NFL · resolved market
Texans vs. Chiefs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x61cf5315ec6aa4c6563e58a4736bdf89633ec2b5c9f2e2a6977cc7544cd6b916
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Texansof Texans, Chiefs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,386,960
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,338,119
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,386,960 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,136 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb744…5210backed Texans | 33c | 1,549,876$511,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,038,417.12 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e25…0af8backed Chiefs | 67c | 1,492,537$1,000,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999,999.94 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…d24dbacked Chiefs | 67c | 600,000$402,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402,000 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Texans | 33c | 380,012$124,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255,281.49 | 138 | 43.5%60 W · 78 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bc…af98backed Chiefs | 68c | 373,455$253,949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253,949.4 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 67cpaid | -33%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Chiefs | 23c | 270,605$61,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61,292.41 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Texans | 56c | 224,620$125,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99,431.97 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Texans | 33c | 200,000$66,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134,000 | 195 | 53.8%105 W · 90 L | +16.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Texans | 70c | 147,389$102,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,484.45 | 169 | 55%93 W · 76 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Texans | 33c | 137,268$45,951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91,316.9 | 103 | 33%34 W · 69 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca8…bf49backed Texans | 33c | 134,679$44,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90,234.79 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27cb…169ebacked Texans | 33c | 120,100$39,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80,667 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Chiefs | 12c | 112,115$13,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,007.54 | 200 | 26%52 W · 148 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Chiefs | 67c | 103,291$69,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69,204.71 | 249 | 57%142 W · 107 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe73e…74febacked Texans | 34c | 95,338$32,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62,854.47 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Texans | 51c | 82,136$41,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,375.37 | 207 | 55.1%114 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Chiefs | 66c | 70,385$46,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,454.09 | 168 | 36.9%62 W · 106 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Chiefs | 52c | 69,589$36,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,009.78 | 736 | 51.2%377 W · 359 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf97a…30b7backed Chiefs | 61c | 64,157$39,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,310.99 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +35%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Texans | 32c | 60,000$19,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,800 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Chiefs | 65c | 50,000$32,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,499.82 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…d1eebacked Texans | 51c | 49,938$25,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,500.03 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68df…4815backed Chiefs | 4c | 46,493$1,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,694.79 | 181 | 56.9%103 W · 78 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31c5…ede4backed Texans | 35c | 42,857$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,857.03 | 165 | 45.5%75 W · 90 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Texans | 34c | 42,526$14,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,066.98 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Texans | 34c | 40,000$13,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,399.94 | 143 | 42%60 W · 83 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Chiefs | 57c | 37,952$21,788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,787.88 | 246 | 52%128 W · 118 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Chiefs | 64c | 34,558$22,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,280.01 | 446 | 52.9%236 W · 210 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Texans | 54c | 33,610$18,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,493.38 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Texans | 33c | 33,271$11,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,177.04 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Texans | 34c | 30,000$10,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,800 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed Texans | 43c | 29,923$12,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,943.93 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Texans | 35c | 29,506$10,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,114.12 | 149 | 51%76 W · 73 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2487…fa80backed Chiefs | 66c | 25,000$16,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,500 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba41…5f4fbacked Texans | 34c | 25,000$8,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,499.93 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5077…4e7cbacked Chiefs | 31c | 24,506$7,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,497.56 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe235…aba2backed Chiefs | 26c | 22,813$5,931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,931.27 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Chiefs | 54c | 21,740$11,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,754.88 | 273 | 48.7%133 W · 140 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Texans | 34c | 21,206$7,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,983.68 | 473 | 48.4%229 W · 244 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa21…1438backed Texans | 50c | 20,105$10,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,054.9 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea5b…d88dbacked Chiefs | 26c | 19,040$5,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,008.89 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8839…8a3ebacked Chiefs | 4c | 18,983$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.43 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x245b…00c5backed Texans | 34c | 18,090$6,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,939.41 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3e…37efbacked Chiefs | 48c | 17,029$8,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,130.28 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a4…75c1backed Texans | 38c | 16,684$6,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,292.27 | 186 | 58.1%108 W · 78 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Chiefs | 42c | 16,302$6,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,858.38 | 116 | 43.1%50 W · 66 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe916…4563backed Texans | 33c | 15,185$5,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,173.85 | 69 | 65.2%45 W · 24 L | +9.