$25,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,000 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes | 29c | 123,771$35,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,390.06 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a06…3800backed Yes | 5c | 120,522$5,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,436.07 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Yes | 32c | 114,611$37,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,027.73 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 2c | 113,596$2,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,829.84 | 284 | 36.3%103 W · 181 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 1c | 113,362$1,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,547.07 | 184 | 35.9%66 W · 118 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d18…4972backed Yes | 17c | 109,790$19,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,022.59 | 62 | 19.4%12 W · 50 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -43%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e2a…07bfbacked Yes | 5c | 109,622$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61b4…c559backed Yes | 16c | 109,032$17,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,535.28 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc474…d697backed Yes | 4c | 106,026$4,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,237.77 | 32 | 3.1%1 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Yes | 27c | 96,010$26,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,202.72 | 239 | 37.7%90 W · 149 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 17c | 95,718$16,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,747.53 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 1c | 83,050$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$894.77 | 176 | 9.1%16 W · 160 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -43%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Yes | 32c | 82,459$26,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,322.53 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…366bbacked Yes | 1c | 80,351$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.61 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa84d…74a8backed Yes | 1c | 80,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76ed…fa48backed Yes | 23c | 79,022$18,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,451.26 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 27cpaid | -77.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 25c | 63,315$15,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,778.23 | 192 | 35.4%68 W · 124 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -35%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2644…46abbacked Yes | 3c | 62,305$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Yes | 2c | 62,298$1,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450.87 | 205 | 42%86 W · 119 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked Yes | 12c | 61,709$7,531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,530.63 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…704cbacked Yes | 5c | 61,697$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe8…fc24backed Yes | 20c | 60,936$12,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,011.88 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 23cpaid | -52%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…abbabacked Yes | 32c | 60,921$19,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,393.27 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Yes | 32c | 53,995$17,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,116.4 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f62…e744backed Yes | 29c | 52,766$15,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,135.13 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1223…d424backed Yes | 27c | 52,204$13,859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,858.73 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c1c…a767backed Yes | 15c | 50,923$7,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,595.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6441…4e5bbacked Yes | 9c | 50,062$4,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,587.07 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a55…394ebacked Yes | 25c | 49,699$12,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,275.44 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d79…9c76backed Yes | 1c | 48,118$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.94 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefc9…b337backed Yes | 33c | 46,976$15,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,627.02 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +9.1wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +13%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8af…325ebacked Yes | 9c | 45,968$4,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,001.99 | 84 | 28.6%24 W · 60 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -35%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked Yes | 24c | 45,810$10,946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,946.03 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf98…0554backed Yes | 19c | 44,493$8,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,580.32 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c10…a305backed Yes | 7c | 44,427$3,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,065.16 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…4173backed Yes | 5c | 44,212$2,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,210.6 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a06…fb08backed Yes | 8c | 42,757$3,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,611.91 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -66%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacd9…cb54backed Yes | 8c | 41,717$3,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,370.85 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a1…e9cdbacked Yes | 3c | 41,230$1,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x188c…c62bbacked Yes | 24c | 40,967$9,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,995.97 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 21c | 39,622$8,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,353.56 | 368 | 26.9%99 W · 269 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d70…064ebacked Yes | 19c | 38,833$7,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,454.87 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b30…29a4backed Yes | 39c | 38,699$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 17c | 38,192$6,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,557.98 | 61 | 24.6%15 W · 46 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10bf…c877backed Yes | 14c | 37,793$5,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,125 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7702…9791backed Yes | 27c | 34,520$9,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,372.01 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +5.1wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Yes | 9c | 34,308$2,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,992.96 | 224 | 34.4%77 W · 147 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x357b…0b65backed Yes | 24c | 33,947$8,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,300 | 76 | 61.8%47 W · 29 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c66…c62fbacked Yes | 5c | 33,797$1,654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,653.78 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked No | 67c | 33,333$22,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,133.22 | 174 | 54.6%95 W · 79 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x403d…bf79backed Yes | 32c | 32,923$10,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,605.13 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -41%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e1…81d5backed Yes | 3c | 31,268$1,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,081.62 | 77 | 44.2%34 W · 43 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 77c | 30,791$23,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,092.49 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe686…13cbbacked Yes | 33c | 30,000$9,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,770 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7268…c903backed Yes | 1c | 30,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f4…5e6bbacked Yes | 27c | 29,711$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -4.1wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x42eb…72adbacked Yes | 21c | 28,120$5,883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,883.28 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Yes | 24c | 27,260$6,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,575.18 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…c9b4backed Yes | 1c | 26,785$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 181 | 40.9%74 W · 107 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb05…670fbacked Yes | 17c | 26,731$4,668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,668.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed No | 71c | 26,156$18,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,661.25 | 212 | 27.8%59 W · 153 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe379…3c98backed Yes | 16c | 25,784$4,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,022.79 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8298…b978backed Yes | 3c | 25,718$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.49 | 32 | 3.1%1 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | +66.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Yes | 32c | 25,500$8,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,283.61 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0462…cddebacked Yes | 32c | 25,414$8,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,054.9 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7ea4backed Yes | 5c | 25,162$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,360.25 | 162 | 26.5%43 W · 119 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 26c | 25,000$6,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,399.97 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5753…2a0ebacked Yes | 6c | 24,945$1,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,496.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e4d…6cf6backed Yes | 19c | 24,506$4,609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,609.14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc314…f2cbbacked Yes | 4c | 24,386$1,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,090.33 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa86c…6ec8backed Yes | 7c | 23,993$1,707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,707.43 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | +5.5wins | +0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Yes | 2c | 23,510$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.72 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 11c | 23,458$2,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,656.48 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 8c | 23,456$1,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,839.95 | 230 | 24.3%56 W · 174 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x050f…6b27backed Yes | 23c | 22,473$5,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,119.94 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfda…4fe6backed Yes | 32c | 22,000$7,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,043.44 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f82…9b01backed Yes | 9c | 21,908$1,896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,896.35 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d84…b881backed Yes | 28c | 21,632$6,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,089.39 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -42%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12a7…399bbacked Yes | 14c | 21,434$2,972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,972.25 | 43 | 11.6%5 W · 38 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -65%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x858d…1047backed Yes | 8c | 20,969$1,713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,713.26 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa98…b8f7backed Yes | 33c | 20,764$6,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,750 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed No | 68c | 20,753$14,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,731.65 | 207 | 55.1%114 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10b…2041backed Yes | 4c | 20,637$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765 | 110 | 54.5%60 W · 50 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc682…62ffbacked Yes | 32c | 20,300$6,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,450 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc612…7d6dbacked Yes | 9c | 20,142$1,763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,762.53 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 10cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb48e…a144backed Yes | 6c | 20,000$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Yes | 32c | 19,964$6,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,389.24 | 333 | 28.5%95 W · 238 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d97…66f0backed Yes | 32c | 19,928$6,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,277.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…9cb8backed Yes | 32c | 19,892$6,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,266.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc57b…0a2bbacked Yes | 6c | 19,518$1,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,174.34 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?this page
- Will the Arizona Cardinals win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Atlanta Falcons win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Baltimore Ravens win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Carolina Panthers win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Cincinnati Bengals win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Cleveland Browns win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Dallas Cowboys win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Detroit Lions win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Indianapolis Colts win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Las Vegas Raiders win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Chargers win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Miami Dolphins win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Minnesota Vikings win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the New Orleans Saints win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the New York Giants win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the New York Jets win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?Yes won
- Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Tennessee Titans win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Washington Commanders win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.