La Liga · resolved market
Will Alaves win on 2025-09-24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9c2b40e596fb583e05c950a84fa8b6e5e90eda1366884599d1e5a180189bbdab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,947
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,474
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,947 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 75c | 6,000$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 241 | 47.7%115 W · 126 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 25c | 2,232$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.48 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 96 | 25%24 W · 72 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5d…f4e1backed Yes | 25c | 1,216$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 25c | 1,050$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.5 | 155 | 16.1%25 W · 130 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 21c | 1,000$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.34 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 77c | 922.16$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.95 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked No | 80c | 840$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.82 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 80c | 791.04$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.05 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 22c | 668.91$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9920…8f8ebacked Yes | 16c | 630.72$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 35cpaid | -74%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked No | 76c | 568.51$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.44 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 23c | 514.4$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.54 | 278 | 54.7%152 W · 126 L | +20.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 21c | 500$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 146 | 21.9%32 W · 114 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…e0ebbacked Yes | 22c | 467.64$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.25 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x761a…d9babacked No | 76c | 460.53$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.53 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 78c | 445.02$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.1 | 157 | 50.3%79 W · 78 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 78c | 333.85$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.51 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b15…a031backed Yes | 21c | 315.29$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -40%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 6c | 310$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.38 | 269 | 30.5%82 W · 187 L | -21.4wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 79c | 280.82$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.97 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc417…3ca6backed No | 75c | 266.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 73cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x601d…1778backed Yes | 15c | 255.9$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -4.6wins | -0.33per pick | 47cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 12c | 222$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.64 | 75 | 25.3%19 W · 56 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Yes | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked Yes | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Yes | 24c | 178.12$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.75 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed Yes | 19c | 176.33$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 74c | 171.15$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.5 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0fc…ea6cbacked Yes | 24c | 170.83$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Yes | 25c | 160$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | -4.8wins | -0.19per pick | 30cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2000…6abcbacked Yes | 21c | 154.06$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Yes | 25c | 134$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +28%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb3…caf3backed Yes | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…3fddbacked Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 290 | 38.6%112 W · 178 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Yes | 21c | 94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -21%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 76c | 76$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 350 | 54%189 W · 161 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Yes | 23c | 67.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.41 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71e…f450backed Yes | 20c | 62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84dc…9c02backed Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…b3dcbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 24c | 42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 489 | 34.4%168 W · 321 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2702…0495backed No | 76c | 40.25$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 63cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a0…63b2backed No | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 71cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 76c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.56 | 432 | 55.6%240 W · 192 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb32b…522dbacked No | 75c | 16.66$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.16 | 34 | 73.5%25 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Alaves win on 2025-09-24?this page
- Will Getafe vs. Alaves end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Getafe win on 2025-09-24?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.