NFL · resolved market
Spread: Chiefs (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1d49e8450d9a24a8f6e5b32ad5d81c23b1bc43f8f36fb8e5cf10a3a0f006b90d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Texansof Chiefs, Texans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,173,580
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,161,251
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,173,580 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 242 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1af1…0f7bbacked Chiefs | 56c | 1,378,285$769,744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769,743.68 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…16eabacked Texans | 44c | 500,000$220,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280,000 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…d24dbacked Texans | 44c | 400,000$176,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224,000 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Texans | 45c | 261,568$117,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143,862.19 | 195 | 53.8%105 W · 90 L | +16.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…fc2fbacked Texans | 45c | 195,554$88,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106,654.71 | 111 | 68.5%76 W · 35 L | +18.5wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xb744…5210backed Texans | 44c | 129,692$57,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72,627.57 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe73e…74febacked Texans | 47c | 125,365$58,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66,514.77 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Chiefs | 52c | 80,275$41,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,613.77 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Texans | 47c | 39,653$18,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,039.27 | 274 | 54.7%150 W · 124 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Chiefs | 46c | 36,433$16,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,830.23 | 736 | 51.2%377 W · 359 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Texans | 62c | 27,344$16,819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,524.58 | 169 | 55%93 W · 76 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Texans | 45c | 25,000$11,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,750 | 138 | 43.5%60 W · 78 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Texans | 45c | 20,000$9,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,999.98 | 246 | 52%128 W · 118 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e8f…52f4backed Chiefs | 34c | 19,920$6,773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,772.65 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +63%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Chiefs | 53c | 19,620$10,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,398.65 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Texans | 48c | 10,443$5,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,430.14 | 135 | 60%81 W · 54 L | +14.7wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…1e2abacked Texans | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,899.98 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a38…8fb5backed Texans | 46c | 9,363$4,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,063.14 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…f706backed Texans | 45c | 8,667$3,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,766.67 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Chiefs | 54c | 7,144$3,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,832.37 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…d1eebacked Texans | 52c | 7,029$3,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,373.76 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Chiefs | 53c | 6,858$3,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,632.32 | 568 | 52.3%297 W · 271 L | +26.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Texans | 45c | 5,691$2,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,137 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48be…73a8backed Chiefs | 55c | 5,455$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3d5…05acbacked Chiefs | 17c | 5,326$905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$905 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Texans | 46c | 5,300$2,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,862 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe7…2f3cbacked Texans | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,650 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Chiefs | 32c | 4,969$1,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,604.01 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Texans | 47c | 4,952$2,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,624.56 | 212 | 54.2%115 W · 97 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Chiefs | 53c | 4,694$2,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,501.17 | 112 | 55.4%62 W · 50 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09d1…9d8fbacked Chiefs | 52c | 4,640$2,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,412.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Texans | 50c | 4,500$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250 | 257 | 44.4%114 W · 143 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Texans | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,120 | 196 | 51.5%101 W · 95 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Chiefs | 54c | 4,000$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,159.94 | 394 | 47.7%188 W · 206 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Chiefs | 55c | 3,214$1,768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,767.7 | 473 | 48.4%229 W · 244 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf526…55c8backed Chiefs | 24c | 3,122$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.41 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1388…339abacked Texans | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560 | 101 | 42.6%43 W · 58 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Chiefs | 50c | 2,818$1,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,409 | 446 | 52.9%236 W · 210 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…8a6ebacked Texans | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.94 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04b6…922fbacked Chiefs | 53c | 2,104$1,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,115 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x132a…abe8backed Chiefs | 44c | 2,064$907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$906.82 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Texans | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 74 | 64.9%48 W · 26 L | +9.8wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5837…2dafbacked Chiefs | 56c | 1,792$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.0wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Chiefs | 54c | 1,612$863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$862.58 | 650 | 48.3%314 W · 336 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Texans | 46c | 1,437$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.59 | 770 | 52.7%406 W · 364 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…df1abacked Chiefs | 52c | 1,346$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 105 | 55.2%58 W · 47 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Texans | 66c | 1,307$861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446 | 502 | 42.4%213 W · 289 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2195…16f9backed Chiefs | 54c | 