TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Sharks vs. Golden Knights

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Golden Knightsof Sharks, Golden Knights
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$537,798
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$538,320

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $537,798 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 270 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6a72…33eebacked Sharks25c255,522$64,971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64,970.811,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9165…5b98backed Golden Knights75c202,487$151,865 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50,621.7411955.5%66 W · 53 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6b4…a278backed Golden Knights74c84,000$62,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,84010349.5%51 W · 52 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x869b…c625backed Golden Knights74c63,098$46,693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,405.594665.2%30 W · 16 L+4.7wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+21.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x245b…00c5backed Sharks25c51,445$12,876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,875.798749.4%43 W · 44 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Sharks14c40,000$5,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,45042552.2%222 W · 203 L+25.0wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Golden Knights74c15,059$11,144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,915.3457453.8%309 W · 265 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ecd…a578backed Sharks26c11,392$2,962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,961.971643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Sharks26c10,000$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,60032946.8%154 W · 175 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5f2…0234backed Sharks26c10,000$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,599.9810554.3%57 W · 48 L+8.7wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+15.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Golden Knights73c9,419$6,878 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,540.3632251.9%167 W · 155 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Sharks26c8,000$2,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0801,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe948…ff23backed Sharks27c7,442$2,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,003.1529651.7%153 W · 143 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c82…1f13backed Golden Knights73c7,000$5,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,889.993554.3%19 W · 16 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ce2…e868backed Golden Knights74c6,068$4,490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,577.676055%33 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Golden Knights75c6,029$4,524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,504.151,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Sharks17c5,222$891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$891.175251.7%389 W · 363 L-2.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…9871backed Sharks27c5,000$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,35032451.2%166 W · 158 L+18.3wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Golden Knights75c4,500$3,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,12530447.4%144 W · 160 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8214…506cbacked Golden Knights74c4,300$3,182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1182100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+74%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Sharks26c4,000$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,04086649.9%432 W · 434 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10b3…40d4backed Sharks27c4,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0802839.3%11 W · 17 L-4.5wins-0.16per pick55cpaid-30.7%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Sharks4c3,992$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.823,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x96ca…5a71backed Sharks26c3,851$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00055446.4%257 W · 297 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Sharks26c3,494$908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$908.375446.3%25 W · 29 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc350…3669backed Sharks14c3,483$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.5630944.7%138 W · 171 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed Golden Knights74c3,156$2,332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82445955.1%253 W · 206 L+1.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Golden Knights73c2,973$2,183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$790.1254047.6%257 W · 283 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Golden Knights73c2,723$1,994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$729.082,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed Sharks26c2,700$702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70216241.4%67 W · 95 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Golden Knights74c2,615$1,935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$679.8292848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x067e…e021backed Sharks26c2,500$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65030%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked Sharks27c2,326$628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62830946.3%143 W · 166 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Golden Knights74c2,279$1,686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592.5993953.6%503 W · 436 L+29.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Golden Knights73c2,200$1,616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58439047.9%187 W · 203 L-13.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Sharks5c2,054$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10154418%98 W · 446 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f55…73b6backed Sharks44c1,960$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$859.8710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Golden Knights73c1,945$1,428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.991,67954.4%914 W · 765 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked Golden Knights74c1,900$1,406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493.9920147.8%96 W · 105 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Sharks27c1,852$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50043743%188 W · 249 L+16.7wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Sharks26c1,797$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.491,94849.4%962 W · 986 L+24.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Sharks35c1,697$593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$592.872,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Golden Knights73c1,659$1,211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.0369550.1%348 W · 347 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7209…b3c1backed Sharks25c1,655$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9807…157bbacked Sharks27c1,500$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40520144.8%90 W · 111 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Sharks1c1,453$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.537450.7%5 W · 740 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-94.