TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Kraken vs. Jets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Krakenof Kraken, Jets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$512,694
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$522,135

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $512,694 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 222 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2131…aaf2backed Kraken34c377,762$127,362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250,399.515253.8%28 W · 24 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc350…3669backed Jets66c140,000$92,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92,40030944.7%138 W · 171 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Jets67c60,000$40,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40,20013251.5%68 W · 64 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Jets66c49,908$32,939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,939.3714538.6%56 W · 89 L-19.2wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-32.3%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x900c…1d7abacked Jets66c27,039$17,846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,84641246.4%191 W · 221 L-24.5wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4d45…9054backed Jets67c20,230$13,559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,559.0215646.2%72 W · 84 L-8.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xac0d…b006backed Kraken33c19,185$6,331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,853.7955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+31.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x04b9…cdaabacked Jets66c11,500$7,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,59010356.3%58 W · 45 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Jets66c10,000$6,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,6005745.6%26 W · 31 L-4.6wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-21.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Jets67c9,567$6,414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,414.2430848.4%149 W · 159 L-8.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Jets67c9,226$6,161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,160.6457453.8%309 W · 265 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a89…2f26backed Jets66c8,995$5,937 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,936.770547.7%336 W · 369 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc2a3…c3a6backed Jets66c8,467$5,588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,587.995950.8%30 W · 29 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Jets66c8,180$5,412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,412.1440550.9%206 W · 199 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53e5…6177backed Jets66c7,500$4,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,9506737.3%25 W · 42 L-9.5wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-27.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Kraken34c7,000$2,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,62089547%421 W · 474 L-18.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked Jets66c5,500$3,630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,6303056.7%17 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x066e…ceb2backed Jets29c5,000$1,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4503818.4%7 W · 31 L-5.2wins-0.14per pick32cpaid-62.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Kraken68c4,868$3,334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,534.211,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked Jets66c4,666$3,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,099.7437847.4%179 W · 199 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Jets52c3,074$1,605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,605.0258841.8%246 W · 342 L-20.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9ea…380dbacked Jets66c2,985$1,970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9703636.1%13 W · 23 L-5.8wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-28.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1ab6…078ebacked Jets66c2,970$1,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9608543.5%37 W · 48 L-5.8wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-13.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Jets43c2,829$1,207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,206.5689636.9%331 W · 565 L-30.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2bb0…2fd8backed Jets66c2,618$1,728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,728.121457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Kraken63c2,535$1,599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$935.2795049.1%466 W · 484 L+12.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3158…d469backed Kraken34c2,200$748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,451.993060%18 W · 12 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbffc…1f45backed Jets66c2,000$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,32021750.2%109 W · 108 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Jets68c2,000$1,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,36097651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Jets67c2,000$1,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,339.9830552.5%160 W · 145 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Jets66c2,000$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,319.975446.3%25 W · 29 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Jets68c1,969$1,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3301,23053.7%661 W · 569 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad6a…9dbdbacked Jets66c1,900$1,254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2545259.6%31 W · 21 L+5.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+23.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xade8…b0bdbacked Kraken39c1,807$704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,103.317149.3%35 W · 36 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Jets66c1,800$1,188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,18834845.4%158 W · 190 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Jets67c1,526$1,022 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,022.421,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66d1…f3a9backed Jets68c1,471$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00020%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Kraken32c1,461$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$993.7763249.5%313 W · 319 L+2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4b1…a75ebacked Kraken35c1,436$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$936.342941.4%12 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c5e…7ab3backed Jets66c1,100$726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7261553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe504…600ebacked Jets35c1,037$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36327044.4%120 W · 150 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09e1…82a6backed Kraken67c1,012$679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.9450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-18.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x730d…6cfabacked Jets66c1,000$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6602347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10b3…40d4backed Jets67c1,000$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6702839.3%11 W · 17 L-4.5wins-0.16per pick55cpaid-30.7%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Jets67c1,000$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67068449.9%341 W · 343 L-3.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Jets66c1,000$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66054349.5%269 W · 274 L+2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeefb…c552backed Kraken35c1,000$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6502259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.8wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+39.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Jets33c1,000$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33020751.2%106 W · 101 L+10.9wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd715…915abacked Kraken34c999.98$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$659.