Premier League · resolved market
Will Chelsea win on 2025-09-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x806db4ef536678fab5390d642d965e6b446dd2d646cfa94f8218f2e900a32b6b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $779,257
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $808,609
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $779,257 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 379 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2635…5408backed Yes | 50c | 523,575$260,652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260,651.74 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -5.3wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked No | 51c | 155,506$79,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76,197.89 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked No | 51c | 80,227$40,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,311.44 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed No | 45c | 76,648$34,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,176.42 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed No | 50c | 49,669$24,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,803.14 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked No | 49c | 47,752$23,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,390.9 | 150 | 49.3%74 W · 76 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 50c | 46,193$23,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,984.86 | 179 | 58.1%104 W · 75 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed No | 49c | 30,000$14,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,300 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 50c | 25,089$12,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,544.52 | 400 | 46%184 W · 216 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfda…bedebacked No | 49c | 25,000$12,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,670 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 54c | 22,792$12,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,325.69 | 272 | 35.7%97 W · 175 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 48c | 22,442$10,857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,585.11 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 49c | 20,000$9,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,200 | 308 | 51.3%158 W · 150 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Yes | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000.02 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 47c | 13,045$6,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,865.01 | 211 | 54.5%115 W · 96 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 72c | 11,102$7,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,993.5 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | -11.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f05…c0b8backed No | 49c | 10,613$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,412.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked No | 38c | 8,527$3,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,320.11 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 48c | 5,958$2,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,078.49 | 319 | 44.5%142 W · 177 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Yes | 50c | 5,870$2,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,935 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 41c | 5,858$2,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,462.96 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 54c | 5,764$3,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,131.16 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 42c | 5,428$2,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,134.56 | 515 | 42.5%219 W · 296 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 50c | 5,007$2,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,503.65 | 274 | 54%148 W · 126 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 50c | 4,600$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 320 | 37.2%119 W · 201 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 47c | 4,534$2,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,381.04 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…4c8cbacked No | 51c | 4,441$2,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,176.09 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed No | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc478…d2e2backed No | 51c | 3,922$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,921.57 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed No | 51c | 3,727$1,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,826.11 | 177 | 45.8%81 W · 96 L | +11.7wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 48c | 3,504$1,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,833.22 | 481 | 50.9%245 W · 236 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked Yes | 50c | 3,500$1,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,740 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 68c | 3,217$2,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,176.02 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Yes | 51c | 3,200$1,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,632 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 47c | 3,052$1,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,617.47 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed No | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530 | 321 | 58.9%189 W · 132 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590 | 414 | 37.9%157 W · 257 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce2…5d4ebacked Yes | 73c | 2,910$2,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,124 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 52c | 2,550$1,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,326 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 45c | 2,503$1,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,376.91 | 316 | 55.1%174 W · 142 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67a4…2da1backed Yes | 49c | 2,499$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,224.74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d99…91afbacked No | 51c | 2,450$1,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f2…f133backed Yes | 50c | 2,418$1,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,209 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d46…8029backed Yes | 51c | 2,417$1,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,232.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5127…8507backed Yes | 52c | 2,402$1,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,249.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65a5…7c96backed No | 49c | 2,402$1,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a18…9d39backed No | 52c | 2,400$1,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,155.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c6…828cbacked No | 50c | 2,394$1,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,197 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 59cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73a0…dd5bbacked No | 52c | 2,365$1,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,135.07 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a0…e864backed Yes | 49c | 2,364$1,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,158.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 48c | 2,359$1,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,226.86 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09f6…fd5abacked Yes | 52c | 2,339$1,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,216.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67cb…82ecbacked No | 49c | 2,339$1,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,192.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x571c…c16abacked Yes | 52c | 2,115$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed No | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed Yes | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 506 | 44.3%224 W · 282 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6695…6f1abacked Yes | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66d1…f3a9backed Yes | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa1…99ffbacked Yes | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 7c | 1,799$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.81 | 413 | 44.8%185 W · 228 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e7…ef3bbacked Yes | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 69c | 1,509$1,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,041.34 | 369 | 54.5%201 W · 168 L | +50.1wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Yes | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -5.0wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 48c | 1,417$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.63 | 492 | 54.9%270 W · 222 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked No | 50c | 1,302$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed No | 49c | 1,300$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658 | 301 | 49.5%149 W · 152 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe427…4c44backed Yes | 52c | 1,154$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 40cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Yes | 53c | 1,132$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 145 | 44.1%64 W · 81 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb96c…6cc6backed No | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 101 | 59.4%60 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked No | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x521b…db60backed Yes | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x877f…7acbbacked Yes | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0da1…d3bebacked Yes | 53c | 990.57$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Yes | 55c | 978.2$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.01 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5832…3dacbacked Yes | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaeed…074bbacked No | 49c | 960$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.6 | 99 | 43.4%43 W · 56 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed No | 48c | 934.98$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.19 | 111 | 62.2%69 W · 42 L | +10.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x70af…26fdbacked Yes | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | -7.8wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3134…1b18backed Yes | 57c | 877.19$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed No | 46c | 875.93$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed No | 35c | 868.97$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.6 | 253 | 29.2%74 W · 179 L | +11.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked No | 39c | 800$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488 | 167 | 37.7%63 W · 104 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed No | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6324…95b9backed Yes | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed No | 50c | 749.58$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.77 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 48c | 706.46$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.36 | 245 | 66.1%162 W · 83 L | +24.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba9…bfaebacked Yes | 72c | 694.44$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe544…3cfcbacked Yes | 52c | 678.75$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.95 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedd0…dacbbacked No | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cad…d424backed No | 49c | 611.98$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed No | 37c | 600$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bdc…3a4ebacked No | 51c | 600$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +6.6wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +26%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 49c | 600$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 277 | 52%144 W · 133 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…8026backed Yes | 59c | 580.95$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 127 | 53.5%68 W · 59 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 300 | 50.7%152 W · 148 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb49…43febacked Yes | 54c | 555$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.65 | 79 | 63.3%50 W · 29 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x261a…2989backed Yes | 52c | 548.92$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.44 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked No | 46c | 546.44$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.16 | 104 | 55.8%58 W · 46 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4636…1052backed Yes | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Chelsea win on 2025-09-27?this page
- Will Brighton win on 2025-09-27?Yes won
- Will Chelsea vs. Brighton end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.