TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xafee…881e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
144
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: UFC, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category UFC at 54 out of 100; worst WNBA at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT6546.2%30 W · 35 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 65 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Set 1 Winner: Onclin vs Sachkobacked Onclin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Set 1 Winner: Kouame vs Basavareddybacked Basavareddy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+114.2%+$121.04
US Open, Qualification WTA: Laura Samson vs Tamara Zidansekbacked Tamara Zidansek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$116.3
Monterrey Open: Janice Tjen vs Dayana Yastremskabacked Dayana Yastremska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$171.86
US Open, Qualification WTA: Rebecca Sramkova vs Alevtina Ibragimovabacked Rebecca Sramkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$177.63
Monterrey Open, Qualification: Maria Timofeeva vs Kamilla Rakhimovabacked Maria Timofeeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$281Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$626.1
Winston-Salem Open, Qualification: Pierre-Hugues Herbert vs Quinn Vandecasteelebacked Quinn Vandecasteele · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$368Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$326.05
Set 2 Winner: Nakashima vs Tiafoebacked Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$129.73
ITF M15 Arad Men: Robert Guna vs Iannis Miletichbacked Iannis Miletich · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$507Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+162.8%+$825.8
ITF W15 Tianjin 3 Women: Sunam Jeong vs Meng Yi Chenbacked Meng Yi Chen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$993Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+154%+$1,529.18
Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$615Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$614.61
Set 2 Winner: Fritz vs Nakashimabacked Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$302Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+47.7%+$143.84
Set 1 Winner: Fritz vs Nakashimabacked Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$294.29
Roehampton: Michael Geerts vs Radu Albotbacked Radu Albot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.92
Sion: Lorenzo Giustino vs Henry Bernetbacked Henry Bernet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$593Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$592.51
Roehampton: Lui Maxted vs Patrick Bradybacked Lui Maxted · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$131.2
Cancun: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Francisco Comesanabacked Francisco Comesana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$960Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$960.29
Quebec City: Benjamin Bonzi vs Justin Boulaisbacked Benjamin Bonzi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,354Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$761.65
Set 2 Winner: Tien vs Tiafoebacked Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$834Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$833.89
Cincinnati Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$681Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$681.31
Cincinnati Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Anna Kalinskayabacked Sorana Cirstea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,647Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$2,013
Set 1 Winner: Cirstea vs Kalinskayabacked Kalinskaya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,017Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+58.4%+$594.57
Set 1 Winner: Valentova vs Svitolinabacked Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$550Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$550
Set 1 Winner: Blinkova vs Alexandrovabacked Blinkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$291Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+96.4%+$280.86
Cincinnati Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Sofia Keninbacked Sofia Kenin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$969Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$968.99
Showing 25 of 65 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT5642.9%24 W · 32 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 56 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Diego Padresbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$1,364.39
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$906Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$906.07
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Detroit Tigers vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$800
Cincinnati Reds vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.5
Cincinnati Reds vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,239Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,238.7
Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)backed San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$474Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+225.4%+$1,068.23
Los Angeles Angels vs. Texas Rangersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,007Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+73.9%+$743.88
New York Mets vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$977Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+127.4%+$1,245.09
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$125.36
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 10.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.08
Chicago White Sox vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$972Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$971.55
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 12.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$415Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$414.72
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,085Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$1,273.91
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$593Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$526.3
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 13.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$810Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+117.5%+$951.36
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)backed Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$974Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$974.24
Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-3.5)backed St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$95
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Kansas City Royals vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,057Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+53.9%+$569.06
Miami Marlins vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$987Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$987.12
Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 13.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$208.52
Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 14.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$232Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$154.9
Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$2,236Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,235.72
Showing 25 of 56 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-48.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBAlast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-60.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
WNBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFClast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick36cpaid+93%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 Lanka Premier League: Kandy Royals vs Jaffna Kingsbacked Kandy Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,500
ODI Series Sri Lanka vs Pakistan, Women: Sri Lanka vs Pakistanbacked Pakistan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,992Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,991.9
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian Leaguelast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aarhus GF win on 2026-08-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$288Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$287.74
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Colorado Rapids SC vs. San Diego FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,400
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.