TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb32b…522d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
177
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: La Liga, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 53 out of 100; worst Ligue 1 at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Sep 27, 2025, EDT3473.5%25 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick68cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mallorca vs. Alaves end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$5.88
Will Mallorca win on 2025-09-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.5
Will Atletico Madrid vs. Real Madrid end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+37%+$4.62
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$9.43
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-09-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.5
Will Getafe vs. Levante UD end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.5
Will Girona win on 2025-09-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$7.99
Will Espanyol win on 2025-09-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$5.62
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-09-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$6.44
Will Atletico Madrid vs. Rayo Vallecano end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$3.32
Will Real Sociedad vs. Mallorca end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$4.39
Will Real Sociedad win on 2025-09-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$9.82
Will Getafe vs. Alaves end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.5
Will Alaves win on 2025-09-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$4.16
Will Getafe win on 2025-09-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$8.68
Will Sevilla win on 2025-09-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$5.36
Will Villarreal win on 2025-09-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.5
Will Sevilla vs. Villarreal end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT+37%+$4.62
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$4.33
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-09-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.5
Will Espanyol win on 2025-09-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$9.05
Will Valencia win on 2025-09-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$4.86
Will Espanyol vs. Valencia end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.5
Will Elche CF vs. Real Oviedo end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$5.1
Will Real Oviedo win on 2025-09-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+25%+$3.12
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Sep 27, 2025, EDT2766.7%18 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick68cpaid+4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-09-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.5
Will Nottingham Forest vs. Sunderland AFC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$4.17
Will Tottenham win on 2025-09-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$22.22
Will Leeds United win on 2025-09-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$5.62
Will Leeds United vs. Bournemouth end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.5
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-09-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.5
Will Crystal Palace vs. Liverpool end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$4.17
Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$13.54
Will Brighton win on 2025-09-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.5
Will Chelsea vs. Brighton end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$3.95
Will Manchester United win on 2025-09-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$11.08
Will Brentford vs. Manchester United end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$4.17
Will Arsenal vs. Manchester City end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.49
Will Brentford win on 2025-09-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$3.95
Will Fulham vs. Brentford end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+37%+$4.62
Will Chelsea win on 2025-09-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$7.66
Will West Ham win on 2025-09-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$5.1
Will Brighton win on 2025-09-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$8.33
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-09-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$9.43
Will Brighton vs. Tottenham end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.5
Will Tottenham win on 2025-09-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$5.61
Will Burnley FC vs. Nottingham Forest end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.5
Will West Ham vs. Crystal Palace end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+37%+$4.62
Will Leeds United win on 2025-09-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.5
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-09-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.5
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Sep 24, 2025, EDT2268.2%15 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick70cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Malmo FF vs. Ludogorets end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$3.95
Will Malmo FF win on 2025-09-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.5
Will Crvena Zvezda win on 2025-09-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$6.44
Will Crvena Zvezda vs. Celtic end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.5
Will Sport-Club Freiburg win on 2025-09-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$9.05
Will Sport-Club Freiburg vs. FC Basel end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$3.32
Will Celtic win on 2025-09-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$7.03
Will FC Basel win on 2025-09-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT+25%+$3.12
Will Nice win on 2025-09-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$4.86
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-09-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT+37%+$4.62
Will Nice vs. AS Roma end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT+37%+$4.62
Will AS Roma win on 2025-09-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.5
Will Real Betis vs. Nottingham Forest end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.5
Will Dinamo Zagreb vs. Fenerbahce end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$4.16
Will Fenerbahce win on 2025-09-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$9.43
Will Dinamo Zagreb win on 2025-09-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.5
Will SC Braga win on 2025-09-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.5
Will SC Braga vs. Feyenoord end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$4.39
Will Feyenoord win on 2025-09-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$5.61
Will SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz win on 2025-09-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$3.52
Will PAOK vs. Maccabi Tel Aviv end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.5
Will FC Midtjylland vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$3.52
All 22 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Sep 27, 2025, EDT2070%14 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick70cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sparta Rotterdam win on 2025-09-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$9.43
Will CD Santa Clara win on 2025-09-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$16.57
Will AZ win on 2025-09-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.5
Will Kayserispor vs. Beşiktaş JK end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$3.95
Will Kayserispor win on 2025-09-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$3.73
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-09-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2025, EDT+25%+$3.12
Will AFC Ajax win on 2025-09-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$3.32
Will AZ vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.5
Will Rams Başakşehir FK vs. Alanyaspor end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.5
