College Football · resolved market
Spread: South Alabama (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeb831b6c86d2159ff0310dca11963edbeaedf8942aee30de1bf9662809a4df44
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- South Alabamaof South Alabama, Georgia State
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,406
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,415
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,406 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed South Alabama | 50c | 26,569$13,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,380.13 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Georgia State | 50c | 16,086$8,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,043 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked Georgia State | 52c | 13,753$7,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,160 | 157 | 45.2%71 W · 86 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed South Alabama | 48c | 10,000$4,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,180 | 399 | 54.1%216 W · 183 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Georgia State | 51c | 4,678$2,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,377.24 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9af…6371backed South Alabama | 51c | 4,104$2,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,009.23 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked South Alabama | 48c | 4,095$1,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,112.25 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Georgia State | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530 | 381 | 42.5%162 W · 219 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…9ed3backed Georgia State | 51c | 2,937$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…fa7bbacked Georgia State | 51c | 1,906$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972.06 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c51…af7ebacked Georgia State | 49c | 999.99$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.99 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…8a6ebacked Georgia State | 50c | 520$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed South Alabama | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Georgia State | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 276 | 48.9%135 W · 141 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Georgia State | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 293 | 51.9%152 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Georgia State | 51c | 194.8$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.2 | 568 | 44.5%253 W · 315 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed South Alabama | 48c | 140$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.8 | 227 | 50.7%115 W · 112 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Georgia State | 50c | 140$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 302 | 53%160 W · 142 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…a825backed South Alabama | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 110 | 70%77 W · 33 L | +8.3wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Georgia State | 51c | 96.35$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.14 | 756 | 51.9%392 W · 364 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28a8…57d5backed South Alabama | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Georgia State | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 219 | 41.6%91 W · 128 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe77f…e59abacked Georgia State | 51c | 61.22$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.22 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed South Alabama | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +7.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd774…82cdbacked Georgia State | 52c | 46.15$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 160 | 50%80 W · 80 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe914…1707backed Georgia State | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6526…9c80backed Georgia State | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x624a…287cbacked Georgia State | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1bb…c285backed South Alabama | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: South Alabama (-6.5)this page
- O/U 55.5Over won
- South Alabama vs. Georgia StateSouth Alabama won
- South Alabama vs. Georgia State: O/U 53.5Over won
- South Alabama vs. Georgia State: O/U 54.5Over won
- South Alabama vs. Georgia State: O/U 56.5Over won
- Spread: South Alabama (-5.5)South Alabama won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.