MLB · resolved market
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Seattle Mariners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe11c5eaeeb2c20ef3eeb6ad43328225dc9ed354ae5da076480f008ac9d15e885
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Philadelphia Philliesof Philadelphia Phillies, Seattle Mariners
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $308,251
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $334,543
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $308,251 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 136 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 162,036$90,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71,557.39 | 1,414 | 49.5%700 W · 714 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Seattle Mariners | 44c | 100,000$44,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,000 | 444 | 46.8%208 W · 236 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Seattle Mariners | 44c | 25,424$11,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,186.69 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Philadelphia Phillies | 55c | 20,519$11,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,233.55 | 925 | 54.1%500 W · 425 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…8409backed Seattle Mariners | 45c | 20,000$9,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,999.97 | 272 | 53.7%146 W · 126 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54d0…8e20backed Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 14,154$7,926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,227.73 | 326 | 56.7%185 W · 141 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Seattle Mariners | 45c | 11,565$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,200.19 | 620 | 43.1%267 W · 353 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd2…6657backed Seattle Mariners | 46c | 10,500$4,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,780 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 10,000$5,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,400 | 501 | 52.5%263 W · 238 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Seattle Mariners | 19c | 9,919$1,885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,884.68 | 4,368 | 47.4%2,070 W · 2,298 L | -79.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Seattle Mariners | 44c | 9,670$4,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,254.63 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Seattle Mariners | 45c | 7,374$3,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,318.3 | 224 | 47.3%106 W · 118 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Seattle Mariners | 45c | 6,670$3,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,001.5 | 208 | 36.5%76 W · 132 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8172…abeabacked Seattle Mariners | 8c | 5,028$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…f5e6backed Seattle Mariners | 0c | 4,875$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 4,546$2,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000.44 | 900 | 53.6%482 W · 418 L | +24.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 4,231$2,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,607.6 | 441 | 54.2%239 W · 202 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…894cbacked Seattle Mariners | 44c | 4,025$1,791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,791.1 | 477 | 45.7%218 W · 259 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 55c | 3,640$2,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,638 | 712 | 53.4%380 W · 332 L | +12.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Seattle Mariners | 0c | 2,955$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 586 | 2%12 W · 574 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e2…4b92backed Seattle Mariners | 15c | 2,825$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.97 | 125 | 44%55 W · 70 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Philadelphia Phillies | 55c | 2,727$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,227.27 | 1,681 | 50.1%842 W · 839 L | -22.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Seattle Mariners | 45c | 2,543$1,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,138.83 | 1,408 | 48.8%687 W · 721 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x689f…259cbacked Seattle Mariners | 43c | 2,300$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$995.24 | 102 | 41.2%42 W · 60 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73f6…a10abacked Seattle Mariners | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 179 | 51.4%92 W · 87 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28ea…1fbebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.18 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf67…1db4backed Philadelphia Phillies | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.18 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 53cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 1,557$871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.06 | 1,386 | 50.6%702 W · 684 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Seattle Mariners | 44c | 1,522$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.52 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Seattle Mariners | 42c | 1,466$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.69 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc15c…6122backed Seattle Mariners | 6c | 1,442$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.75 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea0d…a484backed Seattle Mariners | 42c | 1,367$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.75 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -47%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb7f…824bbacked Seattle Mariners | 45c | 1,115$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.75 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +10.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed Philadelphia Phillies | 55c | 1,092$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.4 | 325 | 52.9%172 W · 153 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Seattle Mariners | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 318 | 47.5%151 W · 167 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked Seattle Mariners | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 299 | 47.2%141 W · 158 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Seattle Mariners | 44c | 750$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 126 | 47.6%60 W · 66 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Seattle Mariners | 21c | 635.36$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.53 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 76c | 624.77$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.11 | 3,041 | 48%1,461 W · 1,580 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Seattle Mariners | 45c | 591.6$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.22 | 2,329 | 49.8%1,160 W · 1,169 L | +41.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7c…8eabbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.45 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Seattle Mariners | 5c | 534.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 947 | 34.4%326 W · 621 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb46…48efbacked Seattle Mariners | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 148 | 49.3%73 W · 75 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Seattle Mariners | 44c | 494.26$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.47 | 1,797 | 50.4%906 W · 891 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Philadelphia Phillies | 74c | 469.19$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.09 | 1,855 | 44%817 W · 1,038 L | -31.