TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Cardiff City FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$134,017
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$145,614

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $134,017 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Over16c35,357$5,518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,517.874,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under48c16,007$7,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,256.456,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under30c15,448$4,607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,840.792035%7 W · 13 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick26cpaid+50.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over29c7,523$2,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,175.267044.3%31 W · 39 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over57c7,066$4,006 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,006.4215547.1%73 W · 82 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over46c6,993$3,222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,221.7476842.6%327 W · 441 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fd1…0604backed Over0c5,671$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid-19.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over36c4,991$1,792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,792.1688635.8%317 W · 569 L-13.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d92…8676backed Over57c4,635$2,642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,642.11070%7 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.22per pick48cpaid+54.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9c16…09cbbacked Over56c4,298$2,407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,406.735651.8%29 W · 27 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over20c3,723$755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$754.581,66234.9%580 W · 1,082 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under63c3,388$2,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,247.361,01233.2%336 W · 676 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x583e…a2a6backed Under45c3,199$1,429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,770.18955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Under44c3,000$1,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,68031947.6%152 W · 167 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaaf1…0db6backed Under43c3,000$1,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7102339.1%9 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over61c2,716$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,649.8948950.1%245 W · 244 L+18.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under43c2,618$1,138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,479.369851.1%357 W · 341 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under43c2,175$934 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,241.161,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafee…881ebacked Under50c2,143$1,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,071.68425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed Under50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00019652%102 W · 94 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7091…96f8backed Under43c1,535$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$874.882458.3%14 W · 10 L+2.6wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+34.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under44c1,500$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84080953.6%434 W · 375 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over56c1,357$758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$758.2623243.5%101 W · 131 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6bf…8380backed Under43c999.91$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.95580%4 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.34per pick46cpaid+75.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Under43c600$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34214158.2%82 W · 59 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x29d2…7babbacked Over50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+17.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x851b…961ebacked Under45c557.78$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.782128.6%6 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over52c541.93$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.0557833%191 W · 387 L-29.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-31.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under49c524.65$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.139358.1%54 W · 39 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Under49c484.04$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.189660.4%58 W · 38 L+7.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x11ea…1676backed Under43c465$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.05666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+39.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Under48c389.81$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.1614253.5%76 W · 66 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd00c…8154backed Over54c358.44$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+38.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf606…20b0backed Over57c345.4$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Over49c332$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.686038.3%23 W · 37 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over25c291.81$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.581,93442.4%820 W · 1,114 L-43.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d20…8326backed Under80c250$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick74cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fc3…0670backed Over57c247.37$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1418831.8%28 W · 60 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+16%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4924…8fc6backed Over55c245.45$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1352638.5%10 W · 16 L-3.4wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-28.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Under62c207.86$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.268664%55 W · 31 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Under44c200$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11217062.4%106 W · 64 L+13.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+16.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0482…f72abacked Over49c199.99$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-34.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4ad…7687backed Over56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under46c173.73$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.816544.6%29 W · 36 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5af3…1534backed Over58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008548.2%41 W · 44 L-8.3wins-0.10per pick58cpaid-17.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under44c164.11$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.4510248%49 W · 53 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under45c142.38$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.341,61553%856 W · 759 L+33.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under49c130.79$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.9659247.6%282 W · 310 L+18.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfdf4…40fabacked Over49c130$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.73259.4%19 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under46c126.53$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.337436.5%27 W · 47 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5c1…63a5backed Over51c123.78$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.13366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2ab…0dc8backed Over58c120.69$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701060%6 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb904…3ef8backed Over56c110$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.61560%9 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a62…4ab9backed Over10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick16cpaid+23.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2810…a1a8backed Under43c100$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5721648.6%105 W · 111 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under44c100$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.533551.3%172 W · 163 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdcbb…07d9backed Over78c93.69$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.076851.5%35 W · 33 L-6.7wins-0.10per pick61cpaid-19.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf263…e9c1backed Over57c87.72$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506350.8%32 W · 31 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35f3…94febacked Over57c87.72$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda6f…1e46backed Over54c87.04$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473046.7%14 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd355…e402backed Over36c83.37$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.092842.9%12 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid+5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under46c81.67$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.328456.7%161 W · 123 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Under25c75.32$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.4940841.9%171 W · 237 L-8.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbace…34d6backed Over54c70$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.81338.5%5 W · 8 L-3.0wins-0.23per pick62cpaid-41.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over48c70$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.655654.9%305 W · 251 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over56c68.46$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.0854340.5%220 W · 323 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x056b…5a03backed Under44c63.25$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.741145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf06f…11f3backed Under68c60.04$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.211145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-28.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0fb…8092backed Over50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79fd…78cebacked Under51c60$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.47450%37 W · 37 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ecf…75d2backed Over56c53.86$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.16475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+19.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab56…e635backed Over57c52.63$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.27per pick38cpaid-61.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed Under43c50$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.53050%15 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7285…3273backed Under43c50$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.52250%11 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa710…f1ccbacked Over57c49.74$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.3535328.6%101 W · 252 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick30cpaid+0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c52…99e1backed Over79c49.14$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.822673.1%19 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick76cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1fd7…9c01backed Over56c46.8$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.21955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under51c45$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.8729643.6%129 W · 167 L-11.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2167…5dedbacked Over56c44.64$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick48cpaid+7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c71…4fbabacked Over55c36.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb864…c92ebacked Over55c36.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e3…99a1backed Over57c35.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-41.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x345c…b59dbacked Over56c35.08$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.64683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.19per pick64cpaid+29.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe660…514fbacked Over32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over33c30$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1040821.8%89 W · 319 L-53.7wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-49.3%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x1ff2…1c10backed Over51c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.35949.2%29 W · 30 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf22…8c56backed Over57c28.07$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Over55c25$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7412554.4%68 W · 57 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc353…30a8backed Over53c22.02$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.674634.8%16 W · 30 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-23.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x077c…5df1backed Under47c22$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.661662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Over53c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.617849.4%88 W · 90 L+0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Over55c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9227051.5%139 W · 131 L+1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf458…f266backed Under53c19.61$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.28785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.31per pick55cpaid+68.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.