Premier League · resolved market
Will Chelsea vs. Brighton end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x96011808be3be0762c5135cb9b799b36d0926c1a0d4089f988a3f7580e0c0ec2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,675
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,289
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,675 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5257…5d35backed Yes | 25c | 10,001$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 43c | 8,172$3,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,477.46 | 272 | 35.7%97 W · 175 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked No | 45c | 5,908$2,637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,271.45 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff8f…03e9backed No | 75c | 3,333$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c0…759abacked No | 75c | 3,333$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a38…61ebbacked No | 75c | 3,330$2,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 77cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 65c | 3,097$2,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,090.36 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed No | 49c | 3,000$1,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,521.8 | 369 | 54.5%201 W · 168 L | +50.1wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed No | 76c | 2,045$1,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.5 | 111 | 62.2%69 W · 42 L | +10.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Yes | 67c | 1,711$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150.44 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 32c | 1,195$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.85 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8734…2e6cbacked No | 37c | 1,030$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 59c | 1,000$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.96 | 413 | 44.8%185 W · 228 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Yes | 60c | 768.12$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.74 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Yes | 24c | 763.85$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.32 | 316 | 55.1%174 W · 142 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffd2…d7aebacked Yes | 64c | 700$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22ed…002bbacked No | 75c | 654.67$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.67 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 34c | 555.81$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.79 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed No | 60c | 520$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.1 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 33c | 505$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.55 | 306 | 66%202 W · 104 L | +57.3wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xbf97…beb5backed Yes | 66c | 427.27$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.6wins | -0.33per pick | 60cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 73c | 410.36$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 515 | 42.5%219 W · 296 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed Yes | 25c | 354.67$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.67 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2798…3d88backed Yes | 29c | 343.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 94 | 36.2%34 W · 60 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17cb…3ab8backed Yes | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 138 | 34.1%47 W · 91 L | -11.9wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 24c | 266.45$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.95 | 294 | 27.9%82 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 67c | 245.76$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.02 | 287 | 36.2%104 W · 183 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x261a…2989backed Yes | 66c | 209.55$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.3 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 64c | 206.49$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.68 | 614 | 41.2%253 W · 361 L | -27.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b7f…0380backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 346 | 43.9%152 W · 194 L | -14.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c17…de2bbacked Yes | 68c | 167$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.56 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 62cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0cfa…b8f9backed No | 33c | 149.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.49 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.41per pick | 34cpaid | +117.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Yes | 26c | 138.54$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d22…3aabbacked Yes | 22c | 136.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9775…8746backed Yes | 24c | 125$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x63aa…c5c8backed No | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x164c…3e39backed Yes | 62c | 103.23$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30d6…9ca0backed Yes | 30c | 100.96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…d55fbacked No | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb32f…2183backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d03…369abacked No | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5c…48f9backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 33cpaid | +162.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 466 | 51.9%242 W · 224 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98fa…d698backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1dc…5460backed No | 45c | 99.99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.99 | 67 | 29.9%20 W · 47 L | -7.8wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xefe7…0cdfbacked Yes | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53f9…e920backed Yes | 62c | 75.81$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 58c | 75.76$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.94 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1aaa…0c04backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Yes | 71c | 74.03$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.56 | 400 | 46%184 W · 216 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5751…cb3abacked Yes | 26c | 68$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 24c | 65.65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 262 | 29.8%78 W · 184 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 74c | 61.3$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.64 | 179 | 58.1%104 W · 75 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb7…04d8backed Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Yes | 65c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4809…eec2backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc40e…e038backed No | 76c | 41$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3278…4190backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbff4…c897backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Yes | 45c | 36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.36 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked No | 74c | 36$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 61 | 77%47 W · 14 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 71cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x339f…79f0backed Yes | 59c | 33.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc921…ab0bbacked Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cba…c616backed Yes | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a9…3561backed Yes | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9a…91cbbacked Yes | 70c | 28.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe37e…0009backed No | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +3.6wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc410…7f33backed Yes | 65c | 23.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 67cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 815 | 59%481 W · 334 L | +32.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45a4…5eb3backed Yes | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.32per pick | 70cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7665…f332backed Yes | 59c | 18.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb32b…522dbacked No | 76c | 16.45$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.95 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Chelsea vs. Brighton end in a draw?this page
- Will Brighton win on 2025-09-27?Yes won
- Will Chelsea win on 2025-09-27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.