TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe914…1707

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
108
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Us Politics, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Us Politics at 56 out of 100; worst NFL at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST2931%9 W · 20 L-3.0wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-41.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
NFL — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hyundai run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Apple run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+33.3%+$33.75
Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will the Dallas Cowboys win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will the Cincinnati Bengals win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Spread: Packers (-2.5)backed Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Packers vs. Steelers: O/U 45.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$18.46
Spread: Colts (-14.5)backed Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Titans vs. Colts: O/U 47.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Buccaneers (-5.5)backed Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Cowboys vs. Broncos: O/U 50.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Vikings vs. Chargers: O/U 44.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Chiefs (-3.5)backed Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$18.46
Chiefs vs. Jaguars: O/U 45.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT+100%+$20
Spread: Bills (-8.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$16.36
Spread: Lions (-10.5)backed Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Lions vs. Bengals: O/U 49.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Cowboys (-2.5)backed Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Broncos (-7.5)backed Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Bengals vs. Broncos: O/U 44.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$17.74
Jets vs. Dolphins: O/U 44.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$21.67
Bears vs. Raidersbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Colts vs. Rams: O/U 50.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$16.36
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST2737%10 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick45cpaid+38.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
College Football — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami vs. Indianabacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$20
South Alabama vs. Georgia Statebacked Georgia State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Spread: South Alabama (-6.5)backed Georgia State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Nevada Wolf Pack vs. Fresno Statebacked Nevada Wolf Pack · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Spread: Ohio State (-23.5)backed Minnesota · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
O/U 52.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$22.55
Spread: Miami (OH) (-4.5)backed Northern Illinois · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: Alabama (-10.5)backed Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$12.27
Vanderbilt vs. Alabama: O/U 55.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: SMU Mustangs (-17.5)backed Syracuse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$14.41
Spread: Washington (-6.5)backed Maryland Terrapins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$12.27
Penn State vs. UCLAbacked UCLA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+1,900%+$190
Spread: Virginia Tech (-6.5)backed Virginia Tech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: Cincinnati (-1.5)backed Cincinnati · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$14.41
Spread: Baylor (-6.5)backed Kansas State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$11.79
Spread: Clemson (-14.5)backed North Carolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: Illinois (-9.5)backed Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
O/U 48.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Georgia (-20.5)backed Kentucky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: Ohio (-14.5)backed Ball State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$17.74
Spread: Pittsburgh (-6.5)backed Boston College · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: Army (-7.5)backed UAB Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Army vs. UAB Blazersbacked UAB Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Spread: Navy (-11.5)backed Air Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$16.91
Will Texas win the 2025 College Football Playoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT1637.5%6 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+20.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+47.2%+$70.43
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 10-20%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+284.6%+$85.38
Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Abigail Spanberger win by 9-12%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Abigail Spanberger win by less than 6%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Abigail Spanberger win by 6-9%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Jason Miyares win the 2025 Virginia Attorney General election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$380Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$380
Will Jack Ciattarelli win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Pete Hegseth confirmed as Secretary of Defense?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2025, EST+326.9%+$95.45
Will John Thune be the next Senate Majority Leader?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST+49.4%+$49.39
Will Republicans have 230 or more seats in House after election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST-100%-$14.67
Will Republicans have 54 seats in Senate after election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2024, EST-100%-$34.86
Will a Republican win Pennsylvania US Senate Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2024, EST+525%+$104.9
Will a Republican win Arizona US Senate Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2024, EST-100%-$177.72
Will a Republican win Ohio US Senate Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2024, EST+100%+$40
All 16 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$19.22
Cubs vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$15.71
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT+100%+$20
Dodgers vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Padres vs. Cubsbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$20.82
Red Sox vs. Yankeesbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$23.48
Padres vs. Cubsbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Orioles vs. Yankeesbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Pirates vs. Bravesbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 11 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST850%4 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+46.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.23per pick37cpaid+47.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-54.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Arkansas Razorbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.88
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Nebraska Cornhuskersbacked Vanderbilt Commodores · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.87
Texas Longhorns vs. Gonzaga Bulldogsbacked Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+37%+$7.35
All 3 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 5, 2024, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lakers vs. Heatbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2024, EST-100%-$10
Raptors vs. Bucksbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2024, EST-100%-$15
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Oct 5, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+300%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lille OSC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+300%+$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Oct 5, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+300%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Celta Vigo vs. Atletico Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+300%+$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Oct 22, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sporting CP win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$24.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canadiens vs. Krakenbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$16.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Oct 6, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atlanta United FC win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.