TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe77f…e59a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
124
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Olympics, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Olympics at 54 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 34.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST3339.4%13 W · 20 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Indiana (-8.5)backed Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+81.8%+$45
Oregon vs. Indianabacked Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$83.21
Ole Miss vs. Georgiabacked Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$83
Spread: Indiana (-7.5)backed Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$59.4
Alabama vs. Indianabacked Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$21.97
Miami vs. Ohio Statebacked Ohio State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$58.6
Michigan vs. Texasbacked Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+58.5%+$114.98
New Mexico vs. Minnesotabacked New Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$35.61
O/U 52.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$55
UNLV Runnin' vs. Ohiobacked UNLV Runnin' · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Spread: Texas A&M (-3.5)backed Texas A&M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$47
Miami vs. Texas A&Mbacked Texas A&M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$68.4
Alabama vs. Oklahomabacked Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+209.1%+$254.75
Spread: Oklahoma (-1.5)backed Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+104.1%+$51
Troy vs. Jacksonville Statebacked Jacksonville State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+85.3%+$77.05
Ohio State vs. Indianabacked Ohio State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$170.09
Georgia vs. Alabamabacked Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+104.1%+$51
Spread: Texas Tech Red Raiders (-13.5)backed BYU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$57
BYU vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked BYU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$22
Spread: Texas Tech Red Raiders (-12.5)backed Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+96.1%+$46.55
Maryland Terrapins vs. Michigan Statebacked Maryland Terrapins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Vanderbilt vs. Tennesseebacked Tennessee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$37
Spread: Ohio State (-9.5)backed Ohio State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+92.3%+$55.29
Texas A&M vs. Texasbacked Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+191.6%+$149.42
BYU vs. Cincinnatibacked BYU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+72.4%+$100.8
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT2524%6 W · 19 L-7.0wins-0.28per pick52cpaid-57.8%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$22.66
Spread: Iowa State Cyclones (-3.5)backed Tennessee Volunteers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$13.98
Wichita State Shockers vs. Tulsa Golden Hurricanebacked Wichita State Shockers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.27
Kentucky Wildcats vs. Iowa State Cyclonesbacked Kentucky Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.3
Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-7.5)backed Miami Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.98
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Nebraska Cornhuskersbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$25.44
Spread: Tennessee Volunteers (-11.5)backed Miami (OH) RedHawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.5
Spread: Texas Tech Red Raiders (-8.5)backed Akron Zips · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.77
Akron Zips vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked Akron Zips · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-6.5)backed Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.62
Spread: Louisville Cardinals (-3.5)backed South Florida Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.46
Spread: Wisconsin Badgers (-10.5)backed High Point Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+100%+$90.2
North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. Texas Longhornsbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.77
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Arkansas Razorbacksbacked Vanderbilt Commodores · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.28
Virginia Cavaliers vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$4.31
Ole Miss Rebels vs. Texas Longhornsbacked Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$184.64
Northeastern Huskies vs. North Carolina A&T Aggiesbacked North Carolina A&T Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$16.28
Houston Cougars vs. Iowa State Cyclonesbacked Houston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$10.01
Texas Longhorns vs. Missouri Tigersbacked Missouri Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$11.99
Cincinnati Bearcats vs. Georgia Bulldogsbacked Georgia Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+82.5%+$37.05
Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$28
Richmond Spiders vs. Furman Paladinsbacked Richmond Spiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$44.5
Gonzaga Bulldogs vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Gonzaga Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$75.04
Michigan Wolverines vs. Auburn Tigersbacked Auburn Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$13.08
Kansas City Roos vs. Texas Longhorns: O/U 154.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$35.54
All 25 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-23.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Seahawks (-5.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+108.3%+$20.28
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+61.3%+$100.32
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$395Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+88.7%+$350.15
Texans vs. Steelersbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$287Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+69.5%+$199.49
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+96.1%+$48.26
Rams vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$66.51
Steelers vs. Brownsbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$13.12
49ers vs. Coltsbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+78.6%+$45.76
Patriots vs. Ravensbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$87.38
Spread: Texans (-12.5)backed Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$65.52
Raiders vs. Texansbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Spread: Buccaneers (-1.5)backed Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$31
Buccaneers vs. Panthersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$39.2
Chargers vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$28.48
Bills vs. Patriotsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+94.4%+$72.29
Texans vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$32
Cowboys vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+58.7%+$32.3
Chiefs vs. Cowboysbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$166.11
Packers vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$80.06
All 19 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT1540%6 W · 9 L-3.0wins-0.20per pick60cpaid-30.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
MLB — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chicago White Sox vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$8.58
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.6
Atlanta Braves vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.24
Los Angeles Angels vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$9.15
Houston Astros vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$23.39
Cleveland Guardians vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$45.3
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$21.92
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.38
Miami Marlins vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.25
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)backed New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.88
Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)backed Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.28
Final Stage: USA vs. Venezuelabacked USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.53
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$66.83
MLB All-Star Gamebacked National League · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$49.09
Diamondbacks vs. White Soxbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$74.92
All 15 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.41
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$24.38
Hornets vs. Spursbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$128.1
Celtics vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+38.8%+$14.72
Mavericks vs. Celticsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$47.96
Pistons vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+69.5%+$22.93
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+92.2%+$98.32
Magic vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$106.08
Bulls vs. Celticsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$68
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+104.1%+$50.48
Lakers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$101
Suns vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+42.9%+$75
Suns vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+104.1%+$46.82
All 13 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$10.41
Erling Haaland: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$47.95
Germany vs. Paraguay: Germany O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.05
Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advancebacked Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$16.23
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$17.57
Netherlands leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$8.16
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+48.2%+$10.42
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.21
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.54
Spread: Spain (-4.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.46
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+37%+$8.94
All 11 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+99.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Olympics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Final - Canada vs. USAbacked USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+112.8%+$60.94
Men's Semifinals - Canada vs. Finlandbacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+86.2%+$36.59
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rangers vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.55
Rangers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+58.7%+$116.92
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Sentinels vs KRÜ Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omegabacked KRÜ Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$12.88
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Set Handicap: Sinner (-2.5) vs Struff (+2.5)backed Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$64.32
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.