Premier League · resolved market
Cardiff City FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb4f118bcaa414c4d6c77c37896896a724e0837036b139080b0d18fec2d477572
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,518
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,869
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,518 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 71c | 7,446$5,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,173.17 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 30c | 7,105$2,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,121.31 | 768 | 42.6%327 W · 441 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 35c | 4,862$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 34c | 4,218$1,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,444.63 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 33c | 3,212$1,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,062.55 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 65c | 3,041$1,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,063.94 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x800a…0b4dbacked Over | 35c | 2,774$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.81 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 71c | 2,669$1,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.55 | 886 | 35.8%317 W · 569 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc83f…ed1ebacked Under | 54c | 1,449$783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.76 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29d2…7babbacked Under | 46c | 692.24$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.73 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Under | 65c | 600$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 141 | 58.2%82 W · 59 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 42c | 588.46$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.7 | 578 | 33%191 W · 387 L | -29.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 351 | 34.8%122 W · 229 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee0…d6a6backed Under | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 36c | 378.13$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.71 | 82 | 36.6%30 W · 52 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 30c | 322$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.54 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Under | 66c | 318.18$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.18 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 65c | 287$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.45 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 65c | 287$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.45 | 1,224 | 42.3%518 W · 706 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 65c | 287$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.45 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 65c | 256$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.6 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54c8…46eebacked Under | 66c | 212.7$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.32 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +74.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2983…4eb2backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Under | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 170 | 62.4%106 W · 64 L | +13.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 72c | 185.67$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.71 | 93 | 58.1%54 W · 39 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 67c | 180$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.3 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 73c | 178.4$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.06 | 96 | 60.4%58 W · 38 L | +7.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 79c | 146.49$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.04 | 86 | 64%55 W · 31 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 68c | 124.09$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.79 | 142 | 53.5%76 W · 66 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb3…5fe5backed Under | 56c | 120$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8e…3dc3backed Over | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Over | 32c | 110$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 178 | 49.4%88 W · 90 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b03…b127backed Under | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Under | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 531 | 34.5%183 W · 348 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8956…755fbacked Under | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.96 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 68c | 83.54$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.73 | 74 | 36.5%27 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 72c | 62.6$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.54 | 284 | 56.7%161 W · 123 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Under | 79c | 58.06$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.28 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Over | 34c | 56.22$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.21 | 118 | 44.9%53 W · 65 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -18%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0b…4771backed Over | 35c | 54.17$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.96 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 36cpaid | -72%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…99e1backed Under | 74c | 54.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 76cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 335 | 51.3%172 W · 163 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Under | 64c | 48.3$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.39 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 32c | 41.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.18 | 543 | 40.5%220 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd355…e402backed Over | 46c | 39.49$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Over | 55c | 35.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.55 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb4c…612bbacked Under | 53c | 30.61$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.39 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Under | 68c | 21.95$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +3.7wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x87d3…a568backed Under | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 68c | 15.88$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.08 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cardiff City FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 3.5this page
- Cardiff City FC vs. Wrexham AFC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Cardiff City FC vs. Wrexham AFC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Cardiff City FC vs. Wrexham AFC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Cardiff City FC vs. Wrexham AFC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Cardiff City FC vs. Wrexham AFC: Cardiff City FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Cardiff City FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Cardiff City FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Cardiff City FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Cardiff City FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Cardiff City FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Cardiff City FC (-1.5)Wrexham AFC won
- Spread: Wrexham AFC (-1.5)Cardiff City FC won
- Spread: Wrexham AFC (-2.5)Cardiff City FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.