TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1d79…9c76

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
28
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: NHL, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 51 out of 100; worst MLB at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Oct 1, 2025, EDT1127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.15per pick42cpaid-41.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayer Leverkusen win on 2025-10-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Barcelona win on 2025-10-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Napoli win on 2025-10-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$19.22
Will Athletic Bilbao win on 2025-10-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Juventus win on 2025-10-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Qarabag win on 2025-10-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$35.56
Will Union St. Gilloise win on 2025-10-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Tottenham Hotspur win on 2025-09-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Chelsea win on 2025-09-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$8
Will Club Brugge win on 2025-09-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 11 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST1127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.16per pick44cpaid-42.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Yankees vs. Blue Jaysbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$422Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$422.4
Red Sox vs. Yankeesbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Reds vs. Dodgersbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$250
Red Sox vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$400
Padres vs. Cubsbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,018Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,018.4
Yankees vs. White Soxbacked White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$51
Braves vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 28, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$17.04
Red Sox vs. Oriolesbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 28, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$14.48
Phillies vs. Nationalsbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$220.5
Dodgers vs. Red Soxbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$400
All 11 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Oct 24, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canadiens vs. Oilersbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$38
Kraken vs. Jetsbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+194.1%+$77.65
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texas vs. Mississippi Statebacked Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$13.33
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.