MLB · resolved market
Cleveland Guardians vs. Atlanta Braves
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xded0f204e218a4acd12f89580af8c8cb6363905167ea71d891360010fe44683a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Atlanta Bravesof Cleveland Guardians, Atlanta Braves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $336,073
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $342,215
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $336,073 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 222 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x94c5…56a7backed Cleveland Guardians | 36c | 133,622$48,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,103.97 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Atlanta Braves | 64c | 99,949$63,967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,981.59 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Atlanta Braves | 64c | 31,816$20,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,453.86 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Atlanta Braves | 64c | 27,222$17,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,682.55 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Cleveland Guardians | 36c | 25,000$9,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,000 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Atlanta Braves | 67c | 18,164$12,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,068.16 | 216 | 56.5%122 W · 94 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Cleveland Guardians | 37c | 14,092$5,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,214.16 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Atlanta Braves | 64c | 12,500$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,500 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | +18.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Cleveland Guardians | 35c | 9,953$3,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,483.46 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Cleveland Guardians | 12c | 8,715$1,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,045.78 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Atlanta Braves | 64c | 7,787$4,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,791.24 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Cleveland Guardians | 10c | 5,932$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.86 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Atlanta Braves | 74c | 4,987$3,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,309.8 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 36c | 4,729$1,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,702.51 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cleveland Guardians | 11c | 4,712$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.2 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Atlanta Braves | 63c | 4,469$2,831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,638.13 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Cleveland Guardians | 36c | 4,166$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.76 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9410…9160backed Cleveland Guardians | 0c | 3,776$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.57 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -32%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc119…0162backed Atlanta Braves | 65c | 3,012$1,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,054.31 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f5…1079backed Atlanta Braves | 77c | 2,744$2,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.79 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9902…34b3backed Cleveland Guardians | 8c | 2,511$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.6 | 65 | 13.8%9 W · 56 L | -7.2wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Atlanta Braves | 64c | 2,500$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cbe…c2f3backed Cleveland Guardians | 35c | 2,499$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880.42 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -3.4wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Cleveland Guardians | 30c | 2,045$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.95 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 338 | 52.7%178 W · 160 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Cleveland Guardians | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 274 | 51.8%142 W · 132 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Cleveland Guardians | 10c | 1,935$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.07 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Cleveland Guardians | 36c | 1,923$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.35 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47cb…dfdabacked Cleveland Guardians | 22c | 1,921$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.77 | 123 | 37.4%46 W · 77 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Atlanta Braves | 58c | 1,681$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.06 | 262 | 45.8%120 W · 142 L | -17.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Cleveland Guardians | 17c | 1,675$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.64 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Cleveland Guardians | 36c | 1,452$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.8 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Cleveland Guardians | 36c | 1,050$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Cleveland Guardians | 17c | 1,031$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.04 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Atlanta Braves | 63c | 1,014$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.21 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…f73fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 40c | 999.97$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.99 | 108 | 42.6%46 W · 62 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Cleveland Guardians | 26c | 984.56$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.61 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x497a…650fbacked Atlanta Braves | 65c | 979$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.65 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Atlanta Braves | 64c | 978.4$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.22 | 117 | 44.4%52 W · 65 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef46…b0eabacked Atlanta Braves | 64c | 978.4$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.22 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -6.8wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Cleveland Guardians | 22c | 953.97$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.44 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Atlanta Braves | 74c | 882.34$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.81 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9af…d013backed Cleveland Guardians | 44c | 870.33$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.66 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b89…0d9cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 12c | 863.1$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.53 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | -8.2wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x047c…3ce4backed Atlanta Braves | 65c | 753.08$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.58 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Cleveland Guardians | 36c | 720$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.6 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Atlanta Braves | 65c | 700.96$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.34 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Atlanta Braves | 77c | 652.22$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.94 | 310 | 39%121 W · 189 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 17c | 652.06$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.38 