MLB · resolved market
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Diego Padres
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x738829004a8989c2a5bcddf14b705ebec99d4209b2256d0cb5870f2dc042caab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pittsburgh Piratesof Pittsburgh Pirates, San Diego Padres
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,109,800
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,150,042
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,109,800 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 430 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 48c | 135,120$64,858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70,262.53 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked San Diego Padres | 56c | 100,000$56,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55,999.94 | 165 | 48.5%80 W · 85 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…8409backed San Diego Padres | 52c | 72,713$37,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,545.07 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed San Diego Padres | 57c | 67,544$38,582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,582.37 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d20…a165backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 48c | 64,317$30,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,339.21 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a7…4a1dbacked San Diego Padres | 52c | 58,000$30,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,160 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a86…4998backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 44c | 45,751$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,750.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +128.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked San Diego Padres | 48c | 34,275$16,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,452.34 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 42c | 28,818$12,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,602.52 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 72c | 24,089$17,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,763.65 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 44c | 21,755$9,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,182.62 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd38a…8d26backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 49c | 20,300$9,947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,352.92 | 176 | 52.8%93 W · 83 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed San Diego Padres | 47c | 16,944$7,948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,947.54 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x98e1…3241backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 45c | 16,036$7,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,830.7 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x927c…6633backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 62c | 13,070$8,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,914.3 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed San Diego Padres | 41c | 12,208$5,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,008.72 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0e…7397backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 72c | 11,171$7,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,179.59 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 70c | 10,876$7,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,223.76 | 66 | 66.7%44 W · 22 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed San Diego Padres | 9c | 10,108$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885.47 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 25c | 9,943$2,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,478.15 | 319 | 58.6%187 W · 132 L | +27.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a7…dc87backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 44c | 9,620$4,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,387.2 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fd…a7dabacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 46c | 8,696$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,695.65 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa048…f2b5backed San Diego Padres | 75c | 8,506$6,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,375 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +123.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 49c | 8,026$3,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,093.24 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad4…6866backed San Diego Padres | 55c | 8,008$4,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,429.42 | 158 | 49.4%78 W · 80 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed San Diego Padres | 52c | 7,692$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 233 | 57.9%135 W · 98 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed San Diego Padres | 50c | 7,548$3,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,747.99 | 254 | 47.6%121 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 65c | 7,112$4,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,478.29 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d8…a00bbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 61c | 7,031$4,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,739.52 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe821…3128backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 72c | 6,078$4,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,701.75 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +21%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 53c | 5,835$3,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,715.65 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa77…15a5backed San Diego Padres | 56c | 5,787$3,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,216.35 | 232 | 55.6%129 W · 103 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea39…9d34backed San Diego Padres | 32c | 5,400$1,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,728 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78cc…a081backed San Diego Padres | 52c | 4,865$2,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,529.82 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 19c | 4,321$821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,500.12 | 190 | 51.1%97 W · 93 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +21%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed San Diego Padres | 51c | 4,217$2,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,150.67 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed San Diego Padres | 57c | 4,204$2,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,377.07 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked San Diego Padres | 51c | 4,038$2,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,073.84 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2398…8894backed San Diego Padres | 55c | 4,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9707…e3bcbacked San Diego Padres | 60c | 4,000$2,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,414.19 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 41c | 3,982$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,361.77 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed San Diego Padres | 53c | 3,941$2,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,107.92 | 157 | 49.7%78 W · 79 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 42c | 3,344$1,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,923.68 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked San Diego Padres | 10c | 3,293$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.99 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…b70cbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 38c | 3,235$1,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,014.78 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd27c…c081backed San Diego Padres | 70c | 3,222$2,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,255.39 | 45 | 73.3%33 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed San Diego Padres | 70c | 3,119$2,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,190.6 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ea…b845backed San Diego Padres | 53c | 2,829$1,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,498.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed San Diego Padres | 28c | 2,722$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765.66 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed San Diego Padres | 50c | 2,668$1,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,330.59 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb039…c6d9backed San Diego Padres | 56c | 2,614$1,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 56c | 2,431$1,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,057.65 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…3e2bbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 45c | 2,246$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,245.86 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea62…3fe2backed San Diego Padres | 1c | 2,101$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.01 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked San Diego Padres | 54c | 2,081$1,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,121.22 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…894cbacked San Diego Padres | 52c | 2,002$1,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,041.04 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed San Diego Padres | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked San Diego Padres | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe8…72bcbacked San Diego Padres | 36c | 1,936$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.48 | 242 | 52.9%128 W · 114 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed San Diego Padres | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28ea…1fbebacked San Diego Padres | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dfe…b081backed San Diego Padres | 55c | 1,900$1,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,036.28 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed San Diego Padres | 52c | 1,831$947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$947.34 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed San Diego Padres | 60c | 1,812$1,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,091.16 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc202…1623backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 42c | 1,781$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,033.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +123.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 74c | 1,762$1,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.16 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked San Diego Padres | 1c | 1,744$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.44 | 1,722 | 50.3%867 W · 855 L | +55.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73f6…a10abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 48c | 1,707$819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$887.45 | 171 | 50.3%86 W · 85 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked San Diego Padres | 1c | 1,685$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.18 | 266 | 18.4%49 W · 217 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafee…881ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 19c | 1,684$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,364.39 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe963…6753backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 49c | 1,667$817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850.25 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked San Diego Padres | 29c | 1,653$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.37 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x689f…259cbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 49c | 1,500$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.23 | 96 | 39.6%38 W · 58 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x664e…e82abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 76c | 1,316$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.79 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 72cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 49c | 1,313$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.86 | 840 | 49.4%415 W · 425 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked San Diego Padres | 46c | 1,286$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.41 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…9d0bbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 78c | 1,282$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.05 | 66 | 62.1%41 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5db…5800backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 63c | 1,270$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.84 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +4.5wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed San Diego Padres | 40c | 1,260$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.65 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed San Diego Padres | 51c | 1,254$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.53 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked San Diego Padres | 35c | 1,250$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.5 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed San Diego Padres | 52c | 1,246$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.03 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 287 | 51.9%149 W · 138 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 61c | 1,122$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.47 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba63…4883backed San Diego Padres | 51c | 1,102$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed San Diego Padres | 57c | 1,053$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed San Diego Padres | 32c | 1,035$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.26 | 346 | 50.9%176 W · 170 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74dd…df82backed San Diego Padres | 33c | 1,023$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.35 | 120 | 35%42 W · 78 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 48c | 1,002$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.04 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed San Diego Padres | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 98 | 62.2%61 W · 37 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…0517backed San Diego Padres | 51c | 981$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.31 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54d0…8e20backed San Diego Padres | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 321 | 57%183 W · 138 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba62…3e29backed San Diego Padres | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 221 | 49.3%109 W · 112 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 37c | 925.62$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.23 | 319 | 57.4%183 W · 136 L | +23.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 66c | 921.32$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.02 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32bf…ec60backed San Diego Padres | 11c | 879.17$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 141 | 34%48 W · 93 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00c4…4c30backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 68c | 867.84$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9772…4867backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 79c | 853.96$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x168c…f24bbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 55c | 820.49$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.85 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked San Diego Padres | 53c | 800$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424 | 556 | 53.4%297 W · 259 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Diego Padresthis page
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Diego Padres: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Diego Padres: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5Under won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 3.5Over won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 4.5Over won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 5.5Under won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 6.5Under won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 7.5Under won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-2.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-2.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Diego PadresNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.