TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x66d1…f3a9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
35
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Champions League, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 55 out of 100; worst NFL at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT1450%7 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-20.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bears vs. Ravensbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,016Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,015.61
Vikings vs. Chargersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$587.3
Commanders vs. Chargersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$3,011Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,010.61
Broncos vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,000
49ers vs. Ramsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,000
Colts vs. Ramsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$3,950Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$2,222.04
Eagles vs. Buccaneersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$3,021Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+54%+$1,630.9
Chargers vs. Giantsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,300
Lions vs. Ravensbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,000
Broncos vs. Chargersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$724.14
Rams vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$562.5
Chargers vs. Raidersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$538.46
Falcons vs. Vikingsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,000
Jaguars vs. Bengalsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$587.3
All 14 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pistons vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,000
Heat vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,000
Pelicans vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+57%+$569.85
Raptors vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,000
Rockets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$408.45
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$816.9
All 6 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Sep 27, 2025, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.24per pick58cpaid-51.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Sep 18, 2025, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+22.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Senators vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,000
Kraken vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,000
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Sep 24, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-09-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$515.15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Sep 22, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Napoli win on 2025-09-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$351.35
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.