TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0585…5fa1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
113
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Serie A, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 55 out of 100; worst South American Leagues at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2025, EST2450%12 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Rockets (-8.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$400
Spread: Trail Blazers (-3.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,010Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$1,010
Spurs vs. Lakers: O/U 236.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+59.6%+$104.38
Magic vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+57.5%+$34.81
Spread: Timberwolves (-8.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$2,300
Spread: Rockets (-10.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+132.6%+$662.79
Suns vs. Lakersbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+203%+$164.45
Clippers vs. Heatbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$84
Bulls vs. Pacersbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Spread: Bulls (-2.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$900Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$900
Pistons vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+112.8%+$230.04
Spread: Pistons (-9.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$497Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$496.7
Heat vs. 76ersbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+56.3%+$84.38
Warriors vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,031Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+25.2%+$259.93
Knicks vs. Heatbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$1,500
Pacers vs. Pistonsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Kings vs. Timberwolves: O/U 239.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Trail Blazers vs. Rockets: O/U 234.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$420Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+85.2%+$357.78
Pacers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+56.3%+$16.31
Hawks vs. Jazzbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+75.4%+$22.63
Cavaliers vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Bulls vs. Pistonsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$250
Pacers vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+132.6%+$331.4
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+117.4%+$234.78
All 24 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2025, EST2259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+21.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Buccaneers (-5.5)backed Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$400
Texans vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Spread: Chiefs (-3.5)backed Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+112.8%+$112.77
Spread: Ravens (-5.5)backed Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$420Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+104.1%+$437.14
Spread: Dolphins (-2.5)backed Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$312Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+96.1%+$299.76
Spread: Buccaneers (-8.5)backed Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$250
Spread: Seahawks (-6.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+100%+$1,000
Commanders vs. Vikingsbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$450
Bills vs. Steelersbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+85.2%+$340.74
Spread: Seahawks (-11.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$625Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+98.3%+$613.95
Spread: Colts (-3.5)backed Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$478Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+85.2%+$407.61
Texans vs. Coltsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+156.4%+$83.29
Bears vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$205
Panthers vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,197Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+28.2%+$337.62
Eagles vs. Cowboysbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$316Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$316
Browns vs. Raidersbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$180
Jaguars vs. Cardinalsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+85.2%+$111.59
Falcons vs. Saintsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+108.3%+$157.08
Giants vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+116.5%+$199.59
Cowboys vs. Raiders: O/U 49.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$240
Chiefs vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$172Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+192.7%+$331.37
Eagles vs. Packersbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$50
All 22 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 11, 2025, EST2254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Red Wings vs. Flames: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Sabres vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$496Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+87.1%+$431.81
Blue Jackets vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$728Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$728
Ducks vs. Penguins: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+88.7%+$239.43
Lightning vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+100%+$260
Islanders vs. Panthersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$324Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$324
Capitals vs. Ducksbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Utah vs. Canucksbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+78.6%+$251.43
Sharks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Oilers vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$372Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$372
Penguins vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$240
Avalanche vs. Wild: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$367Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+81.6%+$299.56
Flyers vs. Islanders: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$334Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+71.7%+$239.62
Predators vs. Red Wings: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$523Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+99.4%+$519.72
Stars vs. Oilersbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+122.2%+$246.66
Golden Knights vs. Utah: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+78.6%+$78.57
Golden Knights vs. Utah: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Avalanche vs. Blackhawks: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+85.2%+$85.19
Hurricanes vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+78.6%+$62.86
Hurricanes vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+163.2%+$244.74
Oilers vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$24
Stars vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$102
All 22 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1060%6 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Ohio State (-4.5)backed Ohio State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$1,000
Spread: James Madison (-23.5)backed Troy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+108.3%+$325
Alabama vs. Auburnbacked Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+44.9%+$53.91
Spread: Oklahoma (-10.5)backed Oklahoma · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Spread: Oregon (-7.5)backed Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$247Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+117.4%+$289.96
Spread: Texas Tech Red Raiders (-21.5)backed Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+72.1%+$72.1
Spread: Indiana (-28.5)backed Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+108.3%+$758.33
O/U 55.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$141
Temple vs. North Texasbacked Temple · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$74
Miami (OH) vs. Buffalobacked Miami (OH) · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+78.6%+$82.5
All 10 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick64cpaid+21.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2025, EST560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+24.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+96.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2025-12-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+185.7%+$293.43
Will Torino FC win on 2025-11-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+33.3%+$66.67
Will AC Milan win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+69.5%+$104.24
All 3 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Nov 26, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+61.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Houston Cougars (-10.5)backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$294Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+127.3%+$374.18
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Houston Cougarsbacked Tennessee Volunteers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+156.4%+$1,564.1
North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. Boise State Broncosbacked Boise State Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$250
All 3 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick63cpaid-50.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lille OSC vs. Paris FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayern München win on 2025-12-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$115
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Nov 25, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs MOUZ (BO1)backed Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$250
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Nov 25, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hapoel Tel Aviv vs. Real Madridbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 11, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Lorenzo Musetti vs Alex de Minaurbacked Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$300
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Nov 24, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will New York City FC win on 2025-11-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$46.9
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.