NFL · resolved market
Spread: Colts (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x76e6a211ab1f29d14555c3e739aa5b60db9b8608fb020bdb3e640ec05282ae42
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Texansof Colts, Texans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $415,709
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $439,031
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $415,709 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 150 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1496…a429backed Texans | 53c | 203,000$107,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95,024.64 | 274 | 54.7%150 W · 124 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Colts | 47c | 146,163$68,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68,256.4 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Colts | 48c | 80,003$38,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,301.45 | 312 | 40.7%127 W · 185 L | -22.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed Texans | 54c | 29,432$15,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,433.83 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Colts | 46c | 29,114$13,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,301.4 | 174 | 54.6%95 W · 79 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8058…d023backed Colts | 47c | 22,415$10,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,514.86 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +5.0wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Texans | 51c | 19,633$10,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,620.13 | 473 | 48.4%229 W · 244 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Texans | 53c | 15,607$8,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,335.51 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb744…5210backed Texans | 53c | 9,473$5,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,452.27 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Texans | 54c | 9,259$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,259.26 | 131 | 42%55 W · 76 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a38…8fb5backed Texans | 54c | 9,259$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,259.26 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Colts | 2c | 8,720$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.6 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…fc2fbacked Texans | 54c | 8,000$4,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,680 | 111 | 68.5%76 W · 35 L | +18.5wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Colts | 46c | 7,118$3,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,304.18 | 358 | 48.6%174 W · 184 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Texans | 54c | 6,000$3,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,760 | 513 | 52.2%268 W · 245 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Colts | 47c | 5,319$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Texans | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300 | 265 | 47.2%125 W · 140 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa613…d494backed Colts | 46c | 4,633$2,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,131.36 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Texans | 53c | 4,500$2,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,094.99 | 155 | 55.5%86 W · 69 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Colts | 45c | 4,169$1,876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,876.24 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Texans | 54c | 2,994$1,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,377.44 | 502 | 42.4%213 W · 289 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Colts | 46c | 2,802$1,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,288.77 | 224 | 50%112 W · 112 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Colts | 46c | 2,500$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150 | 192 | 40.1%77 W · 115 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed Colts | 47c | 2,172$1,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,021 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Colts | 47c | 2,100$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986.98 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1bc…9dc9backed Colts | 47c | 2,087$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$981 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1388…339abacked Texans | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 101 | 42.6%43 W · 58 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Texans | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 176 | 48.9%86 W · 90 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…d24dbacked Texans | 53c | 1,576$835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.84 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Texans | 54c | 1,389$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.89 | 125 | 50.4%63 W · 62 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8e…b232backed Texans | 55c | 1,383$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.46 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x631e…f0acbacked Colts | 47c | 1,251$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.40per pick | 54cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Texans | 54c | 1,170$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.2 | 74 | 64.9%48 W · 26 L | +9.8wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…e9b4backed Texans | 54c | 1,111$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.11 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09f0…1e82backed Texans | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc17f…50aabacked Colts | 47c | 954.54$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.63 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Colts | 47c | 922$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.34 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0585…5fa1backed Texans | 54c | 886.11$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.61 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Colts | 2c | 870.83$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.17 | 356 | 48%171 W · 185 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Texans | 54c | 868.82$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.96 | 650 | 48.3%314 W · 336 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d7…c17bbacked Texans | 54c | 825$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.5 | 117 | 59.8%70 W · 47 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bf…b567backed Texans | 53c | 754.72$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.72 | 120 | 39.2%47 W · 73 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Colts | 47c | 754.72$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.72 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Colts | 46c | 750$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 141 | 54.6%77 W · 64 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a1d5backed Texans | 54c | 750$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345 | 187 | 44.9%84 W · 103 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Colts | 45c | 749.99$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.49 | 568 | 52.3%297 W · 271 L | +26.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef8…8712backed Texans | 55c | 727.27$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.27 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Colts | 3c | 534.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 647 | 47.3%306 W · 341 L | +42.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…f8bebacked Texans | 54c | 434.78$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 194 | 59.3%115 W · 79 L | +15.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Texans | 54c | 400$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 594 | 53.7%319 W · 275 L | +24.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Colts | 46c | 400$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 242 | 43.4%105 W · 137 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Colts | 46c | 400$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 315 | 40.6%128 W · 187 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb03c…7db3backed Texans | 54c | 375.48$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.72 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d3…02e4backed Texans | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1375…4c69backed Texans | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +4.8wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf629…bda0backed Texans | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50bb…9aa6backed Texans | 54c | 350$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.75 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4d…f0b8backed Texans | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | -9.4wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…6077backed Colts | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Colts | 47c | 299.22$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.64 | 230 | 24.3%56 W · 174 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x504f…3ddcbacked Texans | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.78 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0c…6825backed Texans | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.78 | 105 | 37.1%39 W · 66 L | -12.5wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x205f…0189backed Texans | 54c | 255.64$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.64 | 62 | 67.7%42 W · 20 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Texans | 69c | 254.74$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.14 | 281 | 51.6%145 W · 136 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3214…63d6backed Texans | 54c | 231.48$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.48 | 87 | 36.8%32 W · 55 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf48d…fe48backed Colts | 46c | 220$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.2 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Texans | 54c | 218.52$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.52 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae7…cf61backed Texans | 55c | 218.18$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.18 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabdf…3cbcbacked Colts | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Colts | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb6…25eabacked Colts | 47c | 217.02$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb84d…f5ffbacked Texans | 55c | 212.13$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.46 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe13e…c564backed Colts | 45c | 209.09$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.09 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4e…18debacked Texans | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 117 | 52.1%61 W · 56 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Colts | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 266 | 48.9%130 W · 136 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed Colts | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd94…0b01backed Texans | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 161 | 39.1%63 W · 98 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Colts | 46c | 197.87$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58a0…2b5bbacked Texans | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 70 | 34.3%24 W · 46 L | -7.6wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4977…8fd6backed Texans | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +6.6wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Texans | 54c | 193$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.78 | 770 | 52.7%406 W · 364 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Texans | 54c | 190$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.4 | 553 | 45%249 W · 304 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x183a…d514backed Texans | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 143 | 55.2%79 W · 64 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e67…8831backed Texans | 54c | 187.57$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.28 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Texans | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 223 | 49.8%111 W · 112 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…16d4backed Texans | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe832…7abbbacked Texans | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5c…b756backed Texans | 54c | 183.52$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.42 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c5…378abacked Texans | 54c | 183.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.5 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +49%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa810…854dbacked Texans | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…928dbacked Texans | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa14e…f856backed Texans | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4938…02a1backed Texans | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6941…efd5backed Texans | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 132 | 53%70 W · 62 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb376…f6a0backed Colts | 46c | 173.88$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf04c…bdf3backed Texans | 55c | 170$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Colts | 45c | 169.99$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 205 | 42%86 W · 119 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89c1…7380backed Texans | 54c | 150.15$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.07 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed Texans | 54c | 150$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7555…ce17backed Texans | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.11 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Colts (-3.5)this page
- Spread: Colts (-4.5)Texans won
- Texans vs. ColtsTexans won
- Texans vs. Colts: O/U 44.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.