Premier League · resolved market
Cardiff City FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x800b6a360b9b84832fda1a8669dc62d7eb697ea7c32260acc330467dcadc3d4c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $134,017
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $145,614
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $134,017 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 16c | 35,357$5,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,517.87 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 48c | 16,007$7,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,256.45 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 30c | 15,448$4,607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,840.79 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 29c | 7,523$2,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,175.26 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 57c | 7,066$4,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,006.42 | 155 | 47.1%73 W · 82 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 46c | 6,993$3,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,221.74 | 768 | 42.6%327 W · 441 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd1…0604backed Over | 0c | 5,671$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 36c | 4,991$1,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,792.16 | 886 | 35.8%317 W · 569 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Over | 57c | 4,635$2,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,642.1 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Over | 56c | 4,298$2,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,406.73 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 20c | 3,723$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754.58 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 63c | 3,388$2,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,247.36 | 1,012 | 33.2%336 W · 676 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x583e…a2a6backed Under | 45c | 3,199$1,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,770.18 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Under | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680 | 319 | 47.6%152 W · 167 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf1…0db6backed Under | 43c | 3,000$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,710 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 61c | 2,716$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,649.89 | 489 | 50.1%245 W · 244 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 43c | 2,618$1,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,479.3 | 698 | 51.1%357 W · 341 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 43c | 2,175$934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,241.16 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafee…881ebacked Under | 50c | 2,143$1,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,071.68 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Under | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 196 | 52%102 W · 94 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed Under | 43c | 1,535$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874.88 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 809 | 53.6%434 W · 375 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 56c | 1,357$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.26 | 232 | 43.5%101 W · 131 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6bf…8380backed Under | 43c | 999.91$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.95 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Under | 43c | 600$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342 | 141 | 58.2%82 W · 59 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29d2…7babbacked Over | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x851b…961ebacked Under | 45c | 557.78$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.78 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 52c | 541.93$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.05 | 578 | 33%191 W · 387 L | -29.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 49c | 524.65$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.13 | 93 | 58.1%54 W · 39 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 49c | 484.04$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.18 | 96 | 60.4%58 W · 38 L | +7.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x11ea…1676backed Under | 43c | 465$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.05 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 48c | 389.81$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.16 | 142 | 53.5%76 W · 66 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd00c…8154backed Over | 54c | 358.44$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf606…20b0backed Over | 57c | 345.4$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Over | 49c | 332$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.68 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 25c | 291.81$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.58 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d20…8326backed Under | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc3…0670backed Over | 57c | 247.37$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 88 | 31.8%28 W · 60 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…8fc6backed Over | 55c | 245.45$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 62c | 207.86$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.26 | 86 | 64%55 W · 31 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Under | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 170 | 62.4%106 W · 64 L | +13.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0482…f72abacked Over | 49c | 199.99$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ad…7687backed Over | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 46c | 173.73$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.81 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5af3…1534backed Over | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | -8.3wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 44c | 164.11$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.45 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 45c | 142.38$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.34 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 49c | 130.79$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.96 | 592 | 47.6%282 W · 310 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf4…40fabacked Over | 49c | 130$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.7 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 46c | 126.53$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.33 | 74 | 36.5%27 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c1…63a5backed Over | 51c | 123.78$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ab…0dc8backed Over | 58c | 120.69$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb904…3ef8backed Over | 56c | 110$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.6 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a62…4ab9backed Over | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 16cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2810…a1a8backed Under | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 216 | 48.6%105 W · 111 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.5 | 335 | 51.3%172 W · 163 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Over | 78c | 93.69$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.07 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf263…e9c1backed Over | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35f3…94febacked Over | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda6f…1e46backed Over | 54c | 87.04$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd355…e402backed Over | 36c | 83.37$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.09 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 46c | 81.67$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.3 | 284 | 56.7%161 W · 123 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Under | 25c | 75.32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.49 | 408 | 41.9%171 W · 237 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbace…34d6backed Over | 54c | 70$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.23per pick | 62cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 48c | 70$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 556 | 54.9%305 W · 251 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 56c | 68.46$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.08 | 543 | 40.5%220 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x056b…5a03backed Under | 44c | 63.25$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.74 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf06f…11f3backed Under | 68c | 60.04$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.21 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fb…8092backed Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 51c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ecf…75d2backed Over | 56c | 53.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.16 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab56…e635backed Over | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 38cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Under | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7285…3273backed Under | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Over | 57c | 49.74$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.35 | 353 | 28.6%101 W · 252 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…99e1backed Over | 79c | 49.14$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.82 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 76cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd7…9c01backed Over | 56c | 46.8$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.21 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 51c | 45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.87 | 296 | 43.6%129 W · 167 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2167…5dedbacked Over | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c71…4fbabacked Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb864…c92ebacked Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e3…99a1backed Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x345c…b59dbacked Over | 56c | 35.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 64cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe660…514fbacked Over | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 33c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 408 | 21.8%89 W · 319 L | -53.7wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff2…1c10backed Over | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf22…8c56backed Over | 57c | 28.07$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Over | 55c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.74 | 125 | 54.4%68 W · 57 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…30a8backed Over | 53c | 22.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…5df1backed Under | 47c | 22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.66 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Over | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 178 | 49.4%88 W · 90 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 270 | 51.5%139 W · 131 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf458…f266backed Under | 53c | 19.61$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.28 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.31per pick | 55cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cardiff City FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 2.5this page
- Cardiff City FC vs. Wrexham AFC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Cardiff City FC vs. Wrexham AFC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Cardiff City FC vs. Wrexham AFC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Cardiff City FC vs. Wrexham AFC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Cardiff City FC vs. Wrexham AFC: Cardiff City FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Cardiff City FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Cardiff City FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Cardiff City FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Cardiff City FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Cardiff City FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Cardiff City FC (-1.5)Wrexham AFC won
- Spread: Wrexham AFC (-1.5)Cardiff City FC won
- Spread: Wrexham AFC (-2.5)Cardiff City FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.