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe16c…6909backed Sharks11c1,372$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1471225%3 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7bd8…aeabbacked Golden Knights74c1,250$922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.526955.8%150 W · 119 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc89d…5909backed Sharks28c1,231$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.4211254.5%61 W · 51 L+5.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ec2…f07dbacked Sharks26c1,188$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-50.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd461…1d6cbacked Sharks26c1,154$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006139.3%24 W · 37 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Golden Knights74c1,139$842 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.591,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe565…6ad6backed Sharks26c1,100$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Sharks1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed Golden Knights74c1,000$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2607354.8%40 W · 33 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f11…ce9fbacked Golden Knights73c999.96$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.993850%19 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0585…5fa1backed Sharks25c800$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5942…5641backed Golden Knights74c800$592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20811849.2%58 W · 60 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5984…76ebbacked Sharks26c769.23$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-46.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Sharks26c700$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18251044.5%227 W · 283 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x702d…a37fbacked Sharks26c700$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18230%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Golden Knights74c675.68$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.6885250.2%428 W · 424 L-26.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xac7f…361fbacked Sharks3c666.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick28cpaid+66.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed Golden Knights74c619.19$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.9931753.9%171 W · 146 L-14.3wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8992…4c76backed Sharks14c602.07$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.19560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x954b…eb22backed Sharks23c600$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.255850%29 W · 29 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2816…6ad7backed Sharks27c591$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.2211447.4%54 W · 60 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Sharks23c577.31$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.0895049.1%466 W · 484 L+12.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb428…13bfbacked Sharks26c576.92$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1505240.4%21 W · 31 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x14ac…dd9fbacked Sharks26c576.92$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1507347.9%35 W · 38 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Sharks17c575.26$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.5199638.2%380 W · 616 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66ba…621fbacked Sharks27c555$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.851764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+22.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Sharks27c550$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.521147.4%100 W · 111 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Sharks9c517.47$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441,14051.5%587 W · 553 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Sharks25c500$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12575946.6%354 W · 405 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbffc…1f45backed Golden Knights74c500$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13021750.2%109 W · 108 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9ea…b781backed Golden Knights74c500$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1307157.7%41 W · 30 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc7d4…ad20backed Sharks25c500$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1253534.3%12 W · 23 L-4.0wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-27.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xda53…9209backed Golden Knights78c497.66$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.161942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x504f…3ddcbacked Sharks27c483.63$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13011354%61 W · 52 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Sharks26c480$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.843944.6%196 W · 243 L+16.3wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xec14…7fafbacked Sharks15c478.02$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7039343%169 W · 224 L+12.7wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Sharks26c467$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.781,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Golden Knights73c464.84$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.511,23053.7%661 W · 569 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf13b…9ef9backed Sharks27c428.7$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.2249053.7%263 W · 227 L-1.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Golden Knights73c409$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.4387447%411 W · 463 L+3.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f79…7ed4backed Sharks49c400$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1969645.8%44 W · 52 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51e6…80d2backed Sharks25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10028745.3%130 W · 157 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Sharks26c400$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10438445.8%176 W · 208 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Golden Knights74c386.19$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.8348452.3%253 W · 231 L+14.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x670b…2c75backed Sharks26c384.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9712444.4%55 W · 69 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x273c…7a42backed Sharks25c371.16$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.7918159.7%108 W · 73 L+8.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x69ff…0d1dbacked Sharks27c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10027150.2%136 W · 135 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb06c…6961backed Sharks27c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-43.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4446…1fd0backed Sharks27c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003652.8%19 W · 17 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12e2…36b0backed Sharks27c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002917.2%5 W · 24 L-7.0wins-0.24per pick41cpaid-58.6%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x51b8…1df6backed Sharks27c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003737.8%14 W · 23 L-4.3wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-22.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe2d7…da62backed Sharks27c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10018840.4%76 W · 112 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43e7…1f62backed Sharks27c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10025050.4%126 W · 124 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d69…95c6backed Sharks27c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.