TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa8d3…02e4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
146
Categories scored
27
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: MLB, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 59 out of 100; worst CS2 at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT5850%29 W · 29 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 58 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.8
Spread: Thunder (-3.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$744Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+56.5%+$420.89
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$104
Spread: Spurs (-2.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$72
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+119.4%+$150.72
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.2
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$36.72
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$357Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$357
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Spurs vs. Timberwolves backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,597Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+25.2%+$402.93
Spread: Thunder (-11.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.7
Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.1
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$177.36
Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$63.89
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Thunder (-15.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$72.06
Spread: Knicks (-7.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$39.1
Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 214.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$106.48
76ers vs. Knicksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Showing 25 of 58 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2025, EST1631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-43.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Falcons vs. Buccaneersbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+120.6%+$24.6
Eagles vs. Chargersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$2,000
Spread: Chiefs (-3.5)backed Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$115.5
Bears vs. Packersbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$34
Spread: Bills (-6.5)backed Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+92.3%+$96
Bengals vs. Billsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$11.6
Spread: Lions (-4.5)backed Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$125
Broncos vs. Commandersbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$720Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+38.9%+$280
Spread: Colts (-3.5)backed Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+85.2%+$170.37
Texans vs. Coltsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+65.8%+$13.16
LAR vs. Panthersbacked LAR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Eagles (-4.5)backed Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Eagles (-5.5)backed Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Eagles (-6.5)backed Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,054Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$1,053.53
Eagles vs. Cowboysbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$516Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$516.21
Spread: Patriots (-6.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,385Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$1,384.66
All 16 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.6wins-0.29per pick62cpaid-39.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
CS2 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Drip Too Hard vs Just Players (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 Group Stagebacked Just Players · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$78
Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Prospects vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$54.6
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.3
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.65
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,007Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$1,007.3
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$4,490Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$4,490.39
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Sangal (BO3)backed BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+28.2%+$28.21
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FaZe (BO3)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$125
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FaZe - Map 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$104
All 9 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+21.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+29.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-26.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLBlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT5100%5 W · 0 L+2.4wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+95%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
MLB — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)backed New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$27
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)backed New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+106.3%+$106.33
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)backed New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$69.49
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)backed New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$61.11
Houston Astros vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+59.8%+$94.71
All 5 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-35.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Georgia vs. Alabamabacked Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$172Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+88.7%+$152.75
Spread: Alabama (-6.5)backed Auburn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$90
Oregon vs. Washingtonbacked Washington · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Clemson vs. South Carolinabacked Clemson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$4,507Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+32.2%+$1,453.43
Kentucky vs. Louisvillebacked Kentucky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$1,000
All 5 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+28.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick10cpaid+28.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick15cpaid+233.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick62cpaid-12.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Golf — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+78.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$394Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$138.35
Eastern Washington Eagles vs. Denver Pioneersbacked Denver Pioneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+122.2%+$30.03
All 2 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+34.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$3,372Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+42.7%+$1,439.62
Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,593Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+26.4%+$420.15
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+29.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$33.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$2,200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST+61.3%+$1,348.39
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: 1win vs PlayTime (BO3) - 1win Essence Group Abacked PlayTime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$14.06
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,225Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+36.7%+$449.86
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wendy's (WEN) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Nov 28, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$140
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$3,031Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,031.38
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Dec 5, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBAlast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden State Valkyries vs. Minnesota Lynxbacked Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US Open, Qualification WTA: Laura Samson vs Tamara Zidansekbacked Laura Samson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.2
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.