1,296$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Texans | 47c | 1,201$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.62 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…bc81backed Chiefs | 44c | 1,130$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.32 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 58cpaid | -20%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Texans | 46c | 1,114$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.24 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Texans | 48c | 1,041$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.32 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | +7.0wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7e…08fdbacked Chiefs | 55c | 1,009$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41e0…a8e0backed Texans | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.5wins | +0.27per pick | 50cpaid | +58%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xea89…0b5fbacked Chiefs | 56c | 961.75$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.58 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161c…3b03backed Texans | 49c | 950.56$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.09 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Chiefs | 51c | 913.73$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.65 | 544 | 51.7%281 W · 263 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Chiefs | 54c | 852.23$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.2 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Texans | 48c | 833.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.33 | 159 | 44%70 W · 89 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc89d…5909backed Texans | 46c | 823.59$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.74 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8839…8a3ebacked Texans | 63c | 769.6$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.41 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ac…4a3cbacked Chiefs | 43c | 697.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Texans | 46c | 653.91$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.11 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef8…8712backed Texans | 48c | 625$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Chiefs | 53c | 605.19$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.6 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -5.8wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3b48…050cbacked Texans | 51c | 600$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.92 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf8…4899backed Chiefs | 55c | 530.18$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.6 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Texans | 47c | 528$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.84 | 146 | 41.8%61 W · 85 L | -10.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04ac…c7b0backed Chiefs | 54c | 500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Chiefs | 55c | 500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 266 | 48.9%130 W · 136 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Texans | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 187 | 45.5%85 W · 102 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked Chiefs | 48c | 499.98$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.99 | 392 | 42.6%167 W · 225 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6878…bec2backed Chiefs | 47c | 486.36$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Chiefs | 55c | 474.82$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +8.3wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x60b6…eb2bbacked Chiefs | 55c | 461.82$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Texans | 48c | 416$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.32 | 139 | 59%82 W · 57 L | +12.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Texans | 48c | 400$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf629…bda0backed Texans | 48c | 400$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Chiefs | 53c | 400$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 532 | 53%282 W · 250 L | +19.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0495…c68fbacked Texans | 53c | 400$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.15 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd4…ea9abacked Texans | 65c | 391.52$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.72 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf4…c0e0backed Chiefs | 36c | 388.89$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Chiefs | 46c | 386.61$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.12 | 647 | 47.3%306 W · 341 L | +42.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Chiefs | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Texans | 49c | 363$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.13 | 314 | 50%157 W · 157 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed57…e0a0backed Texans | 46c | 304$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.16 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | +8.3wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x01a8…e968backed Chiefs | 55c | 298.31$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.55 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Chiefs | 53c | 289.99$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.64 | 553 | 45%249 W · 304 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2123…8d70backed Chiefs | 56c | 270$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.2 | 117 | 40.2%47 W · 70 L | -10.0wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb3fc…823cbacked Texans | 46c | 256.52$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.52 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99f6…f838backed Texans | 46c | 255.87$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.17 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d3…02e4backed Chiefs | 46c | 250$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.5 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Texans | 46c | 250$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Texans | 48c | 249.97$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.98 | 206 | 50.5%104 W · 102 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Chiefs | 26c | 239.95$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.29 | 61 | 24.6%15 W · 46 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Texans | 76c | 236$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 488 | 47.5%232 W · 256 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Chiefs | 48c | 220$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.6 | 594 | 53.7%319 W · 275 L | +24.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe727…5e8dbacked Texans | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 175 | 48%84 W · 91 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0585…5fa1backed Texans | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd976…7050backed Texans | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Chiefs (-3.5)this page
- Spread: Chiefs (-2.5)Texans won
- Spread: Chiefs (-4.5)Texans won
- Spread: Chiefs (-5.5)Texans won
- Spread: Chiefs (-6.5)Texans won
- Texans vs. ChiefsTexans won
- Texans vs. Chiefs: 1H MoneylineTexans won
- Texans vs. Chiefs: 1H O/U 20.5Under won
- Texans vs. Chiefs: 1H O/U 22.5Under won
- Texans vs. Chiefs: O/U 29.5Over won
- Texans vs. Chiefs: O/U 30.5Under won
- Texans vs. Chiefs: O/U 33.5Under won
- Texans vs. Chiefs: O/U 36.5Under won
- Texans vs. Chiefs: O/U 41.5Under won
- Texans vs. Chiefs: O/U 42.5Under won
- Texans vs. Chiefs: O/U 43.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.