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Texans | 33c | 15,000$4,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,049.94 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7ea4backed Texans | 35c | 15,000$5,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,749.88 | 162 | 26.5%43 W · 119 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefc9…b337backed Texans | 41c | 14,611$5,927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,684.62 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +9.1wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +13%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9dd…3cc5backed Texans | 39c | 14,379$5,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,804.8 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc17f…50aabacked Texans | 78c | 14,200$11,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,070 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e56…dee1backed Texans | 37c | 14,161$5,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,991.33 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…0772backed Chiefs | 65c | 14,153$9,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,199.45 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32eb…0c1bbacked Chiefs | 68c | 13,269$8,985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,985.43 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda47…f40abacked Texans | 74c | 12,817$9,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,332.47 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c0…722ebacked Texans | 75c | 12,298$9,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,132.47 | 46 | 71.7%33 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6aec…615dbacked Chiefs | 66c | 11,969$7,952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,952.37 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Chiefs | 40c | 11,454$4,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,637.46 | 502 | 42.4%213 W · 289 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Texans | 38c | 11,145$4,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,960.98 | 239 | 37.7%90 W · 149 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Texans | 33c | 11,138$3,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,459.56 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d58…9a15backed Chiefs | 54c | 10,605$5,727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,726.8 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa89e…fb60backed Texans | 50c | 10,580$5,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,313.08 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Chiefs | 47c | 10,567$4,971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,971.17 | 75 | 34.7%26 W · 49 L | -9.1wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Chiefs | 38c | 10,345$3,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,888.95 | 232 | 44.4%103 W · 129 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Chiefs | 67c | 10,004$6,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,702.86 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae0f…f647backed Chiefs | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,900 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Chiefs | 67c | 9,888$6,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,658.29 | 240 | 56.7%136 W · 104 L | +19.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…8d9bbacked Chiefs | 52c | 9,635$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -26%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa78f…72dbbacked Chiefs | 68c | 9,606$6,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,532.14 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.1wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Chiefs | 48c | 9,500$4,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,525 | 265 | 47.2%125 W · 140 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Chiefs | 65c | 9,209$6,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,028.88 | 115 | 44.3%51 W · 64 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Chiefs | 67c | 8,788$5,876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,876.4 | 212 | 54.2%115 W · 97 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae6a…faf4backed Chiefs | 55c | 8,710$4,791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,790.59 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9376…c075backed Texans | 52c | 8,684$4,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,188.24 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Texans | 33c | 8,606$2,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,754.86 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x045d…d649backed Chiefs | 28c | 8,546$2,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,420.37 | 95 | 36.8%35 W · 60 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa613…d494backed Chiefs | 68c | 8,500$5,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,780 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf4…8860backed Chiefs | 43c | 8,420$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,600 | 76 | 26.3%20 W · 56 L | -7.5wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…75c2backed Chiefs | 65c | 8,283$5,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,383.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67c5…ea5ebacked Texans | 35c | 8,275$2,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,378.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa849…c825backed Texans | 36c | 8,100$2,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,193 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Chiefs | 45c | 7,447$3,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,330.86 | 121 | 38.8%47 W · 74 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0c…cfc9backed Chiefs | 40c | 7,329$2,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,933.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +92.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Chiefs | 43c | 6,982$2,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,987.36 | 159 | 44%70 W · 89 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Chiefs | 59c | 6,846$4,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,027.1 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Chiefs | 49c | 6,776$3,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,320.36 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Chiefs | 55c | 6,455$3,531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,531.43 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Chiefs | 33c | 6,421$2,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,137.45 | 276 | 44.2%122 W · 154 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5837…2dafbacked Chiefs | 68c | 6,414$4,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,361.22 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.0wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6911…947cbacked Texans | 65c | 6,346$4,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,245.73 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81a6…9c48backed Texans | 46c | 6,163$2,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,306.46 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Chiefs | 66c | 6,037$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe7…2f3cbacked Chiefs | 66c | 6,000$3,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,960 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Texans | 33c | 5,946$1,962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,983.76 | 127 | 44.9%57 W · 70 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Chiefs | 37c | 5,680$2,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100.81 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd54…b245backed Chiefs | 1c | 5,555$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.77 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7546…3a91backed Chiefs | 35c | 5,061$1,759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,758.56 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -6.2wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Texans | 35c | 5,030$1,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,270.3 | 74 | 64.9%48 W · 26 L | +9.8wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9981…dec4backed Texans | 75c | 5,000$3,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250 | 54 | 72.2%39 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Texans vs. Chiefsthis page
- Spread: Chiefs (-2.5)Texans won
- Spread: Chiefs (-3.5)Texans won
- Spread: Chiefs (-4.5)Texans won
- Spread: Chiefs (-5.5)Texans won
- Spread: Chiefs (-6.5)Texans won
- Texans vs. Chiefs: 1H MoneylineTexans won
- Texans vs. Chiefs: 1H O/U 20.5Under won
- Texans vs. Chiefs: 1H O/U 22.5Under won
- Texans vs. Chiefs: O/U 29.5Over won
- Texans vs. Chiefs: O/U 30.5Under won
- Texans vs. Chiefs: O/U 33.5Under won
- Texans vs. Chiefs: O/U 36.5Under won
- Texans vs. Chiefs: O/U 41.5Under won
- Texans vs. Chiefs: O/U 42.5Under won
- Texans vs. Chiefs: O/U 43.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.