Will Heracles Almelo win on 2025-09-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$4.16
Will Fortuna Sittard win on 2025-09-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.5
Will Fortuna Sittard vs. FC Utrecht end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$4.16
Will Kayserispor win on 2025-09-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$4.16
Will FC Groningen win on 2025-09-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$8.68
Will FC Groningen vs. Telstar 1963 end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$3.95
Will SBV Excelsior win on 2025-09-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.5
Will FC Volendam win on 2025-09-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$8.33
Will Gençlerbirliği SK vs. Eyüpspor end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$4.86
Will Eyüpspor win on 2025-09-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$6.44
Will Gençlerbirliği SK win on 2025-09-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.5
All 20 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Sep 28, 2025, EDT1776.5%13 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick70cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will New England Revolution vs. Atlanta United FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$3.95
Will Atlanta United FC win on 2025-09-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$5.62
Will D.C. United SC win on 2025-09-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+32.1%+$4.01
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2025-09-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$13.54
Will New York City FC vs. Inter Miami CF end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$3.73
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2025-09-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.5
Will New York City FC win on 2025-09-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$8.33
Will Austin FC vs. Seattle Sounders FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$4.39
Will CF Montréal win on 2025-09-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$5.1
Will New York Red Bulls win on 2025-09-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.5
Will Columbus Crew win on 2025-09-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.5
Will CF Montréal vs. New York Red Bulls end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$4.16
Will Orlando City SC vs. Nashville SC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$3.95
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2025-09-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+37%+$4.62
Will Atlanta United FC vs. San Diego FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.49
Will Philadelphia Union win on 2025-09-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$6.73
Will New York City FC vs. Charlotte FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$3.95
All 17 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Sep 27, 2025, EDT1668.8%11 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick67cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-09-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.5
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2025-09-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$5.36
Will Bayer Leverkusen win on 2025-09-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.5
Will FC St. Pauli win on 2025-09-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$5.11
Will FC St. Pauli vs. Bayer Leverkusen end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$4.39
Will 1. FC Heidenheim win on 2025-09-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.5
Will 1. FC Heidenheim vs. FC Augsburg end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+37%+$4.62
Will FSV Mainz 05 win on 2025-09-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$4.86
Will FC Augsburg win on 2025-09-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$7.66
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-09-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.5
Will RB Leipzig vs. 1. FC Köln end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$3.32
Will FC Augsburg win on 2025-09-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$6.44
Will FC Augsburg vs. FSV Mainz 05 end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+37%+$4.62
Will Werder Bremen vs. SC Freiburg end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$3.95
Will Werder Bremen win on 2025-09-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$8.33
Will SC Freiburg win on 2025-09-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.5
All 16 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Sep 27, 2025, EDT1369.2%9 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick70cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter win on 2025-09-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.5
Will Cagliari vs. Inter end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$3.53
Will Juventus vs. Atalanta end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.5
Will Napoli win on 2025-09-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$3.52
Will Inter win on 2025-09-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$3.95
Will Fiorentina win on 2025-09-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$6.73
Will Fiorentina vs. Como end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$5.1
Will Parma win on 2025-09-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$6.15
Will Udinese vs. AC Milan end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$4.39
Will Udinese win on 2025-09-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+25%+$3.12
Will Verona vs. Juventus end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.5
Will Juventus win on 2025-09-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.5
Will Bologna vs. Genoa end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$4.86
All 13 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Sep 27, 2025, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.16per pick70cpaid-22.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Toulouse FC vs. FC Nantes end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.5
Will FC Lorient win on 2025-09-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.5
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-09-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.5
Will Olympique de Marseille vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$3.73
Will Le Havre AC win on 2025-09-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$9.82
Will AJ Auxerre vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$4.86
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2025-09-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.5
Will Racing Club de Lens vs. Lille OSC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$4.39
Will OGC Nice win on 2025-09-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$7.34
Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2025-09-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.5
Will Stade Brestois 29 vs. OGC Nice end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$4.39
Will FC Nantes vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901 end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.5
Will FC Nantes win on 2025-09-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$4.16
All 13 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Sep 26, 2025, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick65cpaid-19.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Sep 21, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: TB (-4.5)backed TB · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.49
PIT vs. NE: O/U 51.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+37%+$4.62
ATL vs. CAR: O/U 49.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$6.15
All 3 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Sep 26, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick59cpaid-52.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Sep 23, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 16 to September 23, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$5.61
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 11, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Dr Patrick Herminie win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.