TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x601d…1778

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
120
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Champions League, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 57 out of 100; worst La Liga at 37.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 14, 2025, EDT2147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dodgers vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$104.9
Mariners vs. Blue Jaysbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$54.6
Mariners vs. Blue Jaysbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$28.77
Tigers vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+62.4%+$60.34
Phillies vs. Dodgersbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.99
Phillies vs. Dodgersbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT+270.4%+$67.57
Mariners vs. Tigersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT+119.6%+$12.84
Blue Jays vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$384Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT+105.4%+$405.23
Mariners vs. Tigersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$102.33
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT+100%+$15
Dodgers vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.82
Tigers vs. Marinersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$35.85
Red Sox vs. Yankeesbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.42
Red Sox vs. Yankeesbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.88
Reds vs. Dodgersbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$39.03
Diamondbacks vs. Padresbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Dodgers vs. Marinersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+68.8%+$13.76
Dodgers vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$66
Tigers vs. Red Soxbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$57.78
Dodgers vs. Diamondbacksbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$42.2
Athletics vs. Red Soxbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.78
All 21 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Oct 5, 2025, EDT1414.3%2 W · 12 L-4.6wins-0.33per pick47cpaid-74.4%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
La Liga — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Celta Vigo win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.69
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$108.27
Will Barcelona win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$41.04
Will Osasuna vs. Getafe end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.89
Will Valencia win on 2025-09-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.42
Will Valencia win on 2025-09-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$140.82
Will Getafe win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will Espanyol win on 2025-09-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$49.99
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-09-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT+76.2%+$46.61
Will Real Sociedad win on 2025-09-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$16.36
Will Alaves win on 2025-09-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$38.5
Will Getafe win on 2025-09-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Sevilla win on 2025-09-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 14 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Oct 1, 2025, EDT1369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+27.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-10-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$39.97
Will Napoli win on 2025-10-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$60.9
Will Newcastle United win on 2025-10-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$212.33
Will Union St. Gilloise vs. Newcastle United end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$54
Will Galatasaray vs. Liverpool end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$55.85
Will Bodo/Glimt vs. Tottenham Hotspur end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+163.2%+$163.16
Will Atalanta vs. Club Brugge end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.32
Will Manchester City win on 2025-09-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+56.6%+$11.22
Will Bayern Munich win on 2025-09-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+85.8%+$33.6
Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-09-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$5.97
Will Inter win on 2025-09-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$31.97
Will Olympiakos Piraeus win on 2025-09-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$58.18
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$10.32
All 13 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Oct 6, 2025, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+27.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CF Monterrey win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will CA Newell's Old Boys vs. Estudiantes de La Plata end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$62.89
Will SE Palmeiras vs. CA River Plate end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will FC Juárez win on 2025-09-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$7.29
Will CD Guadalajara win on 2025-09-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT+38.4%+$31.21
Will Fluminense FC win on 2025-09-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Racing Club win on 2025-09-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$35.02
Will CR Flamengo win on 2025-09-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT+33.4%+$20.31
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2025-09-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$7.37
Will Club Bolívar win on 2025-09-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.45
Will Club Bolívar vs. CA Mineiro end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+488.2%+$69.48
All 11 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Oct 14, 2025, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-25.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Estonia win on 2025-10-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,166Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,165.87
Will Japan vs. Brazil end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$52.44
Will Belgium win on 2025-10-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+127.4%+$198.28
Will France win on 2025-10-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$355Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$354.91
Will Latvia win on 2025-10-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$257Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$257.03
Will Belgium win on 2025-10-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Switzerland win on 2025-10-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+176.2%+$40.31
Will Russia win on 2025-10-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$7.85
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2025-10-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 9 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Oct 12, 2025, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-35.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Oct 12, 2025, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+18.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Broncos vs. Jetsbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$23.18
Chiefs vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$80.3
Patriots vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$65
Buccaneers vs. Seahawksbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$28.23
Bengals vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$54.39
Ravens vs. Chiefsbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$42.07
All 6 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Oct 11, 2025, EDT650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Oct 4, 2025, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+37.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
WNBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mercury vs. Acesbacked Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$25.46
Fever vs. Acesbacked Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$14.63
Lynx vs. Mercurybacked Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$431Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT+56.5%+$243.27
Aces vs. Feverbacked Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.36
Lynx vs. Mercurybacked Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$35.2
All 5 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Sep 28, 2025, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-60.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Sep 14, 2025, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+57.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Sep 24, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick42cpaid+60.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-43.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Oct 13, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-7.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Panthers vs. Flyersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$299.99
Avalanche vs. Kingsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$9.45
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Oct 5, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Porto win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.42
Will AFC Ajax win on 2025-10-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Sep 7, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US Open: Jannik Sinner vs Carlos Alcarazbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$38.15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Oct 4, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayern München win on 2025-10-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+37%+$11.09
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 27, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Issa Tchiroma Bakary win the Cameroon Presidential Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Oct 4, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will George Russell win the 2025 F1 Singapore Grand Prix pole?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Oct 5, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$86.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Oct 6, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Constellation Brands (STZ) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.46
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.