TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xdc08…5acd

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
41
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: MLB, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 54 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Dota2last resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-28.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: PuckChamp vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group Abacked Nemiga Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.78
Dota 2: RE.Arise vs Team Lynx (BO3) - EPL Masters 2 Play-In Group Bbacked Team Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+79.8%+$32.72
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffsbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.75
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.96
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$234Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+53.6%+$125.29
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+49.2%+$33.55
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$61.67
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.56
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.77
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.31
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.39
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+28.5%+$30.72
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$171.6
All 13 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick61cpaid0%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Play-Inbacked BNK FearX Youth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.02
LoL: GIANTX vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$95.12
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.94
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.12
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.72
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Play-Inbacked DN SOOPers Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$20.96
LoL: Disguised vs Dignitas (BO3) - LCS Regular Seasonbacked Dignitas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.01
LoL: Fnatic vs Shifters (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$55.25
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+42%+$16.4
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$7.86
LoL: EDward Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$460Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+37%+$170.17
All 11 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-1.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs UNiTY esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 Group Stagebacked Leo Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$362Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$120.67
Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Prospects vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked ex-Zero Tenacity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.62
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Leo Team (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked Leo Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+93.4%+$45.15
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs Black Phoenix (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games European Qualifier Group Stagebacked Black Phoenix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$17.85
Counter-Strike: Just Players vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 Group Stagebacked Just Players · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.58
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs SPARTA (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games European Qualifier Group Stagebacked SPARTA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$10.53
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.53
All 7 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+32.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLBlast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+59.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Diego Padresbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$47.16
Minnesota Twins vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.48
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.48
All 3 picks, newest first.
WNBAlast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indiana Fever vs. New York Libertybacked New York Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.42
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorantlast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Enterprise Esports vs Team Liquid (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+46.3%+$13.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Newcastle United FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.6
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.