MLB · resolved market
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa71faf76b141a926e0259fb618cf1b3afc3db3aac5d8518938f1162163ddb110
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Atlanta Bravesof Atlanta Braves, Cleveland Guardians
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,491
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,293
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,491 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7b8c…abbabacked Cleveland Guardians | 57c | 17,925$10,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,214.98 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Atlanta Braves | 43c | 10,136$4,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,777.26 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Cleveland Guardians | 55c | 8,243$4,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,565.66 | 283 | 50.9%144 W · 139 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Atlanta Braves | 45c | 6,417$2,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,537.7 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Atlanta Braves | 43c | 4,868$2,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,767.5 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Atlanta Braves | 44c | 3,351$1,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,860.94 | 323 | 48.9%158 W · 165 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Atlanta Braves | 44c | 2,626$1,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470.35 | 366 | 49.2%180 W · 186 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Cleveland Guardians | 56c | 2,291$1,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,282.96 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4285…cfb5backed Atlanta Braves | 46c | 2,168$997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,170.47 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 2,108$1,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,141.34 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Cleveland Guardians | 55c | 1,303$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716.66 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Atlanta Braves | 45c | 945.81$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.23 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775e…6541backed Atlanta Braves | 45c | 716.23$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.93 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Atlanta Braves | 44c | 640.84$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.87 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Cleveland Guardians | 56c | 599.98$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.26 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Atlanta Braves | 44c | 536.35$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.36 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4a…eee7backed Cleveland Guardians | 56c | 521.56$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.07 | 308 | 44.2%136 W · 172 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Cleveland Guardians | 56c | 355.83$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.36 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 55c | 319.95$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.97 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 59c | 302.99$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.1 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 299.98$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.99 | 125 | 52%65 W · 60 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd679…7ad3backed Cleveland Guardians | 55c | 272.44$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x451b…9a36backed Atlanta Braves | 46c | 267.06$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb7…ca4abacked Atlanta Braves | 47c | 251.56$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.15 | 132 | 56.1%74 W · 58 L | +8.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Atlanta Braves | 45c | 236.38$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.01 | 664 | 48.2%320 W · 344 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc4…db58backed Atlanta Braves | 42c | 231.65$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.36 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Cleveland Guardians | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 297 | 52.5%156 W · 141 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Atlanta Braves | 68c | 187.01$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.45 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Cleveland Guardians | 56c | 173.86$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.36 | 431 | 53.6%231 W · 200 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d1fabacked Atlanta Braves | 45c | 139.68$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.82 | 70 | 37.1%26 W · 44 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Atlanta Braves | 45c | 116.04$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.82 | 564 | 40.4%228 W · 336 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7baa…03b7backed Cleveland Guardians | 61c | 109.97$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.79 | 198 | 55.1%109 W · 89 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d30…5f85backed Cleveland Guardians | 61c | 109.97$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.79 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe67…dd7ebacked Atlanta Braves | 45c | 107.21$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.96 | 127 | 42.5%54 W · 73 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c2…5509backed Cleveland Guardians | 61c | 103.82$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.28 | 221 | 54.3%120 W · 101 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Atlanta Braves | 44c | 102.83$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.53 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Atlanta Braves | 44c | 102$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.12 | 289 | 43.3%125 W · 164 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d6…370dbacked Atlanta Braves | 44c | 90.75$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.82 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Cleveland Guardians | 55c | 70.34$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.69 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 20c | 70.08$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.93 | 254 | 52%132 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Atlanta Braves | 50c | 65.13$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.48 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc45a…5a3ebacked Atlanta Braves | 47c | 61.9$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.86 | 85 | 42.4%36 W · 49 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55a7…24a0backed Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 61.8$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.05 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb69b…9ce7backed Atlanta Braves | 44c | 61.5$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.44 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3323…f667backed Atlanta Braves | 45c | 60.17$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.09 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 59.32$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.44 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Cleveland Guardians | 55c | 56.86$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.3 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4cb…a917backed Atlanta Braves | 44c | 54.91$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.75 | 207 | 51.2%106 W · 101 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Atlanta Braves | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Atlanta Braves | 44c | 48.11$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.89 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked Atlanta Braves | 53c | 37.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.75 | 554 | 64.1%355 W · 199 L | +63.1wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x31c8…9487backed Atlanta Braves | 48c | 36.6$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 270 | 53.7%145 W · 125 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08f1…705cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 36.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.45 | 247 | 51.8%128 W · 119 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3302…489dbacked Atlanta Braves | 45c | 34.81$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5a…59b9backed Atlanta Braves | 45c | 34.49$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.97 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Atlanta Braves | 40c | 32.8$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.67 | 841 | 22.7%191 W · 650 L | -81.4wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Atlanta Braves | 45c | 31.74$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.46 | 307 | 50.2%154 W · 153 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf90d…9f01backed Atlanta Braves | 47c | 31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.48 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Cleveland Guardians | 56c | 29.21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.36 | 225 | 54.7%123 W · 102 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6733…03d1backed Cleveland Guardians | 61c | 25.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Cleveland Guardians | 59c | 25.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 1,133 | 57.2%648 W · 485 L | +35.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Cleveland Guardians | 51c | 21.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 667 | 49.3%329 W · 338 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a6…ad64backed Cleveland Guardians | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Cleveland Guardians | 55c | 19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 283 | 52.3%148 W · 135 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)this page
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Atlanta BravesAtlanta Braves won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 11.5Over won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 5.5Over won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 6.5Over won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 7.5Over won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-8.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cleveland Guardians vs. Atlanta BravesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.