MLB · resolved market
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x57b0805e41b75c06e72e09d665f4045441c185568cf463b31ed7d141fd4e1421
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,791
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,564
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,791 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Under | 49c | 11,451$5,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,840 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Over | 51c | 9,949$5,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,074.1 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…f62dbacked Over | 53c | 7,568$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Under | 48c | 6,921$3,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,618.56 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 48c | 6,623$3,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,411.06 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Over | 52c | 3,204$1,659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,659.12 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a32…6d7ebacked Under | 46c | 3,173$1,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,698.35 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f82…9ae1backed Over | 51c | 2,451$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 229 | 48.9%112 W · 117 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 50c | 1,605$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$802.55 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 115 | 44.3%51 W · 64 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Under | 49c | 999.99$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.99 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 47c | 919.03$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.96 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Under | 49c | 897.06$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.5 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Under | 50c | 837.41$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +7.0wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +28%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xedae…584fbacked Under | 47c | 600$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x285f…2c03backed Over | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x019e…af1dbacked Over | 51c | 450$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.5 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -5.3wins | -0.33per pick | 52cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa6…4979backed Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x194f…3d95backed Under | 50c | 385$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.5 | 33 | 75.8%25 W · 8 L | +7.0wins | +0.21per pick | 55cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a7…5bddbacked Over | 52c | 384.63$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.35per pick | 49cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 51c | 299$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.49 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 443 | 48.5%215 W · 228 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa19…fb67backed Over | 50c | 240$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 58cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 58c | 216$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.99 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed Under | 47c | 215.38$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.15 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Over | 24c | 199.05$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.41 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 49c | 168.61$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.62 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked Under | 47c | 150$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.5 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 50c | 109.94$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.97 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 478 | 50.4%241 W · 237 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e17…e4d4backed Over | 50c | 91.12$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.56 | 160 | 55.6%89 W · 71 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd307…f2b5backed Under | 51c | 80$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Under | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 493 | 48.3%238 W · 255 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Over | 52c | 67.31$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 259 | 54.1%140 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcba…4d0bbacked Over | 50c | 66.5$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.25 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4f…86b3backed Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7227…5285backed Under | 74c | 55$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.19per pick | 43cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Over | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…5c1bbacked Under | 47c | 45$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.85 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +33%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Under | 48c | 42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe914…1707backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0aaa…8212backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x539e…3139backed Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50a5…88a6backed Over | 51c | 31.07$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e3…e50fbacked Under | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…59d8backed Over | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 258 | 54.3%140 W · 118 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c4b…f651backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfca9…cb3dbacked Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x601d…1778backed Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf3…2b57backed Over | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7660…7a01backed Over | 50c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3c…b58dbacked Under | 51c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90cc…5094backed Over | 50c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…a223backed Under | 51c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Under | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.3 | 417 | 51.3%214 W · 203 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde0b…b4a7backed Under | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Under | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 171 | 56.1%96 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5this page
- Dodgers vs. PhilliesDodgers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.