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98fd…b953backed Philadelphia Phillies | 76c | 460.53$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.53 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Philadelphia Phillies | 54c | 458.35$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.84 | 820 | 42.6%349 W · 471 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebb…2b75backed Philadelphia Phillies | 55c | 446.42$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.89 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b62…09d9backed Seattle Mariners | 11c | 435.29$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -36%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba1…3820backed Philadelphia Phillies | 55c | 395.2$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.84 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x552b…f8bcbacked Seattle Mariners | 4c | 372$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…87b5backed Seattle Mariners | 11c | 355.09$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.98 | 212 | 33.5%71 W · 141 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Seattle Mariners | 25c | 350.62$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.01 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c16…e71abacked Seattle Mariners | 45c | 350$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.5 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69d2…a218backed Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 294.55$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.6 | 88 | 50%44 W · 44 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Seattle Mariners | 44c | 279$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.76 | 1,635 | 49.3%806 W · 829 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb8…7017backed Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 267.86$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.86 | 150 | 44.7%67 W · 83 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c96…0a39backed Philadelphia Phillies | 57c | 254.39$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.39 | 161 | 53.4%86 W · 75 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Seattle Mariners | 45c | 250.31$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.09 | 216 | 50.5%109 W · 107 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Seattle Mariners | 5c | 250.28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.37 | 141 | 29.8%42 W · 99 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…02ccbacked Seattle Mariners | 45c | 250$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 251 | 47%118 W · 133 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Seattle Mariners | 38c | 231.56$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.99 | 177 | 45.8%81 W · 96 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2889…edcfbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 231.4$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.82 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Seattle Mariners | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 667 | 48.7%325 W · 342 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e2…0f82backed Seattle Mariners | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 151 | 43%65 W · 86 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Seattle Mariners | 45c | 220$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 1,418 | 43.4%616 W · 802 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…056fbacked Seattle Mariners | 44c | 219$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.36 | 336 | 49.1%165 W · 171 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc92c…6f15backed Philadelphia Phillies | 55c | 218.18$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.18 | 277 | 57%158 W · 119 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…1bf4backed Philadelphia Phillies | 55c | 218.18$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.18 | 301 | 55.1%166 W · 135 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Seattle Mariners | 45c | 218$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.1 | 2,050 | 53.8%1,103 W · 947 L | +33.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Seattle Mariners | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1,445 | 50%723 W · 722 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Seattle Mariners | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 3,303 | 46.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed Seattle Mariners | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 134 | 47%63 W · 71 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Seattle Mariners | 45c | 200$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 965 | 53%511 W · 454 L | +18.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb4…0060backed Philadelphia Phillies | 55c | 181.81$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.81 | 177 | 52.5%93 W · 84 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked Seattle Mariners | 45c | 180$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 1,326 | 44%583 W · 743 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…8898backed Seattle Mariners | 45c | 180$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 1,221 | 43.4%530 W · 691 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Seattle Mariners | 44c | 179$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.76 | 455 | 45.7%208 W · 247 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa788…f6e8backed Philadelphia Phillies | 55c | 175$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.75 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.22per pick | 47cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Seattle Mariners | 45c | 150$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.75 | 572 | 44.6%255 W · 317 L | -35.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83c3…f740backed Philadelphia Phillies | 66c | 150$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8a…24c2backed Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 118$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.92 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Philadelphia Phillies | 71c | 112.46$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.39 | 333 | 52.3%174 W · 159 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x137f…968dbacked Seattle Mariners | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 173 | 42.8%74 W · 99 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48e…acf3backed Seattle Mariners | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 145 | 43.4%63 W · 82 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf8…27cfbacked Seattle Mariners | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7774…2b2cbacked Seattle Mariners | 45c | 109.09$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.09 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e53…922dbacked Seattle Mariners | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 308 | 48.1%148 W · 160 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 54c | 103.12$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.71 | 671 | 52.5%352 W · 319 L | +16.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d3…02e4backed Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +3.3wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +94%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbadb…31a7backed Seattle Mariners | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed Seattle Mariners | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1,293 | 43.5%562 W · 731 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 89.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.28 | 963 | 49%472 W · 491 L | -39.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Seattle Mariners | 44c | 86.68$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.57 | 2,995 | 47.9%1,435 W · 1,560 L | +12.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc08…5acdbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 86.5$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.06 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Philadelphia Phillies | 55c | 85$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.25 | 785 | 50.2%394 W · 391 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Seattle Mariners | 23c | 83.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.17 | 1,939 | 41.2%799 W · 1,140 L | -30.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe3…6580backed Seattle Mariners | 45c | 80$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 542 | 55.9%303 W · 239 L | +18.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c78…7d67backed Seattle Mariners | 45c | 77.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Philadelphia Phillies | 78c | 75$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.59 | 1,520 | 59.1%899 W · 621 L | +78.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Seattle Marinersthis page
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Seattle Mariners: 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5Over won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Seattle Mariners: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Over won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 10.5Under won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 6.5Under won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5Under won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 8.5Under won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-2.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-6.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-2.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Seattle MarinersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.