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+194.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed Jets67c781.19$523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523.431753.9%171 W · 146 L-14.3wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Jets66c775$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511.51,07954.3%586 W · 493 L+4.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Kraken31c749.99$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.51,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7032…0a8bbacked Jets67c746.27$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50014151.8%73 W · 68 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbad…9c95backed Jets65c726.64$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472.324949%24 W · 25 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Jets29c653.69$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.391,35452.6%712 W · 642 L+46.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4403…4252backed Jets66c606.06$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4004250%21 W · 21 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Kraken32c604.35$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.9689249.9%445 W · 447 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked Jets68c600$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40516743.1%72 W · 95 L-12.8wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-14.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked Jets67c597.01$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40030946.3%143 W · 166 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0774…99febacked Jets66c568.25$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.993740.5%15 W · 22 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed Jets18c545.39$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.637938%30 W · 49 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Jets36c511.43$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18521620.4%44 W · 172 L-11.0wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-34.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xca8e…a742backed Jets66c510$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.63857.9%22 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Jets23c508.94$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.451,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Jets66c500$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33035349.6%175 W · 178 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe0a…e7aabacked Jets35c500$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1751457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+13.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Jets66c500$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33075946.6%354 W · 405 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccc0…0fa5backed Kraken35c500$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3252050%10 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5a23…4e9fbacked Kraken35c500$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3251485.7%12 W · 2 L+5.4wins+0.38per pick47cpaid+82.1%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xf515…0805backed Jets67c458.13$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.232556%14 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick64cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x76ed…fa48backed Jets66c450$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2976065%39 W · 21 L+7.8wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+99.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x551a…b3dcbacked Jets68c442.27$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.993745.9%17 W · 20 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-15.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed Kraken34c416.79$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.0815448.1%74 W · 80 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x63ed…92bebacked Jets67c410.45$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2754141.5%17 W · 24 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-18.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdaff…940bbacked Jets66c400$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa08d…4ddbbacked Jets66c400$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264825%2 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-58.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Jets66c386.46$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.462,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Jets39c355.95$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13820345.3%92 W · 111 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56f6…9f57backed Kraken67c347.95$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.4233848.8%165 W · 173 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Kraken68c338$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.691,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4472…a648backed Kraken33c327.27$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.275653.6%30 W · 26 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Kraken31c313.43$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.2769550.1%348 W · 347 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed Jets66c303.03$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20023653.8%127 W · 109 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Jets66c300.77$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20045149.4%223 W · 228 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Jets42c300$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12672448.3%350 W · 374 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe212…d5f4backed Jets67c298.51$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001952.6%10 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick62cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x09f8…e156backed Jets67c298.51$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001428.6%4 W · 10 L-3.2wins-0.23per pick51cpaid-47.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb52d…95ffbacked Jets67c291.67$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.425141.2%21 W · 30 L-7.0wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-26.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0b0e…0092backed Kraken35c257.14$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.141346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24be…e742backed Jets67c250$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-40.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Jets66c237$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.421,02448.4%496 W · 528 L+1.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd02a…c712backed Kraken36c237$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.8138744.2%171 W · 216 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x87d8…916dbacked Jets24c209.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.25366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+15.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Kraken33c200$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1341,22046.1%562 W · 658 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6919…d27bbacked Kraken34c200$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13213453%71 W · 63 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d28…932abacked Jets66c200$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13218750.3%94 W · 93 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x133b…faa8backed Jets66c200$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1327745.5%35 W · 42 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xca38…460bbacked Jets67c200$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1344443.2%19 W · 25 L-5.1wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-20.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Kraken45c187.65$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.5524347.7%116 W · 127 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e90…a7e6backed Jets66c180.12$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.881163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.