MLB · resolved market
Cleveland Guardians vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x775fa86eaa7dee4035bf4df9bc779c4fe917a247b49380ba3216c99031485d79
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $87,700
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $88,855
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,700 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Over | 45c | 27,963$12,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,379.77 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 54c | 22,771$12,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,183.75 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6498…8910backed Over | 48c | 19,992$9,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,378.47 | 517 | 56.5%292 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 52c | 7,535$3,918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,918.13 | 272 | 54.4%148 W · 124 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 48c | 6,832$3,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,554.89 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 52c | 5,991$3,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,114.91 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 48c | 5,882$2,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,060.95 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Under | 55c | 4,704$2,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,588.75 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 59c | 4,081$2,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,399.24 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 45c | 2,508$1,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,128.49 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 55c | 2,247$1,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,235.66 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…b12dbacked Under | 55c | 2,123$1,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,167.6 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 54c | 2,029$1,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,089.36 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Under | 54c | 1,879$1,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,014.33 | 172 | 48.8%84 W · 88 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf3…aa3abacked Under | 54c | 1,816$973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972.75 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | -8.3wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Under | 55c | 1,507$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828.74 | 366 | 49.2%180 W · 186 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2e…caf6backed Over | 46c | 1,304$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.32 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Under | 45c | 1,254$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.24 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 58c | 1,176$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.12 | 125 | 49.6%62 W · 63 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f85…7e17backed Over | 46c | 1,052$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.94 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 54c | 1,050$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.99 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Over | 46c | 999.97$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.99 | 613 | 52.5%322 W · 291 L | +29.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee0b…e9f4backed Under | 58c | 977.63$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.14 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96ac…61e8backed Under | 52c | 971.2$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.02 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Over | 46c | 896.93$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.34 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 48c | 650$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Under | 53c | 549.98$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.49 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7abf…8dd3backed Under | 55c | 529.19$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.05 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 45c | 429.78$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.4 | 418 | 47.6%199 W · 219 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb43e…78bfbacked Over | 46c | 413.88$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.5 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Under | 55c | 387.73$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.25 | 273 | 45.4%124 W · 149 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf429…969ebacked Over | 55c | 338.14$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.16 | 198 | 42.9%85 W · 113 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Over | 46c | 305.13$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.6 | 473 | 50.7%240 W · 233 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked Over | 46c | 298.69$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.29 | 265 | 45.7%121 W · 144 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Under | 55c | 296.12$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.87 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 47c | 290.46$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.94 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 50c | 289.65$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.08 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 46c | 264.73$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.95 | 323 | 48.9%158 W · 165 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 54c | 251.12$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.76 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb7…ca4abacked Over | 52c | 249.57$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.04 | 132 | 56.1%74 W · 58 L | +8.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ecd…ea91backed Over | 46c | 243.33$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.4 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.21per pick | 48cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 47c | 216.3$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.64 | 443 | 48.5%215 W · 228 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Under | 45c | 214.89$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.7 | 183 | 45.4%83 W · 100 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae51…0d08backed Over | 46c | 210.35$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.59 | 364 | 40.1%146 W · 218 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 297 | 52.5%156 W · 141 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Over | 48c | 191.86$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.77 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | +7.3wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Under | 55c | 186.81$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.7 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 46c | 165.85$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.53 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 49c | 164.05$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.29 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xa44a…88ecbacked Under | 55c | 162.21$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.21 | 117 | 43.6%51 W · 66 L | -9.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 44c | 160.21$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.99 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Over | 48c | 156.25$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.25 | 399 | 48.1%192 W · 207 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…1cfbbacked Under | 55c | 130.92$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 335 | 47.5%159 W · 176 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Over | 48c | 129.91$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.55 | 185 | 53.5%99 W · 86 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 54c | 110.87$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.87 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a2d…4f43backed Under | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under | 55c | 99.73$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.85 | 307 | 50.2%154 W · 153 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Over | 68c | 99.33$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.48 | 677 | 42.2%286 W · 391 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed2…0ddabacked Under | 55c | 97.3$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.52 | 577 | 47.7%275 W · 302 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Under | 55c | 92.44$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.84 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa427…f87fbacked Under | 55c | 72.06$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.63 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd226…38b4backed Under | 53c | 70.03$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.12 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 54c | 69.12$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.32 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Under | 45c | 64.47$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.01 | 294 | 50.7%149 W · 145 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 51c | 62.48$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.6 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae1c…3678backed Over | 54c | 61.33$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 261 | 51%133 W · 128 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd80…5ef4backed Over | 47c | 60.91$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.28 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked Over | 37c | 58.88$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.97 | 554 | 64.1%355 W · 199 L | +63.1wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…6f57backed Under | 55c | 58.38$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.11 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ba…0bc3backed Under | 54c | 55.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Under | 45c | 53.72$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.18 | 377 | 47.2%178 W · 199 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…3d0ebacked Over | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.63 | 265 | 53.2%141 W · 124 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Under | 46c | 49.47$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.66 | 1,057 | 50.2%531 W · 526 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00e…73fabacked Under | 55c | 48.65$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.76 | 165 | 53.3%88 W · 77 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Over | 45c | 48.4$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.62 | 252 | 49.6%125 W · 127 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 53c | 48$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.52 | 283 | 52.3%148 W · 135 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked Over | 47c | 47.98$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.43 | 310 | 46.5%144 W · 166 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd946…0d96backed Under | 55c | 42.46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.35 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4533…e6bbbacked Under | 61c | 40.02$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.42 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe5…7936backed Over | 51c | 38.06$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.65 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Under | 54c | 37.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.36 | 300 | 48%144 W · 156 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Under | 55c | 37.29$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.51 | 215 | 47%101 W · 114 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d7…406dbacked Under | 55c | 36.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf68…ed10backed Under | 55c | 35.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.66 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f46…85c0backed Under | 55c | 35.38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…d6d8backed Under | 54c | 34.04$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.28 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd84c…efd5backed Under | 54c | 33.45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.08 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6691…8a8ebacked Over | 44c | 32.89$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.38 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 54c | 32.61$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 127 | 61.4%78 W · 49 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Over | 47c | 31.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.75 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4a…4fb5backed Under | 55c | 31.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Under | 55c | 29.19$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.05 | 225 | 54.7%123 W · 102 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 70c | 29.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.71 | 254 | 52%132 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9368…8b01backed Under | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf689…3e3fbacked Over | 46c | 26.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.38 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea9…5b98backed Over | 48c | 26.56$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.81 | 133 | 53.4%71 W · 62 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1c…0be3backed Over | 46c | 26.29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.2 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Under | 55c | 26.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7a…2c0abacked Over | 46c | 25.24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.63 | 122 | 57.4%70 W · 52 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Over | 46c | 25.24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.63 | 395 | 53.7%212 W · 183 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 7.5this page
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Atlanta BravesAtlanta Braves won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 11.5Over won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 5.5Over won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 6.5Over won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-8.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cleveland Guardians vs. Atlanta BravesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.