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Atlanta Braves | 63c | 545.81$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.95 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Cleveland Guardians | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc7…7f02backed Atlanta Braves | 64c | 489.2$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.11 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Atlanta Braves | 58c | 488.95$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.95 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Atlanta Braves | 66c | 485.88$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.2 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Cleveland Guardians | 14c | 476.84$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.67 | 157 | 40.1%63 W · 94 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6076…f8fdbacked Cleveland Guardians | 10c | 473$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.3 | 142 | 43%61 W · 81 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Atlanta Braves | 64c | 460$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.6 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb3…4091backed Cleveland Guardians | 36c | 459.43$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.4 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | -10.9wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x03cf…6ad4backed Cleveland Guardians | 36c | 400.67$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.24 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Cleveland Guardians | 36c | 399.98$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.1 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Atlanta Braves | 63c | 394.24$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.41 | 273 | 45.4%124 W · 149 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed Cleveland Guardians | 36c | 390$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.7 | 1,277 | 43.1%550 W · 727 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 36c | 383.3$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.82 | 354 | 46%163 W · 191 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Atlanta Braves | 60c | 337.16$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.86 | 410 | 51.7%212 W · 198 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked Cleveland Guardians | 36c | 330$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.9 | 1,310 | 43.6%571 W · 739 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32de…ce27backed Cleveland Guardians | 36c | 330$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.9 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Cleveland Guardians | 36c | 319.95$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.18 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc510…629abacked Cleveland Guardians | 38c | 315.76$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.99 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07aa…63bfbacked Atlanta Braves | 64c | 305.75$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.07 | 193 | 58%112 W · 81 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Atlanta Braves | 65c | 301.23$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.43 | 345 | 50.7%175 W · 170 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd73a…0f4ebacked Atlanta Braves | 65c | 293.7$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.79 | 411 | 52.3%215 W · 196 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Cleveland Guardians | 27c | 290.37$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.4 | 781 | 46.4%362 W · 419 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec5…8f77backed Cleveland Guardians | 37c | 288.66$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.8 | 110 | 41.8%46 W · 64 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Atlanta Braves | 63c | 276.13$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.17 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Atlanta Braves | 63c | 276.13$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.17 | 393 | 51.9%204 W · 189 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Atlanta Braves | 63c | 276.13$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.17 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Atlanta Braves | 63c | 276.13$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.17 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Atlanta Braves | 63c | 276.13$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.17 | 344 | 52.6%181 W · 163 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Atlanta Braves | 63c | 276.13$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.17 | 126 | 56.3%71 W · 55 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Atlanta Braves | 63c | 276.13$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.17 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed Atlanta Braves | 69c | 264.69$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.92 | 508 | 60.2%306 W · 202 L | +29.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Atlanta Braves | 62c | 263.86$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.66 | 366 | 49.2%180 W · 186 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Cleveland Guardians | 43c | 259.92$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.85 | 656 | 51.2%336 W · 320 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3449…abdfbacked Atlanta Braves | 62c | 258.32$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.16 | 86 | 24.4%21 W · 65 L | -7.7wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf477…7286backed Cleveland Guardians | 11c | 258.16$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked Atlanta Braves | 72c | 254.13$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.97 | 554 | 64.1%355 W · 199 L | +63.1wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Atlanta Braves | 64c | 250$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff9…bf35backed Cleveland Guardians | 10c | 245.78$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 38c | 241.23$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.93 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe05f…1fe3backed Cleveland Guardians | 36c | 236.55$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.16 | 203 | 51.7%105 W · 98 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Cleveland Guardians | 37c | 232.47$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.01 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a2…3c41backed Atlanta Braves | 64c | 228.79$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.37 | 158 | 57%90 W · 68 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Atlanta Braves | 59c | 208.86$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.96 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Atlanta Braves | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1572…7991backed Atlanta Braves | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae5e…13bebacked Cleveland Guardians | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55af…6a1bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 36c | 199.98$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.99 | 363 | 45.7%166 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Cleveland Guardians | 36c | 199.97$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.99 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cc0…7faabacked Cleveland Guardians | 34c | 197.73$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.23 | 213 | 47.9%102 W · 111 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Atlanta Bravesthis page
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 11.5Over won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 5.5Over won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 6.5Over won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 7.5Over won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-8.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cleveland Guardians vs. Atlanta BravesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.